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US TSYS SUMMARY

Substantial Further Progress Not Yet Reached

USDCAD TECHS

Runs Counter to Trend

AUDUSD TECHS

Fed Bounce Stops Short

EURJPY TECHS

Bearish Trend Conditions

USDJPY TECHS

Bearish Threat

US Economic Data Calendar

--Rating: *** most market sensitive, * least market sensitive
     
Date    ET                                                    Prior  Est.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
06-Dec 0700 **  01-Dec MBA Mortgage Applications               -3.1    --   %
06-Dec 0815 *** Nov    ADP private payrolls                     235    -- k 
06-Dec 0830 **  Q3     non-farm productivity (f)                3.0   3.3   %
06-Dec 0830 **  Q3     unit labor costs (f)                     0.5   0.3   %
06-Dec 1000 **  Dec    IBD/TIPP Optimism Index                 53.6    --
06-Dec 1000 *   Dec    help-wanted online ratio                1.21    --
06-Dec 1030 **  01-Dec crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w           -3.43    -- m bbl
06-Dec 1500 *   Nov    Treasury STRIPS Holdings                  --    -- b USD
 
07-Dec 0730 *   Nov    challenger layoff plans                 -3.0    --   %
07-Dec 0830 **  02-Dec jobless claims                           238   240 k 
07-Dec 0945 *   03-Dec Bloomberg comfort index                   --    --
07-Dec 1000 *   Q3     Service Revenue                           --    --   %
07-Dec 1030 **  01-Dec natural gas stocks w/w                   -33    --   Bcf
07-Dec 1200 *   Q3     domestic non-financial debt               --    --   %
07-Dec 1500 *   Oct    consumer credit                         20.8  17.0 b USD
07-Dec 1500 *   Nov    Treasury Allotments (final)               --    -- b USD
07-Dec 1630 **  06-Dec Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
 
08-Dec 0830 *** Nov    nonfarm payrolls                         261   200 k 
08-Dec 0830 *** Nov    private payrolls                         252   198 k 
08-Dec 0830 *** Nov    unemployment rate                        4.1   4.1   %
08-Dec 0830 *** Nov    average hourly earnings                  0.0   0.3   %
08-Dec 0830 *** Nov    average workweek, all workers           34.4  34.4   hrs
08-Dec 1000 **  Oct    wholesale inventories                    0.3    --   %
08-Dec 1000 **  Oct    wholesale sales                          1.3    --   %
08-Dec 1000 *** Dec    Michigan sentiment index (p)            98.5  99.0
08-Dec 1100 **  Q4     St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast         +3.11    --   %
08-Dec 1115 **  Q4     NY Fed GDP Nowcast                       3.9    --   %
 
11-Dec 1000 **  Oct    JOLTS job openings level                6093    -- k 
11-Dec 1000 **  Oct    JOLTS quits rate                         2.2    --   %
11-Dec 1000 *   Nov    ETI                                    135.57   --
11-Dec 1100 **  Dec    NY Fed expectations survey                --    --
 
12-Dec 0600 **  Nov    NFIB Small Business Index              103.8    --
12-Dec 0830 *** Nov    Final Demand PPI                         0.4    --   %
12-Dec 0830 *** Nov    PPI ex. food and energy                  0.4    --   %
12-Dec 0830 *** Nov    PPI ex. food, energy, trade              0.2    --   %
12-Dec 0855 **  09-Dec Redbook retail sales m/m                -0.9    --   %
12-Dec 1100 **  Nov    Kansas City Fed LMCI                    0.52    --
12-Dec 1400 **  Nov    Treasury budget balance                -63.2    -- b USD
 
13-Dec 0700 **  08-Dec MBA Mortgage Applications                 --    --   %
13-Dec 0830 *** Nov    CPI                                      0.1    --   %
13-Dec 0830 *** Nov    CPI Ex Food and Energy                   0.2    --   %
13-Dec 1030 **  08-Dec crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w              --    -- m bbl
 
14-Dec 0830 **  09-Dec jobless claims                            --    -- k 
14-Dec 0830 *** Nov    retail sales                             0.2    --   %
14-Dec 0830 *** Nov    retail sales ex. motor vehicle           0.1    --   %
14-Dec 0830 *** Nov    retail sales ex. mtr veh, gas            0.3    --   %
14-Dec 0830 **  Nov    imports price index                      0.2    --   %
14-Dec 0830 **  Nov    exports price index                      0.0    --   %
14-Dec 0945 *** Dec    Markit Services Index (flash)           54.5    --
14-Dec 0945 *** Dec    Markit Mfg Index (flash)                53.9    --
14-Dec 0945 *   10-Dec Bloomberg comfort index                   --    --
14-Dec 1000 *   Oct    business inventories                     0.0    --   %
14-Dec 1030 **  08-Dec natural gas stocks w/w                    --    --   Bcf
14-Dec 1630 **  13-Dec Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
 
15-Dec 0830 **  Dec    Empire Manufacturing Index              19.4    --
15-Dec 0915 *** Nov    industrial production                    0.9    --   %
15-Dec 0915 *** Nov    capacity utilization                    77.0    --   %
15-Dec 1000 **  Dec    Atlanta Fed inflation                    2.0    --   %
15-Dec 1100 **  Q4     St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast            --    --   %
15-Dec 1115 **  Q4     NY Fed GDP Nowcast                        --    --   %
15-Dec 1600 **  Oct    net TICS flows                            --    -- b USD
15-Dec 1600 **  Oct    long term TICS flows                      --    -- b USD
 
18-Dec 0830 **  Dec    NY Fed Business Leaders Index           18.9    --
18-Dec 1000 **  Dec    NAHB home builder index                   70    --
 
19-Dec 0830 *** Nov    housing starts                          1.29    -- m 
19-Dec 0830 *** Nov    building permits                       1.316    -- m 
19-Dec 0830 *   Q3     current account balance                -123.1   -- b USD
19-Dec 0855 **  16-Dec Redbook retail sales m/m                  --    --   %
 
20-Dec 0700 **  15-Dec MBA Mortgage Applications                 --    --   %
20-Dec 1000 *** Nov    existing home sales                     5.48    -- m 
20-Dec 1030 **  15-Dec crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w              --    -- m bbl
 
21-Dec 0830 **  16-Dec jobless claims                            --    -- k 
21-Dec 0830 *** Q3     GDP (3rd)                                3.3    --   %
21-Dec 0830 *** Q3     GDP Price Index                          2.1    --   %
21-Dec 0830 **  Dec    Philadelphia Fed Mfg Index              22.7    --
21-Dec 0900 **  Oct    FHFA Home Price Index                    0.3    --   %
21-Dec 0945 *   17-Dec Bloomberg comfort index                   --    --
21-Dec 1000 **  Nov    leading indicators                       1.2    --   %
21-Dec 1030 **  15-Dec natural gas stocks w/w                    --    --   Bcf
21-Dec 1630 **  20-Dec Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
 
22-Dec 0830 **  Nov    durable goods new orders                -0.8    --   %
22-Dec 0830 **  Nov    durable new orders ex transport          0.9    --   %
22-Dec 0830 **  Nov    personal income                          0.4    --   %
22-Dec 0830 **  Nov    current dollar PCE                       0.3    --   %
22-Dec 0830 **  Nov    total PCE price index                    0.1    --   %
22-Dec 0830 **  Nov    core PCE price index                     0.2    --   %
22-Dec 0830 **  Dec    Philadelphia Fed Nonmfg Index           19.3    --
22-Dec 1000 *** Nov    new home sales                          .685    -- m 
22-Dec 1000 *   Nov    bldg permits revision                     --    -- m 
22-Dec 1000 *** Dec    Michigan sentiment index (f)              --    --
22-Dec 1000 *   Nov    BLS state payrolls                     240.7    -- k 
22-Dec 1100 **  Dec    Kansas City Fed Mfg Index                 16    --
22-Dec 1100 **  Q4     St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast            --    --   %
22-Dec 1115 **  Q4     NY Fed GDP Nowcast                        --    --   %
22-Dec 1500 *   Dec    Treasury Allotments (p)                   --    -- b USD
 
26-Dec 0900 **  Oct    Case-Shiller Home Price Index            0.5    --
26-Dec 1000 **  Dec    Richmond Fed Mfg Index                    30    --
26-Dec 1030 **  Dec    Dallas Fed manufacturing index          19.4    --
 
27-Dec 0700 **  22-Dec MBA Mortgage Applications                 --    --   %
27-Dec 0855 **  23-Dec Redbook retail sales m/m                  --    --   %
27-Dec 1000 **  Nov    NAR pending home sales index           109.3    --
27-Dec 1000 *** Dec    Conference Board confidence            129.5    --
27-Dec 1030 **  Dec    Dallas Fed services index               20.4    --
 
28-Dec 0830 **  23-Dec jobless claims                            --    -- k 
28-Dec 0830 **  Nov    advance goods trade gap                -69.1    -- b USD
28-Dec 0830 **  Nov    advance wholesale inventories           -0.4    --   %
28-Dec 0830 **  Nov    advance retail inventories              -0.1    --   %
28-Dec 0900 *   Dec    ISM-Milwaukee Mfg Index                59.62    --
28-Dec 0945 **  Dec    MNI Chicago PMI                         63.9    --
28-Dec 0945 *   24-Dec Bloomberg comfort index                   --    --
28-Dec 1030 **  22-Dec natural gas stocks w/w                    --    --   Bcf
28-Dec 1100 **  22-Dec crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w              --    -- m bbl
28-Dec 1500 *   Nov    farm prices                             -5.2    --   %
28-Dec 1630 **  27-Dec Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
 
29-Dec 1100 **  Q4     St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast            --    --   %
29-Dec 1115 **  Q4     NY Fed GDP Nowcast                        --    --   %
 
02-Jan 0945 *** Dec    Markit Mfg Index (final)                  --    --
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202-371-2121; email: holly.stokes@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$]