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US: Recap of Economic Indicators

                             Feb-18   Jan-18   Dec-17   Nov-17   Oct-17   Sep-17
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UI Claims/4wk avg
wk 1                        223/225  261/251  236/242  239/231  244/258  298/250
wk 2                        230/229  216/244  225/235  252/239  223/249  281/263
wk 3                                 231/240  245/236  240/240  234/240  260/269
wk 4                                 230/235  247/238  238/242  229/233  269/277
wk 5                                          250/242                    258/267
Nonfarm Payrolls                       +200k    +160k    +216k    +271k     +14k
Private Payrolls                       +196k    +166k    +217k    +277k     +16k
Mfg Payroll                             +15k     +21k     +30k     +20k      +6k
Unemployment                            4.1%     4.1%     4.1%     4.1%     4.2%
Avg Wkly Hours                          34.3     34.5     34.5     34.4     34.3
Avg Hours - Mfg                         40.6     40.8     40.9     40.9     40.8
Aggr Hours Index                       -0.5%    +0.2%    +0.5%    +0.5%    -0.3%
Aggr Hrs Index - Mfg                   -0.3%    -0.1%    +0.2%    +0.4%    +0.1%
Avg Hourly Earnings                    +0.3%    +0.4%    +0.3%    -0.2%    +0.4%
Final Demand PPI                       +0.4%     Flat    +0.4%    +0.5%    +0.3%
excl food & energy                     +0.4%    -0.1%    +0.2%    +0.5%    +0.1%
excl food, energy, trade               +0.4%    +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.3%    +0.2%
CPI                                    +0.5%    +0.2%    +0.3%    +0.1%    +0.5%
excl food & energy                     +0.3%    +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.1%
Import Prices                          +1.0%    +0.2%    +1.0%    +0.2%    +0.8%
non-petro import prices                +0.5%     Flat    +0.2%     Flat    +0.4%
ISM Mfg Prices Pd Index                 72.7     69.0     65.5     68.5     71.5
PCE Price Index M/M                             +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.4%
PCE Price Index Y/Y                             +1.7%    +1.8%    +1.6%    +1.7%
Core PCE Price Index M/M                        +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.2%
Core PCE Price Index Y/Y                        +1.5%    +1.5%    +1.4%    +1.4%
Treasury Budget (bn)                  +$49.2   -$23.2  -$138.5   -$63.2    +$7.9
Consumer Credit (bn)                           +$18.5   +$31.0   +$23.0    +$9.2
CB Consumer Confidence                 125.4    123.1    128.6    126.2    120.6
Consumer Sentiment          99.9(a)     95.7     95.9     98.5    100.7     95.1
Car Sales, saar (mn)                     3.8      4.1      4.3      4.4      4.6
Truck Sales, saar (mn)                   9.0      9.5      9.0      9.4      9.6
Total, saar (mn)                        12.8     13.6     13.3     13.8     14.2
Retail Sales                           -0.3%     Flat    +0.8%    +0.7%    +2.0%
excl motor vehicles                     Flat    +0.1%    +1.2%    +0.5%    +1.3%
Personal Income                                 +0.4%    +0.3%    +0.4%    +0.5%
Personal Spending                               +0.4%    +0.8%    +0.3%    +1.0%
ISM Mfg Index                           59.1     59.3     58.2     58.5     60.2
ISM Nonmfg NMI                          59.9     56.0     57.3     59.8     59.4
MNI Chicago Report                      65.7     67.8     65.6     65.4     64.3
Phila Fed Mfg Index            25.8     22.2     27.9     24.3     28.8     25.8
Phila Fed Nonmfg Index         31.0     19.5     29.4     25.6     33.4     33.7
Empire State Index             13.1     17.7     19.6     20.9     28.1     23.8
KC Fed Mfg Index                          16       13       15       22       18
Richmond Fed Mfg Index                    14       20       30       12       19
Dallas Fed Mfg Index                    33.4     29.7     19.4     27.6     21.3
Markit Mfg Index                        55.5     55.1     53.9     54.6     53.1
Markit Services Index                   53.3     53.7     54.5     55.3     55.3
Ind Production                         -0.1%    +0.4%    +0.3%    +1.7%    +0.2%
Capacity Util                          77.5%    77.7%    77.5%    77.3%    76.1%
Factory Orders                                  +1.7%    +1.7%    +0.4%    +1.7%
Factory Orders ex
transport                                       +0.7%    +1.1%    +1.2%    +1.1%
Durables                                        +2.8%    +1.7%    -0.4%    +2.4%
Durables ex transport                           +0.7%    +0.4%    +1.4%    +1.3%
Nondurables                                     +0.7%    +1.6%    +1.1%    +1.0%
Mfg Shipments                                   +0.6%    +1.4%    +0.8%    +1.1%
Business Inventories                            +0.4%    +0.4%     Flat     Flat
Factory                                         +0.5%    +0.5%    +0.3%    +0.6%
Retail                                          +0.2%    +0.2%     Flat    -0.9%
Wholesale                                       +0.4%    +0.6%    -0.4%    +0.1%
Housing Starts (mn)                    1.326    1.209    1.299    1.261    1.159
Building Permits (mn)                  1.396    1.300    1.303    1.316    1.225
NAHB Index                       72       72       74       69       68       64
New Home Sales (k)                                625      689      599      639
Existing Homes (mn)                              5.57     5.78     5.50     5.37
Pending Home Sales Index                        110.1    109.6    109.3    105.6
Construct Spending                              +0.7%    +0.6%    +0.1%    +1.3%
Private Residential                             +0.5%    +1.1%    -1.0%    +1.4%
Trade Balance (bn)                             -$53.1   -$50.4   -$48.9   -$44.8
Exports (bn)                                   $203.4   $199.8   $195.3   $195.9
Imports (bn)                                   $256.5   $250.2   $244.1   $240.3
Goods Only, BOP (bn)                           -$73.3   -$70.8   -$69.2   -$65.2
Leading Index                                   +0.6%    +0.5%    +1.3%     Flat
                                                Q4-17                      Q3-17
GDP (chain-wt)                                  +2.6%                      +3.2%
Final Sales                                     +3.2%                      +2.4%
Chain prices                                    +2.4%                      +2.1%
Current-dollar                                  +5.0%                      +5.3%
                                                Q4-17                      Q3-17
Nonfarm Productivity                            -0.1%                      +2.7%
Nonfarm Unit Labor Costs                        +2.0%                      -0.1%
                                                Q4-17                      Q3-17
ECI (q/q)                                       +0.6%                      +0.7%
(a) advance report
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 212-800-8517; email: sara.haire@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAUDT$,M$U$$$]

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