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US Data: Recap of Economic Indicators

                             Jul-19   Jun-19   May-19   Apr-19   Mar-19   Feb-19
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UI Claims/4wk avg
wk 1                        208/219  219/215  228/220  197/207  224/220  230/225
wk 2                        216/219  222/218  212/225  193/201  216/220  231/229
wk 3                                 217/219  212/221  230/206  212/217  213/229
wk 4                                 229/222  218/217  230/212  204/214  224/225
wk 5                                 222/223                             218/221
Nonfarm Payrolls                       +224k     +75k    +224k    +153k     +56k
Private Payrolls                       +191k     +90k    +205k    +153k     +46k
Mfg Payroll                             +17k      +3k      +5k      -3k      +8k
Unemployment                            3.7%     3.6%     3.6%     3.8%     3.8%
Avg Wkly Hours                          34.4     34.4     34.4     34.5     34.4
Avg Hours - Mfg                         40.7     40.6     40.6     40.7     40.7
Aggr Hours Index                       +0.2%    +0.1%    -0.2%    +0.5%    -0.3%
Aggr Hrs Index - Mfg                   +0.3%    +0.1%    -0.2%    -0.1%    -0.1%
Avg Hourly Earnings                    +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.4%
Final Demand PPI                       +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.6%    +0.1%
excl food & energy                     +0.3%    +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.1%
excl food, energy, trade                Flat    +0.4%    +0.4%     Flat    +0.1%
CPI                                    +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.4%    +0.2%
excl food & energy                     +0.3%    +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.1%
Import Prices                          -0.9%     Flat    +0.2%    +0.6%    +1.0%
non-petro import prices                -0.4%    -0.3%    -0.5%     Flat    +0.2%
ISM Mfg Prices Pd Index                 47.9     53.2     50.0     54.3     49.4
PCE Price Index M/M                             +0.2%    +0.3%    +0.2%    +0.1%
PCE Price Index Y/Y                             +1.5%    +1.6%    +1.5%    +1.3%
Core PCE Price Index M/M                        +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.1%     Flat
Core PCE Price Index Y/Y                        +1.6%    +1.6%    +1.5%    +1.7%
Treasury Budget (bn)                            -$8.5  -$207.8  +$160.3  -$146.9
Consumer Credit (bn)                           +$17.1   +$17.5   +$11.0   +$15.5
CB Consumer Confidence                          134.1    129.2    124.2    131.4
Consumer Sentiment             98.4     98.2    100.0     97.2     98.5     93.8
Car Sales Ex GM,Ford, saar
(mn)                                     2.3      2.3      2.3      2.6      2.4
Truck Sales Ex GM,Ford,
Saar (mn)                                5.3      5.3      4.8      5.0      4.7
Total Ex GM,Ford, saar
(mn)                                     7.6      7.6      7.1      7.6      7.1
Retail Sales                           +0.4%    +0.4%    +0.4%    +1.8%    -0.5%
excl motor vehicles                    +0.4%    +0.4%    +0.6%    +1.4%    -0.6%
Personal Income                                 +0.5%    +0.5%    +0.1%    +0.2%
Personal Spending                               +0.4%    +0.6%    +1.0%    -0.2%
ISM Mfg Index                           51.7     52.1     52.8     55.3     54.2
ISM Nonmfg NMI                          55.1     56.9     55.5     56.1     59.7
MNI Chicago Report                      49.7     54.2     52.6     58.7     64.7
Phila Fed Mfg Index            21.8      0.3     16.6      8.5     13.7     -4.1
Phila Fed Nonmfg Index         21.4      8.2     17.3     21.0     21.7     10.0
Empire State Index              4.3     -8.6     17.8     10.1      3.7      8.8
KC Fed Mfg Index                           0        4        5       10        1
Richmond Fed Mfg Index          -12        2        7        9       10       14
Dallas Fed Mfg Index                   -12.1     -5.3      2.0      6.9     11.6
Markit Mfg Index               50.0     50.6     50.5     52.4     52.4     53.0
Markit Services Index          52.2     50.7     50.9     53.0     55.3     56.0
Ind Production                          Flat    +0.4%    -0.5%    +0.1%    -0.5%
Capacity Util                          77.9%    78.1%    77.9%    78.4%    78.5%
Factory Orders                                  -0.7%    -1.2%    +1.3%    -1.0%
Factory Orders ex
transport                                       +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.3%
Durables                                        -1.3%    -2.8%    +1.7%    -2.6%
Durables ex transport                           +0.4%    -0.2%    -0.5%    -0.3%
Nondurables                                     -0.2%    +0.4%    +0.9%    +0.7%
Mfg Shipments                                   +0.1%    -0.6%    +0.2%    +0.3%
Business Inventories                            +0.3%    +0.5%     Flat    +0.3%
Factory                                         +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.4%    +0.3%
Retail                                          +0.4%    +0.6%    -0.3%    +0.3%
Wholesale                                       +0.4%    +0.8%     Flat    +0.4%
Housing Starts (mn)                    1.253    1.265    1.270    1.199    1.149
Building Permits (mn)                  1.232    1.299    1.290    1.288    1.287
NAHB Index                                64       66       63       62       62
New Home Sales (k)                       646      604      658      705      669
Existing Homes (mn)                     5.27     5.36     5.21     5.21     5.48
Pending Home Sales Index                        105.4    104.3    105.9    101.9
Construct Spending                              -0.8%    +0.4%    +0.1%    +1.0%
Private Residential                             -0.6%    -0.6%    -0.8%    -0.7%
Trade Balance (bn)                             -$55.5   -$51.2   -$51.9   -$50.0
Exports (bn)                                  +$210.6  +$206.4  +$211.4  +$209.6
Imports (bn)                                  +$266.2  +$257.6  +$263.3  +$259.7
Goods Only, BOP (bn)                           -$76.1   -$71.7   -$72.7   -$70.8
Leading Index                          -0.3%     Flat    +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.1%
                                                                  Q1-19
GDP (chain-wt)                                                    +3.1%
Final Sales                                                       +2.6%
Chain prices                                                      +0.9%
Current-dollar                                                    +3.8%
                                                                  Q1-19
Nonfarm Productivity                                              +3.4%
Nonfarm Unit Labor Costs                                          -1.6%
                                                                  Q1-19
ECI (q/q)                                                         +0.7%
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202 371 2121; email: brooke.migdon@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAUDT$,M$U$$$]

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