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US Inflation at the forefront

BUNDS
  • Focus today is squarely on the US CPI.
  • Bund tested the next support yield area noted at -0.293%, which equated to ~171.37 area.
  • Medium, longer term outlook is unchanged and tilted to the downside. Very short term, and so far this week, has seen more lighter short cover from Fast Money, Prop desks, Locals.
  • In terms of pure tech, resistance will be at yesterday's high, followed by 171.72 High Sep 23.
  • Above the latter, sees Yield support at -0.347%, which equates circa 172.09.
  • Besides the US inflation, today sees, Italian IP, US AWE and Wholesale inventory.
  • SUPPLIES: We get UK linkers, (won't impact Gilts), German Bund EU3bn (equates to 20k), expect limited delta hedging impact.
  • Portugal 10 and 15yr, and US $25bn 30yr.
  • SPEAKERS: Will be largely ignored, with focus squarely back onto Data releases ahead of the next Central Banks December meetings.
  • Today includes, ECB Elderson and BoE Tenreyro.

Chart source: Bloomberg

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