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US Data: Recap of Economic Indicators

              Oct-1
                  9  Sep-19  Aug-19   Jul-19   Jun-19   May-19   Apr-19   Mar-19
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UI
Claims/4wk
avg
                     204/21  211/21
wk 1                      3       3  208/219  219/215  228/220  197/207  224/220
                     208/20  221/21
wk 2                      6       4  216/219  222/218  212/225  193/201  216/220
                     219/21  211/21
wk 3                      3       5  207/213  217/219  212/221  230/206  212/217
                     220/21  216/21
wk 4                      0       5  217/212  229/222  218/217  230/212  204/214
                     210/21  219/21
wk 5                      4       7  211/213  222/223
Nonfarm
Payrolls              +136k   +130k    +164k    +193k     +62k    +216k    +153k
Private
Payrolls              +114k    +96k    +148k    +179k     +81k    +195k    +153k
Mfg Payroll             -2k     +3k     +16k     +12k      +2k      +3k      -3k
Unemployment           3.5%    3.7%     3.7%     3.7%     3.6%     3.6%     3.8%
Avg Wkly
Hours                  34.4    34.4     34.3     34.4     34.4     34.4     34.5
Avg Hours -
Mfg                    40.5    40.5     40.4     40.7     40.6     40.6     40.7
Aggr Hours
Index                  0.0%   +0.4%    -0.2%    +0.2%    +0.1%    -0.2%    +0.5%
Aggr Hrs
Index - Mfg            0.0%   +0.5%    -0.6%    +0.3%    +0.1%    -0.2%    -0.1%
Avg Hourly
Earnings              +0.4%   +0.4%    +0.3%    +0.3%    +0.3%    +0.1%    +0.2%
Final Demand
PPI                   -0.3%   +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.6%
excl food &
energy                -0.3%   +0.3%    -0.1%    +0.3%    +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.3%
excl food,
energy,
trade                   0.0   +0.4%    -0.1%     Flat    +0.4%    +0.4%     Flat
CPI                   +0.1%   +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.4%
excl food &
energy                +0.2%   +0.3%    +0.3%    +0.3%    +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.1%
Import
Prices                +0.2%   -0.5%    +0.2%    -0.9%     Flat    +0.2%    +0.6%
non-petro
import
prices                          0.0     Flat    -0.4%    -0.3%    -0.5%     Flat
ISM Mfg
Prices Pd
Index                  49.7    46.0     45.1     47.9     53.2     50.0     54.3
PCE Price
Index M/M                      0.0%    +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.2%
PCE Price
Index Y/Y                      1.4%    +1.4%    +1.4%    +1.4%    +1.5%    +1.4%
Core PCE
Price Index
M/M                            0.1%    +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.1%
Core PCE
Price Index
Y/Y                            1.8%    +1.6%    +1.6%    +1.5%    +1.5%    +1.5%
Treasury
Budget (bn)                          -$200.3  -$119.7    -$8.5  -$207.8  +$160.3
Consumer
Credit (bn)                  +$17.9   +$23.3   +$13.8   +$17.1   +$17.5   +$11.0
CB Consumer
Confidence            125.1   135.1    135.8    124.3    131.3    129.2    124.2
Consumer
Sentiment                      89.8     98.4     98.2    100.0     97.2     98.5
Retail Sales          -0.3%    +0.4    +0.8%    +0.4%    +0.5%    +0.4%    +1.8%
excl motor
vehicles                        0.0    +1.0%    +0.3%    +0.5%    +0.6%    +1.4%
Personal
Income                        +0.4%    +0.1%    +0.4%    +0.4%    +0.4%    +0.4%
Personal
Spending                               +0.6%    +0.3%    +0.5%    +0.6%    +1.0%
ISM Mfg
Index                  47.8    49.1     51.2     51.7     52.1     52.8     55.3
ISM Nonmfg
NMI                            56.4     53.7     55.1     56.9     55.5     56.1
MNI Chicago
Report                 47.1    50.4     44.4     49.7     54.2     52.6     58.7
Phila Fed
Mfg Index              12.0    16.8     21.8      0.3     16.6      8.5     13.7
Phila Fed
Nonmfg Index   12.6     9.5     7.5     21.4      8.2     17.3     21.0     21.7
Empire State
Index           4.0     2.0     4.8      4.3     -8.6     17.8     10.1      3.7
KC Fed Mfg
Index                    -2      -6       -1        0        4        5       10
Richmond Fed
Mfg Index                -9       1      -12        2        7        9       10
Dallas Fed
Mfg Index               1.5     2.7     -6.3    -12.1     -5.3      2.0      6.9
Markit Mfg
Index                  51.1    50.3     50.4     50.6     50.5     52.4     52.4
Markit
Services
Index                  50.9    50.7     53.0     51.5     50.9     53.0     55.3
Ind
Production            -0.4%   +0.8%    -0.1%    +0.1%    +0.2%    -0.6%    +0.1%
Capacity
Util                  77.5%   77.9%    77.5%    77.8%    77.8%    77.7%    78.4%
Factory
Orders                        -0.1%     +1.4    +0.6%    -1.3%    -1.2%    +1.3%
Factory
Orders ex
transport                               +0.3    +0.1%    +0.0%    +0.2%    +0.1%
Durables                      +0.2%    +2.0%    +1.8%    -2.3%    -2.8%    +1.7%
Durables ex
transport                     +0.5%    -0.4%    +0.8%    +0.4%    -0.2%    -0.5%
Nondurables                            +0.8%    -0.7%    -0.3%    +0.4%    +0.9%
Mfg
Shipments                               -0.2     +0.1    +0.1%    -0.6%    +0.2%
Business
Inventories             0.0    +0.4     +0.4     Flat    +0.3%    +0.5%     Flat
Factory                                 +0.2    +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.4%
Retail                 -0.1     0.8             -0.3%    +0.3%    +0.6%    -0.3%
Wholesale                      +0.2     +0.2     Flat    +0.4%    +0.8%     Flat
Housing
Starts (mn)           1.256   1.386    1.191    1.241    1.264    1.270    1.199
Building
Permits (mn)          1.387   1.425    1.336    1.232    1.299    1.290    1.288
NAHB Index               68      66       65       64       66       63       62
New Home
Sales (k)                       713      635      646      604      658      705
Existing
Homes (mn)             5.38    5.49     5.42     5.29     5.36     5.21     5.21
Pending Home
Sales Index                            105.6    108.3    105.4    104.3    105.9
Construct
Spending                        0.1      0.1     -0.7    -0.5%    +0.9%    +0.1%
Private
Residential                     0.9      0.6     -0.5     Flat    +0.9%    -0.8%
Trade
Balance (bn)                 -$54.9   -$54.0   -$55.2   -$55.3   -$51.2   -$51.9
Exports (bn)                 $207.9   $207.4   $206.3   $210.7   $206.4   $211.4
Imports (bn)                 $262.8   $261.4   $261.5   $266.0   $257.6   $263.3
Goods Only,
BOP (bn)                     -$74.4   -$72.5   -$75.1   -$75.9   -$71.7   -$72.7
Leading
Index                         +0.0%    +0.5%    -0.1%    -0.1%    +0.1%    +0.3%
                                                Q2-19                      Q1-19
GDP
(chain-wt)                                      +2.0%                      +3.1%
Final Sales                                     +3.0%                      +2.6%
Chain prices                                    +2.4%                      +1.1%
Current-doll
ar                                              +4.6%                      +3.9%
                                                Q2-19                      Q1-19
Nonfarm
Productivity                                    +2.3%                      +3.5%
Nonfarm Unit
Labor Costs                                     +2.6%                      +5.5%
                                                Q2-19                      Q1-19
ECI (q/q)                                       +0.6%                      +0.7%
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202 371 2121; email: alexandra.kelley@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAUDT$,M$U$$$]

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