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Free AccessUS: Recap of Economic Indicators
Dec-17 Nov-17 Oct-17 Sep-17 Aug-17 Jul-17
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UI Claims/4wk avg
wk 1 236/242 239/231 244/258 298/250 244/241 250/244
wk 2 225/235 252/239 223/249 281/263 232/241 248/246
wk 3 240/240 234/240 260/269 235/238 234/244
wk 4 238/242 229/233 269/277 236/237 245/244
wk 5 258/267 241/242
Nonfarm Payrolls +228k +244k +38k +208k +138k
Private Payrolls +221k +247k +50k +184k +133k
Mfg Payroll +31k +23k +9k +44k -11k
Unemployment 4.1% 4.1% 4.2% 4.4% 4.3%
Avg Wkly Hours 34.5 34.4 34.4 34.4 34.4
Avg Hours - Mfg 40.9 40.9 40.8 40.8 40.9
Aggr Hours Index +0.5% +0.3% Flat +0.2% -0.2%
Aggr Hrs Index - Mfg +0.2% +0.4% +0.1% +0.1% +0.2%
Avg Hourly Earnings +0.2% -0.1% +0.5% +0.2% +0.5%
Final Demand PPI +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.2% -0.1%
excl food & energy +0.3% +0.4% +0.4% +0.1% -0.1%
excl food, energy, trade +0.4% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% Flat
CPI +0.4% +0.1% +0.5% +0.4% +0.1%
excl food & energy +0.1% +0.2% +0.1% +0.2% +0.1%
Import Prices +0.7% +0.1% +0.8% +0.6% -0.1%
non-petro import prices +0.1% +0.1% +0.3% +0.2% -0.1%
ISM Mfg Prices Pd Index 65.5 68.5 71.5 62.0 62.0
PCE Price Index M/M +0.1% +0.4% +0.2% +0.1%
PCE Price Index Y/Y +1.6% +1.7% +1.4% +1.4%
Core PCE Price Index M/M +0.2% +0.2% +0.1% +0.1%
Core PCE Price Index Y/Y +1.4% +1.4% +1.3% +1.4%
Treasury Budget (bn) -$138.5 -$63.2 +$8.0 -$107.7 -$42.9
Consumer Credit (bn) +$20.5 +$19.2 +$11.5 +$15.0
CB Consumer Confidence 129.5 126.2 120.6 120.4 120.0
Consumer Sentiment 96.8(a) 98.5 100.7 95.1 96.8 93.4
Car Sales, saar (mn) 4.3 4.4 4.6 4.0 4.2
Truck Sales, saar (mn) 9.0 9.4 9.6 8.3 8.7
Total, saar (mn) 13.3 13.8 14.2 12.3 12.9
Retail Sales +0.8% +0.5% +2.0% -0.1% +0.5%
excl motor vehicles +1.0% +0.4% +1.3% +0.5% +0.5%
Personal Income +0.4% +0.4% +0.2% +0.3%
Personal Spending +0.3% +0.9% +0.2% +0.4%
ISM Mfg Index 58.2 58.7 60.8 58.8 56.3
ISM Nonmfg NMI 57.4 60.1 59.8 55.3 53.9
MNI Chicago Report 63.9 66.2 65.2 58.9 58.9
Phila Fed Mfg Index 22.7 27.9 23.8 18.9 19.5
Phila Fed Nonmfg Index 19.3 32.2 33.2 31.8 23.4
Empire State Index 18.0 19.4 30.2 24.4 25.2 9.8
Markit Mfg Index 55.0(a) 53.9 54.6 53.1 52.8 53.3
Markit Services Index 52.4(a) 54.5 55.3 55.3 56.0 54.6
Ind Production +0.2% +1.2% +0.3% -0.4% Flat
Capacity Util 77.1% 77.0% 76.2% 76.1% 76.5%
Factory Orders -0.1% +1.7% +1.2% -3.3%
Factory Orders ex
transport +0.8% +1.1% +0.6% +0.5%
Durables -0.8% +2.4% +2.1% -6.8%
Durables ex transport +0.9% +1.3% +0.8% +0.8
Nondurables +0.7% +1.0% +0.4% +0.3%
Mfg Shipments +0.6% +1.1% +0.6% +0.2%
Business Inventories -0.1% Flat +0.6% +0.3%
Factory +0.2% +0.6% +0.6% +0.4%
Retail Flat -0.9% +0.6% Flat
Wholesale -0.5% +0.1% +0.8% +0.6
Housing Starts (mn) 1.290 1.135 1.172 1.185
Building Permits (mn) 1.316 1.225 1.272 1.230
NAHB Index 74 69 68 64 67 64
New Home Sales (k) 685 645 565 582
Existing Homes (mn) 5.48 5.37 5.35 5.44
Pending Home Sales Index 109.3 105.6 106.0 109.1
Construct Spending +1.4% +0.3% +0.5% -0.9%
Private Residential +0.4% -0.2% +0.5% -0.8%
Trade Balance (bn) -$48.7 -$44.9 -$44.3 -$43.6
Exports (bn) $195.9 $195.9 $193.7 $194.5
Imports (bn) $244.6 $240.8 $238.1 $238.1
Goods Only, BOP (bn) -$69.1 -$65.2 -$64.7 -$65.3
Leading Index +1.2% +0.1% +0.4% +0.3%
Q3-17 Q2-17
GDP (chain-wt) +3.3% +3.1%
Final Sales +2.5% +2.9%
Chain prices +2.1% +1.0%
Current-dollar +5.5% +4.1%
Q3-17 Q2-17
Nonfarm Productivity +3.0% +1.5%
Nonfarm Unit Labor Costs -0.2% +0.3%
Q3-17 Q2-17
ECI (q/q) +0.7% +0.5%
(a) advance report
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 212-800-8517; email: sara.haire@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAUDT$,M$U$$$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.