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Free AccessMNI US Macro Weekly: Politics To The Fore
MNI Credit Weekly: Le Vendredi Noir
US Data: Recap of Economic Indicators
Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 21:06 GMT Jul 23/17:06 EST Jul 23
Jul-19 Jun-19 May-19 Apr-19 Mar-19 Feb-19
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UI Claims/4wk avg
wk 1 208/219 219/215 228/220 197/207 224/220 230/225
wk 2 216/219 222/218 212/225 193/201 216/220 231/229
wk 3 217/219 212/221 230/206 212/217 213/229
wk 4 229/222 218/217 230/212 204/214 224/225
wk 5 222/223 218/221
Nonfarm Payrolls +224k +75k +224k +153k +56k
Private Payrolls +191k +90k +205k +153k +46k
Mfg Payroll +17k +3k +5k -3k +8k
Unemployment 3.7% 3.6% 3.6% 3.8% 3.8%
Avg Wkly Hours 34.4 34.4 34.4 34.5 34.4
Avg Hours - Mfg 40.7 40.6 40.6 40.7 40.7
Aggr Hours Index +0.2% +0.1% -0.2% +0.5% -0.3%
Aggr Hrs Index - Mfg +0.3% +0.1% -0.2% -0.1% -0.1%
Avg Hourly Earnings +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.4%
Final Demand PPI +0.1% +0.1% +0.2% +0.6% +0.1%
excl food & energy +0.3% +0.2% +0.1% +0.3% +0.1%
excl food, energy, trade Flat +0.4% +0.4% Flat +0.1%
CPI +0.1% +0.1% +0.3% +0.4% +0.2%
excl food & energy +0.3% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1%
Import Prices -0.9% Flat +0.2% +0.6% +1.0%
non-petro import prices -0.4% -0.3% -0.5% Flat +0.2%
ISM Mfg Prices Pd Index 47.9 53.2 50.0 54.3 49.4
PCE Price Index M/M +0.2% +0.3% +0.2% +0.1%
PCE Price Index Y/Y +1.5% +1.6% +1.5% +1.3%
Core PCE Price Index M/M +0.2% +0.2% +0.1% Flat
Core PCE Price Index Y/Y +1.6% +1.6% +1.5% +1.7%
Treasury Budget (bn) -$8.5 -$207.8 +$160.3 -$146.9
Consumer Credit (bn) +$17.1 +$17.5 +$11.0 +$15.5
CB Consumer Confidence 134.1 129.2 124.2 131.4
Consumer Sentiment 98.4 98.2 100.0 97.2 98.5 93.8
Car Sales Ex GM,Ford, saar
(mn) 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.6 2.4
Truck Sales Ex GM,Ford,
Saar (mn) 5.3 5.3 4.8 5.0 4.7
Total Ex GM,Ford, saar
(mn) 7.6 7.6 7.1 7.6 7.1
Retail Sales +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +1.8% -0.5%
excl motor vehicles +0.4% +0.4% +0.6% +1.4% -0.6%
Personal Income +0.5% +0.5% +0.1% +0.2%
Personal Spending +0.4% +0.6% +1.0% -0.2%
ISM Mfg Index 51.7 52.1 52.8 55.3 54.2
ISM Nonmfg NMI 55.1 56.9 55.5 56.1 59.7
MNI Chicago Report 49.7 54.2 52.6 58.7 64.7
Phila Fed Mfg Index 21.8 0.3 16.6 8.5 13.7 -4.1
Phila Fed Nonmfg Index 21.4 8.2 17.3 21.0 21.7 10.0
Empire State Index 4.3 -8.6 17.8 10.1 3.7 8.8
KC Fed Mfg Index 0 4 5 10 1
Richmond Fed Mfg Index -12 2 7 9 10 14
Dallas Fed Mfg Index -12.1 -5.3 2.0 6.9 11.6
Markit Mfg Index 50.6 50.5 52.4 52.4 53.0
Markit Services Index 50.7 50.9 53.0 55.3 56.0
Ind Production Flat +0.4% -0.5% +0.1% -0.5%
Capacity Util 77.9% 78.1% 77.9% 78.4% 78.5%
Factory Orders -0.7% -1.2% +1.3% -1.0%
Factory Orders ex
transport +0.1% +0.2% +0.1% +0.3%
Durables -1.3% -2.8% +1.7% -2.6%
Durables ex transport +0.4% -0.2% -0.5% -0.3%
Nondurables -0.2% +0.4% +0.9% +0.7%
Mfg Shipments +0.1% -0.6% +0.2% +0.3%
Business Inventories +0.3% +0.5% Flat +0.3%
Factory +0.2% +0.2% +0.4% +0.3%
Retail +0.4% +0.6% -0.3% +0.3%
Wholesale +0.4% +0.8% Flat +0.4%
Housing Starts (mn) 1.253 1.265 1.270 1.199 1.149
Building Permits (mn) 1.220 1.299 1.290 1.288 1.287
NAHB Index 64 66 63 62 62
New Home Sales (k) 626 679 705 669
Existing Homes (mn) 5.27 5.36 5.21 5.21 5.48
Pending Home Sales Index 105.4 104.3 105.9 101.9
Construct Spending -0.8% +0.4% +0.1% +1.0%
Private Residential -0.6% -0.6% -0.8% -0.7%
Trade Balance (bn) -$55.5 -$51.2 -$51.9 -$50.0
Exports (bn) +$210.6 +$206.4 +$211.4 +$209.6
Imports (bn) +$266.2 +$257.6 +$263.3 +$259.7
Goods Only, BOP (bn) -$76.1 -$71.7 -$72.7 -$70.8
Leading Index -0.3% Flat +0.1% +0.3% +0.1%
Q1-19
GDP (chain-wt) +3.1%
Final Sales +2.6%
Chain prices +0.9%
Current-dollar +3.8%
Q1-19
Nonfarm Productivity +3.4%
Nonfarm Unit Labor Costs -1.6%
Q1-19
ECI (q/q) +0.7%
--MNI Washington Bureau; tel: +1 202-371-2121; email: kevin.kastner@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.