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US: Recap of Economic Indicators

                             Sep-17   Aug-17   Jul-17   Jun-17   May-17   Apr-17
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UI Claims/4wk avg
wk 1                        298/250  244/241  250/244  245/242  238/243  235/250
wk 2                        282/263  232/241  248/246  238/243  236/244  234/247
wk 3                        259/269  235/238  234/244  242/245  233/241  243/243
wk 4                                 236/237  245/244  244/242  235/236  257/242
wk 5                                          241/242           255/240
Nonfarm Payrolls                       +156k    +189k    +210k    +145k    +207k
Private Payrolls                       +165k    +202k    +207k    +153k    +194k
Mfg Payroll                             +36k     +26k     +21k     Flat      +9k
Unemployment                            4.4%     4.3%     4.4%     4.3%     4.4%
Avg Wkly Hours                          34.4     34.5     34.5     34.4     34.5
Avg Hours - Mfg                         40.7     40.9     40.8     40.7     40.7
Aggr Hours Index                       -0.2%    +0.2%    +0.5%    -0.2%    +0.8%
Aggr Hrs Index - Mfg                   -0.2%    +0.5%    +0.3%     Flat    +0.3%
Avg Hourly Earnings                    +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.2%
Final Demand PPI                       +0.2%    -0.1%    +0.1%     Flat    +0.6%
excl food & energy                     +0.1%    -0.1%    +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.5%
excl food, energy, trade               +0.2%     Flat    +0.2%    -0.1%    +0.7%
CPI                                     +0.4     +0.1     Flat    -0.1%    +0.2%
excl food & energy                      +0.2     +0.1    +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.1%
Import Prices                           +0.6     -0.1    -0.2%    -0.1%    +0.2%
non-petro import prices                 +0.3     -0.1    +0.1%     Flat    +0.3%
ISM Mfg Prices Pd Index                 62.0     62.0     55.0     60.5     68.5
Core PCE Price Index                            +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.2%
Treasury Budget (bn)                 -$107.7   -$42.9   -$90.2   -$88.4  +$182.4
Consumer Credit (bn)                           +$18.5   +$11.8   +$18.3   +$12.3
CB Consumer Confidence        119.8    120.4    120.0    117.3    117.6    119.4
Consumer Sentiment                      96.8     93.4     95.1     97.1     97.0
Car Sales, saar (mn)                     4.0      4.2      4.0      4.2      4.3
Truck Sales, saar (mn)                   8.3      8.7      8.8      8.5      8.6
Total, saar (mn)                        12.3     12.9     12.8     12.7     12.9
Retail Sales                           -0.2%    +0.3%    -0.1%     Flat    +0.3%
excl motor vehicles                    +0.2%    +0.4%    -0.2%    -0.2%    +0.3%
Personal Income                                 +0.4%     Flat    +0.3%    +0.1%
Personal Spending                               +0.3%    +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.3%
ISM Mfg Index                           58.8     56.3     57.8     54.9     54.8
ISM Nonmfg NMI                          55.3     53.9     57.4     56.9     57.5
MNI Chicago Report                      58.9     58.9     65.7     59.4     58.3
Phila Fed Mfg Index            23.8     18.9     19.5     27.6     38.8     22.0
Phila Fed Nonmfg Index         33.2     31.8     23.4     33.6     25.6     30.1
Empire State Index             24.4     25.2      9.8     19.8     -1.0      5.2
Markit Mfg Index            53.0(a)     52.8     53.3     52.0     52.7     52.8
Markit Services Index       55.1(a)     56.0     54.6     54.2     53.6     53.1
Ind Production                         -0.9%    +0.4%    +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.9%
Capacity Util                          76.1%    76.9%    76.7%    76.6%    76.5%
Factory Orders                                  -3.3%    +3.2%    -0.3%    -0.3%
Factory Orders ex
transport                                       +0.5%    +0.1%    -0.1%     Flat
Durables                                +1.7    -6.8%    +6.4%     Flat    -0.8%
Durables ex transport                   +0.2     +0.8     Flat    +0.8%    -0.4%
Nondurables                                     +0.4%    +0.2%    -0.6%    +0.2%
Mfg Shipments                                   +0.3%    +0.1%    +0.3%     Flat
Business Inventories                            +0.2%    +0.5%    +0.3%    -0.2%
Factory                                         +0.2%     +0.3    -0.2%     Flat
Retail                                          -0.1%    +0.6%    +0.6%    -0.2%
Wholesale                                        +0.6    +0.6%    +0.6%    -0.5%
Housing Starts (mn)                    1.180    1.190    1.217    1.129    1.154
Building Permits (mn)                  1.272    1.230    1.275    1.168    1.228
NAHB Index                       64       67       64       66       69       68
New Home Sales (k)                       560      580      614      606      577
Existing Homes (mn)                     5.35     5.44     5.51     5.62     5.56
Pending Home Sales Index               106.3    109.1    110.0    108.6    109.4
Construct Spending                              -0.6%    -1.4%    +1.6%    -1.8%
Private Residential                             +0.8%    +0.4%    +0.7%    -0.4%
Trade Balance (bn)                             -$43.7   -$43.5   -$46.4   -$47.6
Exports (bn)                                   $194.4   $194.9   $192.3   $191.2
Imports (bn)                                   $238.1   $238.5   $238.7   $238.8
Goods Only, BOP (bn)                           -$63.9   -$63.9   -$66.3   -$68.4
Leading Index                           +0.4    +0.3%    +0.6%    +0.3%    +0.2%
                                                         Q2-17             Q1-17
GDP (chain-wt)                                           +3.0%             +1.2%
Final Sales                                              +3.0%             +2.7%
Chain prices                                             +1.0%             +2.0%
Current-dollar                                           +4.0%             +3.3%
                                                         Q2-17             Q1-17
Nonfarm Productivity                                     +1.5%             +0.1%
Nonfarm Unit Labor Costs                                 +0.2%             +4.8%
                                                         Q2-17             Q1-17
ECI (q/q)                                                +0.5%             +0.8%
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 212-800-8517; email: sara.haire@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAUDT$,M$U$$$]

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