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Economists Survey Raises 2021 CPI Forecast To 4.9%

Data through:               November 2017
Source: U.S. Commerce Department
Levels in millions of U.S. dollars, seasonally adjusted
Calculations by MNI
                                4Q-17     3Q-17 qtr/qtr Annualized Annualized
                                 Avg.      Avg.   % chg      % chg   % chg(1)
Retail Sales                  490790.0  479826.0     2.3        9.5       11.5
 Ex. Mtr Veh                  388254.5  380882.0     1.9        8.0        9.6
 Ex. Mtr Veh, Gas             348353.5  343532.3     1.4        5.7        6.9
 Ex. Gas                      450889.0  442476.3     1.9        7.8        9.5
Mtr Veh                       102535.5   98944.0     3.6       15.3       18.7
Gas Stations                   39901.0   37349.7     6.8       30.3       37.3
Bldg Materials                 32706.0   31863.7     2.6       11.0       13.3
Ex. Auto,Bldg Mat             363025.5  356486.0     1.8        7.5        9.1
Ex. Auto,Bldg Mat,Gas         323124.5  319136.3     1.2        5.1        6.1
Ex. Food, Autos, Bldg, Gas    266090.0  262564.7     1.3        5.5        6.6
Footnotes:
(1) Assumes annualization is 12 divided by the number of months between
the center of the mass of data. This results in an exponent of 6.0 for
one month of data in the qtr and an exponent of 4.8 when two months of a
quarter's data are available.
  ** MNI Washington Bureau (202) 371-2121 **
[TOPICS: MAUDT$]