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US DATA: Mixed House Prices, Still Somewhat Resilient To Relative Supply Build

US DATA
  • FHFA house prices surprisingly dipped -0.07% M/M (SA, cons 0.1) in June after a marginally upward revised 0.02% (initial -0.02%). 
  • Prices have on balance flatlined in the latest two months to June and have seen M/M declines twice in the past six months (although 1H24 also saw a 1.3% jump in Feb). 
  • S&P CoreLogic house prices in the 20-city measure meanwhile increased by more than expected with 0.42%M/M (SA, cons 0.30) after an upward revised 0.39% (initial 0.34) in May. 
  • The two series show some further moderation in Y/Y growth (FHFA 5.2% Y/Y from a recent peak of 6.9%, CoreLogic 6.4% Y/Y from a recent peak of 7.5%) but both are holding up well considering the increase in relative supply over the past twelve months back to pre-pandemic levels for existing home sales and more broadly for new home sales.  
  • Recent trends are however showing a little more cooling, especially for the FHFA at 3.2% annualized (3m/3m) compared to the 5.1% in the 20-city S&P CoreLogic.  

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