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US Data: Recap of Economic Indicators

                             Jun-19   May-19   Apr-19   Mar-19   Feb-19   Jan-19
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UI Claims/4wk avg
wk 1                        219/215  228/220  197/207  224/220  230/225  221/224
wk 2                        222/218  212/225  193/201  216/220  231/229  217/223
wk 3                        217/219  212/221  230/206  212/217  213/229  211/220
wk 4                        229/222  218/217  230/212  204/214  224/225  244/223
wk 5                        221/222                             218/221
Nonfarm Payrolls              +224k     +75k    +224k    +153k     +56k    +312k
Private Payrolls              +191k     +90k    +205k    +153k     +46k    +297k
Mfg Payroll                    +17k      +3k      +5k      -3k      +8k     +17k
Unemployment                   3.7%     3.6%     3.6%     3.8%     3.8%     4.0%
Avg Wkly Hours                 34.4     34.4     34.4     34.5     34.4     34.5
Avg Hours - Mfg                40.7     40.6     40.6     40.7     40.7     40.8
Aggr Hours Index              +0.2%    +0.1%    -0.2%    +0.5%    -0.3%    +0.3%
Aggr Hrs Index - Mfg          +0.3%    +0.1%    -0.2%    -0.1%    -0.1%    -0.1%
Avg Hourly Earnings           +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.4%    +0.1%
Final Demand PPI                       +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.6%    +0.1%    -0.1%
excl food & energy                     +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.1%    +0.3%
excl food, energy, trade               +0.4%    +0.4%     Flat    +0.1%    +0.2%
CPI                                    +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.4%    +0.2%     Flat
excl food & energy                     +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.2%
Import Prices                          -0.3%    +0.1%    +0.6%    +1.0%    +0.2%
non-petro import prices                -0.3%    -0.5%     Flat    +0.2%    -0.3%
ISM Mfg Prices Pd Index        47.9     53.2     50.0     54.3     49.4     49.6
PCE Price Index M/M                    +0.2%    +0.3%    +0.2%    +0.1%    -0.1%
PCE Price Index Y/Y                    +1.5%    +1.6%    +1.5%    +1.3%    +1.4%
Core PCE Price Index M/M               +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.1%     Flat    +0.1%
Core PCE Price Index Y/Y               +1.6%    +1.6%    +1.5%    +1.7%    +1.8%
Treasury Budget (bn)                          -$207.8  +$160.3  -$146.9    +$8.7
Consumer Credit (bn)                  +$17.1   +$17.5   +$11.0   +$15.5   +$17.7
CB Consumer Confidence                 134.1    129.2    124.2    131.4    121.7
Consumer Sentiment             98.2    100.0     97.2     98.5     93.8     91.2
Car Sales Ex GM,Ford, saar
(mn)                            2.3      2.3      2.3      2.6      2.4      2.5
Truck Sales Ex GM,Ford,
Saar (mn)                       5.3      5.3      4.8      5.0      4.7      4.6
Total Ex GM,Ford, saar
(mn)                            7.6      7.6      7.1      7.6      7.1      7.1
Retail Sales                           +0.5%    +0.3%    +1.8%    -0.5%    +1.5%
excl motor vehicles                    +0.5%    +0.5%    +1.4%    -0.6%    +2.4%
Personal Income                        +0.5%    +0.5%    +0.1%    +0.2%    -0.1%
Personal Spending                      +0.4%    +0.6%    +1.0%    -0.2%    +0.3%
ISM Mfg Index                  51.7     52.1     52.8     55.3     54.2     56.6
ISM Nonmfg NMI                 55.1     56.9     55.5     56.1     59.7     56.7
MNI Chicago Report             49.7     54.2     52.6     58.7     64.7     56.7
Phila Fed Mfg Index             0.3     16.6      8.5     13.7     -4.1     17.0
Phila Fed Nonmfg Index          8.2     17.3     21.0     21.7     10.0      1.0
Empire State Index             -8.6     17.8     10.1      3.7      8.8      3.9
KC Fed Mfg Index                  0        4        5       10        1        5
Richmond Fed Mfg Index          3.0        5        3       10       16       -2
Dallas Fed Mfg Index          -12.1     -5.3      2.0      6.9     11.6     -0.2
Markit Mfg Index               50.6     50.5     52.4     52.4     53.0     54.9
Markit Services Index          50.7     50.9     53.0     55.3     56.0     54.2
Ind Production                         +0.4%    -0.4%    +0.1%    -0.6%    -0.3%
Capacity Util                          78.1%    77.9%    78.4%    78.4%    79.1%
Factory Orders                         -0.7%    -1.2%    +1.3%    -1.0%    +0.1%
Factory Orders ex
transport                              +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.3%    -0.2%
Durables                               -1.3%    -2.8%    +1.7%    -2.6%    +0.5%
Durables ex transport                  +0.4%    -0.2%    -0.5%    -0.3%    +0.1%
Nondurables                            -0.2%    +0.4%    +0.9%    +0.7%    -0.4%
Mfg Shipments                          +0.1%    -0.6%    +0.2%    +0.3%    -0.2%
Business Inventories                            +0.5%     Flat    +0.3%    +0.9%
Factory                                +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.4%    +0.3%    +0.5%
Retail                                          +0.5%    -0.3%    +0.3%    +0.8%
Wholesale                                       +0.8%     Flat    +0.4%    +1.2%
Housing Starts (mn)                    1.269    1.281    1.199    1.149    1.291
Building Permits (mn)                  1.299    1.290    1.288    1.291    1.317
NAHB Index                       64       66       63       62       62       58
New Home Sales (k)                                673      723      669      644
Existing Homes (mn)                     5.34     5.21     5.21     5.48     4.93
Pending Home Sales Index               105.4    104.3    105.9    101.9    103.2
Construct Spending                     -0.8%    +0.4%    +0.1%    +1.0%    +0.7%
Private Residential                    -0.6%    -0.6%    -0.8%    -0.7%    -2.9%
Trade Balance (bn)                    -$55.5   -$51.2   -$51.9   -$50.0   -$52.7
Exports (bn)                         +$210.6  +$206.4  +$211.4  +$209.6  +$207.4
Imports (bn)                         +$266.2  +$257.6  +$263.3  +$259.7  +$260.1
Goods Only, BOP (bn)                  -$76.1   -$71.7   -$72.7   -$70.8   -$73.0
Leading Index                           Flat    +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.1%     Flat
                                                         Q1-19
GDP (chain-wt)                                           +3.1%
Final Sales                                              +2.6%
Chain prices                                             +0.9%
Current-dollar                                           +3.8%
                                                         Q1-19
Nonfarm Productivity                                     +3.4%
Nonfarm Unit Labor Costs                                 -1.6%
                                                         Q1-19
ECI (q/q)                                                +0.7%
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202 371 2121; email: brooke.migdon@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAUDT$,M$U$$$]

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