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AUSSIE 10-YEAR TECHS

(U1) Uptrend Weakening

US TSYS SUMMARY

Bullard Kickstarts Reflation Unwind Theme

AUDUSD TECHS

Fresh 2021 Lows

EURJPY TECHS

Bull Channel Breakout

US: Economic Data Calendar

     
Date    ET                                                    Prior  Est.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
02-Oct 0700 **  27-Sep MBA Mortgage Applications              -10.1    --   %
02-Oct 0815 *** Sep    ADP private payrolls                     195   140 k 
02-Oct 0945 *   Sep    ISM-NY current conditions               50.3    --
02-Oct 1030 **  27-Sep crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w              --    -- m bbl
 
03-Oct 0730 *   Sep    challenger layoff plans                 39.0    --   %
03-Oct 0830 **  28-Sep jobless claims                           213   215 k 
03-Oct 0945 *** Sep    Markit Services Index (final)           50.7  50.9
03-Oct 1000 **  Aug    factory new orders                       1.4  -0.2   %
03-Oct 1000 **  Aug    factory orders ex transport              0.3    --   %
03-Oct 1000 *** Sep    ISM Non-manufacturing Index             56.4  55.1
03-Oct 1030 **  27-Sep natural gas stocks w/w                    --    --   Bcf
03-Oct 1630 **  02-Oct Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
 
04-Oct 0830 **  Aug    trade balance                          -53.9 -54.5 b USD
04-Oct 0830 *** Sep    nonfarm payrolls                         130   148 k 
04-Oct 0830 *** Sep    private payrolls                          96   130 k 
04-Oct 0830 *** Sep    unemployment rate                        3.7   3.7   %
04-Oct 0830 *** Sep    average hourly earnings                  0.4   0.3   %
04-Oct 0830 *** Sep    average workweek, all workers           34.4  34.4   hrs
04-Oct 1100 **  Q4     St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast            --    --   %
04-Oct 1115 **  Q4     NY Fed GDP Nowcast                        --    --   %
04-Oct 1500 *   Sep    Treasury STRIPS Holdings                  --    -- b USD
 
07-Oct 1000 *   Sep    ETI                                       --    --
07-Oct 1500 *   Aug    consumer credit                         23.3    -- b USD
 
08-Oct 0600 **  Sep    NFIB Small Business Index                 --    --
08-Oct 0830 *** Sep    Final Demand PPI                         0.1    --   %
08-Oct 0830 *** Sep    PPI ex. food and energy                  0.3    --   %
08-Oct 0830 *** Sep    PPI ex. food, energy, trade              0.4    --   %
08-Oct 0855 **  05-Oct Redbook retail sales m/m                  --    --   %
08-Oct 1000 **  Oct    IBD/TIPP Optimism Index                 50.8    --
 
09-Oct 0700 **  04-Oct MBA Mortgage Applications                 --    --   %
09-Oct 1000 **  Aug    wholesale inventories                     --    --   %
09-Oct 1000 **  Aug    wholesale sales                           --    --   %
09-Oct 1000 **  Aug    JOLTS job openings level                  --    -- k 
09-Oct 1000 **  Aug    JOLTS quits rate                          --    --   %
09-Oct 1000 *   Oct    help-wanted online ratio                  --    --
09-Oct 1030 **  04-Oct crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w              --    -- m bbl
 
10-Oct 0830 **  05-Oct jobless claims                            --    -- k 
10-Oct 0830 *** Sep    CPI                                      0.1    --   %
10-Oct 0830 *** Sep    CPI Ex Food and Energy                   0.3    --   %
10-Oct 1030 **  04-Oct natural gas stocks w/w                    --    --   Bcf
10-Oct 1100 **  Sep    Kansas City Fed LMCI                      --    --
10-Oct 1400 **  Sep    Treasury budget balance                   --    -- b USD
10-Oct 1630 **  09-Oct Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
 
11-Oct 0830 **  Sep    imports price index                      0.4    --   %
11-Oct 0830 **  Sep    exports price index                      0.3    --   %
11-Oct 1000 *** Oct    Michigan sentiment index (p)            93.2    --
11-Oct 1100 **  Q4     St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast            --    --   %
11-Oct 1115 **  Q4     NY Fed GDP Nowcast                        --    --   %
 
15-Oct 0830 **  Oct    Empire Manufacturing Index                --   2.0
15-Oct 1100 **  Oct    NY Fed expectations survey                --    --
 
16-Oct 0700 **  11-Oct MBA Mortgage Applications                 --    --   %
16-Oct 0830 *** Sep    retail sales                             0.4    --   %
16-Oct 0830 *** Sep    retail sales ex. motor vehicle           1.8    --   %
16-Oct 0830 *** Sep    retail sales ex. mtr veh, gas            0.1    --   %
16-Oct 0830 **  Oct    NY Fed Business Leaders Index             --    --
16-Oct 0855 **  12-Oct Redbook retail sales m/m                  --    --   %
16-Oct 1000 *   Aug    business inventories                     0.4    --   %
16-Oct 1000 **  Oct    NAHB home builder index                   --    --
16-Oct 1000 **  Oct    Atlanta Fed inflation                     --    --   %
16-Oct 1600 **  Aug    net TICS flows                            --    -- b USD
16-Oct 1600 **  Aug    long term TICS flows                      --    -- b USD
 
17-Oct 0830 **  12-Oct jobless claims                            --    -- k 
17-Oct 0830 *** Sep    housing starts                         1.364    -- m 
17-Oct 0830 *** Sep    building permits                       1.419    -- m 
17-Oct 0830 **  Oct    Philadelphia Fed Mfg Index                --    --
17-Oct 0915 *** Sep    industrial production                    0.6    --   %
17-Oct 0915 *** Sep    capacity utilization                    77.9    --   %
17-Oct 1030 **  11-Oct natural gas stocks w/w                    --    --   Bcf
17-Oct 1100 **  11-Oct crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w              --    -- m bbl
17-Oct 1630 **  16-Oct Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
 
18-Oct 1000 *   Sep    BLS state payrolls                        --    -- k 
18-Oct 1000 **  Sep    leading indicators                        --    --   %
18-Oct 1100 **  Q4     St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast            --    --   %
18-Oct 1115 **  Q4     NY Fed GDP Nowcast                        --    --   %
 
22-Oct 0830 **  Oct    Philadelphia Fed Nonmfg Index             --    --
22-Oct 0855 **  19-Oct Redbook retail sales m/m                  --    --   %
22-Oct 1000 *** Sep    existing home sales                       --    -- m 
22-Oct 1000 **  Oct    Richmond Fed Mfg Index                    --    --
 
23-Oct 0700 **  18-Oct MBA Mortgage Applications                 --    --   %
23-Oct 0900 **  Aug    FHFA Home Price Index                     --    --   %
23-Oct 1030 **  18-Oct crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w              --    -- m bbl
 
24-Oct 0830 **  19-Oct jobless claims                            --    -- k 
24-Oct 0830 **  Sep    durable goods new orders                 0.2    --   %
24-Oct 0830 **  Sep    durable new orders ex transport          0.5    --   %
24-Oct 0900 *   Sep    bldg permits revision                     --    -- m 
24-Oct 0945 *** Oct    Markit Mfg Index (flash)                  --    --
24-Oct 0945 *** Oct    Markit Services Index (flash)             --    --
24-Oct 1000 *** Sep    new home sales                         0.713    -- m 
24-Oct 1030 **  18-Oct natural gas stocks w/w                    --    --   Bcf
24-Oct 1100 **  Oct    Kansas City Fed Mfg Index                 --    --
24-Oct 1630 **  23-Oct Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
 
25-Oct 1000 *** Oct    Michigan sentiment index (f)              --    --
25-Oct 1100 **  Q4     St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast            --    --   %
25-Oct 1115 **  Q4     NY Fed GDP Nowcast                        --    --   %
 
28-Oct 0830 **  Sep    advance goods trade gap                   --    -- b USD
28-Oct 0830 **  Sep    advance wholesale inventories             --    --   %
28-Oct 0830 **  Sep    advance retail inventories                --    --   %
28-Oct 1030 **  Oct    Dallas Fed manufacturing index            --    --
 
29-Oct 0855 **  26-Oct Redbook retail sales m/m                  --    --   %
29-Oct 0900 **  Aug    Case-Shiller Home Price Index             --    --
29-Oct 1000 **  Q3     housing vacancies rate                    --    --   %
29-Oct 1000 **  Sep    NAR pending home sales index              --    --
29-Oct 1000 *** Oct    Conference Board confidence               --    --
29-Oct 1030 **  Oct    Dallas Fed services index                 --    --
 
30-Oct 0700 **  25-Oct MBA Mortgage Applications                 --    --   %
30-Oct 0815 *** Sep    ADP private payrolls                      --    -- k 
30-Oct 0830 *** Q3     GDP (adv)                                2.0    --   %
30-Oct 0830 *** Q3     GDP Price Index                          2.4    --   %
30-Oct 1000 *   Oct    help-wanted online ratio                  --    --
30-Oct 1030 **  25-Oct crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w              --    -- m bbl
 
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202 371 2121; email: alexandra.kelley@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$]