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US: House Speaker Johnson Eyeing Continuing Resolution Into March

US

House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) appears to be warming on a Continuing Resolution to punt Fiscal Year 2024 government funding deadline into mid-March, slightly longer than the late-Jan/early Feb extension floated earlier this month, according to Punchbowl News. 

  • The current extension expires on Decembers 20, one month before Trump takes office. Sandwiched in between is a floor vote for Speaker on January 3. Johnson is expected to win re-election but any short-term funding agreement will likely need Democrat support as a handful of hardline conservatives tend to vote against all CRs.
  • If lawmakers fail to pass a full FY25 package by the end of April 2025, the federal government will face across-the-board spending cuts to both defense and non-defense programs (“sequestration”) - a reality that may compel House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-NY) to cut a deal with Johnson.
  • Punting the FY25 funding deadline in the middle of Trump's first 100 days will be the first major test of Trump's coalition in Congress. The current Congress has seen the conservative fringe of the House Republican Conference wield asymmetrical power in the chamber. However, with Trump returning to the White House, the moderate bloc of the conference could become the power brokers.
  • Agreement on a stopgap funding measure may also be complicated by negotiations over the annual National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA), with the Senate bill authorizing $918 billion in spending, versus the House's $884 billion.
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House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) appears to be warming on a Continuing Resolution to punt Fiscal Year 2024 government funding deadline into mid-March, slightly longer than the late-Jan/early Feb extension floated earlier this month, according to Punchbowl News. 

  • The current extension expires on Decembers 20, one month before Trump takes office. Sandwiched in between is a floor vote for Speaker on January 3. Johnson is expected to win re-election but any short-term funding agreement will likely need Democrat support as a handful of hardline conservatives tend to vote against all CRs.
  • If lawmakers fail to pass a full FY25 package by the end of April 2025, the federal government will face across-the-board spending cuts to both defense and non-defense programs (“sequestration”) - a reality that may compel House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-NY) to cut a deal with Johnson.
  • Punting the FY25 funding deadline in the middle of Trump's first 100 days will be the first major test of Trump's coalition in Congress. The current Congress has seen the conservative fringe of the House Republican Conference wield asymmetrical power in the chamber. However, with Trump returning to the White House, the moderate bloc of the conference could become the power brokers.
  • Agreement on a stopgap funding measure may also be complicated by negotiations over the annual National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA), with the Senate bill authorizing $918 billion in spending, versus the House's $884 billion.