Free Trial

US DATA: IP Lifts But Only Broadly Tracking Sideways

US DATA
  • Industrial production was much stronger than expected in August at 0.8% M/M (cons 0.2) but with some of the gloss taken off by a downward revision to -0.9% (initial -0.6%).
  • Manufacturing production led the increase with 0.9% M/M (cons 0.2) but it also drove the downward revision with -0.7% (initial -0.3%).
  • Utilities, a typical source of volatility in the release, were near flat on the month after -3% in July.
  • Trend growth remains tepid, with 3m/3m run rates of 0.7% annualized for overall IP and -0.3% for manufacturing. Weak core durable goods orders of -1.9% annualized on the same basis suggest further weakness ahead.
  • Capacity utilization meanwhile was a tick higher than expected at 78.0% (cons 77.9) after a deeper than first thought decline in July to 77.4%. It has held similar levels in 2024 to date after a trend decline in late 2022 through 2023. 
145 words

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
  • Industrial production was much stronger than expected in August at 0.8% M/M (cons 0.2) but with some of the gloss taken off by a downward revision to -0.9% (initial -0.6%).
  • Manufacturing production led the increase with 0.9% M/M (cons 0.2) but it also drove the downward revision with -0.7% (initial -0.3%).
  • Utilities, a typical source of volatility in the release, were near flat on the month after -3% in July.
  • Trend growth remains tepid, with 3m/3m run rates of 0.7% annualized for overall IP and -0.3% for manufacturing. Weak core durable goods orders of -1.9% annualized on the same basis suggest further weakness ahead.
  • Capacity utilization meanwhile was a tick higher than expected at 78.0% (cons 77.9) after a deeper than first thought decline in July to 77.4%. It has held similar levels in 2024 to date after a trend decline in late 2022 through 2023.