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US Implied Hikes At Low End For Week

STIR
  • Implied hikes in Fed Funds futures are at the low end for the week, with 29bps priced for March and 120bps following the Dec meeting.
  • Eurodollar reds lead the way down between 0.5-1.5 ticks on the day with whites unchanged, as implied yields remain steeper than immediately after last week’s FOMC out to Dec'23 after which they plateau at a lower rate.
  • Bullard said yesterday that market pricing for five rate hikes this year is not a bad bet but a lot is going to depend on how inflation develops. A 50bp move doesn’t help because “we can get a disciplined approach to raising the policy rate and the expectations are already in markets”, adding potential for “getting the balance sheet runoff going in the second quarter. That would be my preference”.

Source: Bloomberg, MNI

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