WILLIAMS: 'WAY ABOVE' AMPLE LEVEL OF RESERVES

MNI BRIEF: Goolsbee Downplays Fed Disagreement, Hotter CPI

MNI BRIEF: US Sept CPI Hotter Than Forecast; Claims Higher Too

MNI China Daily Summary: Thursday, October 10

MNI: PBOC Net Drains CNY142 Bln via OMO Thursday

EZ/UK Bond Supply Calendar: BTP Auction on Friday

US EIA:NAT GAS STORAGE +82 BCF TO 3,629 BCF OCT 04 WK

MNI: US JOBLESS CLAIMS +33K TO 258K IN OCT 05 WK

CANADA: Politics Week: Parliament Opens With Early Election Threats

AUSTRALIA: Albanese Lines Up Budget for May Election

AUSTRALIA: Albanese Lines Up Budget for May Election

© 1982-2024 MNI. All rights reserved.
Terms | Privacy
Log Out
Free Trial

US: Race For Control Of The Senate Moves Further Away From Democrats

US
USGlobalHomepagemarkets-real-timePolitical RiskPolitical Risk BulletBulletMarketsFixed Income BulletsForeign Exchange BulletsRegionNorth America

A new set of polls from the New York Times/Siena College has shown the race for control of the Senate appears to be drifting even further away from Democrats.

  • The surveys show Democrat Senator Jon Tester (D-MT) trailing Republican challenger Tim Sheehy (R) by seven points in Montana. If Tester fails to retain his seat, Republicans will be heavily favoured to flip control of the Senate.
  • In Ohio, Senator Sherrod Brown's (D-OH) lead has shrunk further to just one point, according to the Washington Post, opening up another strong path for the GOP to win the chamber.
  • In the two long-shot Republican defensive races, Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) is maintaining a four-point lead over Democrat Rep Colin Alred (D-TX), and Senator Rick Scott (R-FL) has extended his lead in Florida to nine points. The two southern races suggest there is a very low chance of a 'plan B' route if Tester loses in Montana.
  • In response to the new polling, Democrats' chances of retaining the Senate dropped from 30% to 25% today, according to Polymarket. 

Figure 1: Democrats Retain Control of the Senate 

Keep reading...Show less
184 words

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.

A new set of polls from the New York Times/Siena College has shown the race for control of the Senate appears to be drifting even further away from Democrats.

  • The surveys show Democrat Senator Jon Tester (D-MT) trailing Republican challenger Tim Sheehy (R) by seven points in Montana. If Tester fails to retain his seat, Republicans will be heavily favoured to flip control of the Senate.
  • In Ohio, Senator Sherrod Brown's (D-OH) lead has shrunk further to just one point, according to the Washington Post, opening up another strong path for the GOP to win the chamber.
  • In the two long-shot Republican defensive races, Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) is maintaining a four-point lead over Democrat Rep Colin Alred (D-TX), and Senator Rick Scott (R-FL) has extended his lead in Florida to nine points. The two southern races suggest there is a very low chance of a 'plan B' route if Tester loses in Montana.
  • In response to the new polling, Democrats' chances of retaining the Senate dropped from 30% to 25% today, according to Polymarket. 

Figure 1: Democrats Retain Control of the Senate 

Keep reading...Show less