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US Data: NY Federal Reserve Consumer Expectations Survey>

Data For:  September 2017
Source: NY Federal Reserve Consumer Expectation Survey
Units are either median percent change or median probability
         Pct Change     Pct Change   1-Yr Pct Chg   1-Yr Pct Chg
          1-yr infl      3-yr infl            Gas           Food
Feb17          2.96           2.98           4.38           4.44
Mar17          2.74           2.71           4.33           4.37
Apr17          2.79           2.91           4.55           4.47
May17          2.59           2.47           4.35           4.47
Jun17          2.54           2.78           3.77           4.37
Jul17          2.54           2.71           2.95           4.32
Aug17          2.49           2.62           4.06           4.60
Sep17          2.54           2.80           4.66           4.58
       1-Yr Pct Chg   1-Yr Pct Chg   1-Yr Pct Chg   1-Yr Pct Chg
            Medical        College           Rent           Gold
Feb17          9.11           7.39           5.57           3.11
Mar17          9.17           7.05           5.49           3.71
Apr17          9.05           7.05           5.60           3.83
May17          9.44           7.28           5.51           3.47
Jun17          9.44           7.32           5.51           2.88
Jul17          9.39           6.02           5.35           2.26
Aug17          9.46           6.69           5.23           3.06
Sep17          9.26           5.86           5.43           2.85
                                   1-yr Household 1-yr Household  1-yr Growth
      Pct Growth In Pct  Growth In  Income Growth Spending Growth    In Taxes
        Home Prices       Earnings     Pct Change     Pct Change   Pct Change
Feb17          3.05           2.00           2.80           3.19        2.11
Mar17          3.33           2.44           2.52           3.29        2.23
Apr17          3.36           2.54           2.76           2.58        2.21
May17          3.48           2.21           2.74           2.56        2.17
Jun17          3.45           2.54           2.74           3.27        2.31
Jul17          3.20           2.59           2.96           2.82        2.37
Aug17          3.30           2.54           2.73           3.02        2.57
Sep17          3.02           2.25           2.20           2.69        2.17
     Probability Of Probability Of
       Higher Unemp   Higher Stock      1-yr Govt
         Rates 1-yr    Prices 1-yr    Debt Growth
           From Now       From Now     Pct Change
Feb17         35.75          43.86           4.90
Mar17         35.54          45.44           5.18
Apr17         36.48          43.75           5.31
May17         37.46          44.04           5.41
Jun17         36.26          43.59           4.94
Jul17         35.97          41.65           4.93
Aug17         35.38          43.08           5.17
Sep17         35.74          41.98           5.66
                 Probability Of The Following Occurring
                Job      Voluntary    Job Finding Change In Home
         Separation     Separation    In 3 Months    Next 12 Mos
Feb17         14.97          21.51          55.98          19.43
Mar17         14.47          21.26          59.29          19.18
Apr17         13.24          19.93          56.53          18.78
May17         13.64          19.44          56.69          19.36
Jun17         13.47          20.78          59.21          19.11
Jul17         13.67          21.72          57.12          18.42
Aug17         13.78          21.69          58.32          18.83
Sep17         13.79          20.61          59.20          18.56
     Probability Of                Probability Of
     Unable To Make                Higher Savings
     Minimum Payment               Acct Interest Rates
         Next 3 Mos                 1-yr From Now
Feb17         12.07                         38.08
Mar17         11.19                         41.80
Apr17         12.15                         39.17
May17         13.10                         37.22
Jun17         12.03                         36.83
Jul17         12.17                         34.03
Aug17         12.85                         34.39
Sep17         13.39                         33.82
                           Credit Availability Compared With Year Ago
               Much       Somewhat        Equally       Somewhat           Much
             Harder         Harder      Easy/Hard         Easier         Easier
Feb17          4.27          25.31          51.77          16.30           2.34
Mar17          5.33          25.21          48.29          18.59           2.58
Apr17          5.86          25.76          46.67          18.74           2.96
May17          5.81          23.93          48.48          19.20           2.59
Jun17          5.80          25.85          45.53          19.97           2.86
Jul17          4.67          24.96          44.71          22.86           2.80
Aug17          4.88          25.49          44.59          21.51           3.53
Sep17          5.90          24.74          46.80          19.99           2.56
                             Credit Availability Seen Year From Now
               Much       Somewhat        Equally       Somewhat           Much
             Harder         Harder      Easy/Hard         Easier         Easier
Feb17          5.80          26.33          46.87          18.26           2.74
Mar17          5.82          27.50          44.73          18.60           3.35
Apr17          5.30          24.97          47.74          18.66           3.33
May17          6.32          24.96          48.58          17.56           2.59
Jun17          4.84          25.14          48.21          18.48           3.31
Jul17          5.06          24.71          46.72          21.36           2.15
Aug17          4.55          26.18          46.56          19.77           2.94
Sep17          5.89          24.02          49.60          18.19           2.30
                           Household Finances Compared With Year Ago
               Much       Somewhat          About       Somewhat           Much
          Worse Off      Worse Off       The Same     Better Off     Better Off
Feb17          2.80          13.13          52.89          26.97           4.21
Mar17          1.82          12.43          53.52          28.05           4.18
Apr17          1.90          13.74          51.79          27.58           5.00
May17          2.07          15.94          49.57          27.51           4.91
Jun17          1.94          14.96          48.33          30.61           4.16
Jul17          1.43          15.19          48.67          29.72           4.99
Aug17          2.04          15.92          49.39          26.53           6.11
Sep17          2.28          17.51          47.95          27.93           4.33
                            Household Finances Seen Year From Now
               Much       Somewhat          About       Somewhat           Much
          Worse Off      Worse Off       The Same     Better Off     Better Off
Feb17          1.87          11.41          46.66          34.41           5.64
Mar17          1.21          11.19          44.50          36.74           6.36
Apr17          1.20           9.87          44.49          36.18           8.25
May17          0.66          12.35          45.94          34.14           6.91
Jun17          1.25          11.99          43.09          37.10           6.56
Jul17          1.05          11.28          46.25          35.76           5.67
Aug17          1.07          10.94          45.73          35.49           6.78
Sep17          1.10          11.68          46.93          33.89           6.40
[TOPICS: MAUDA$,MTABLE]

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