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AUDUSD TECHS

Tepid Bounce

LATAM

OUTLOOK: WEEK AHEAD

US EURODLR OPTIONS

Nice Mark for Early Put Buyer

CANADA

Canada/US Border Talk

EURJPY TECHS

Needle Still Points North

LATAM

Updated Central Bank Schedule

US: Recap of Economic Indicators

                             Feb-19   Jan-19   Dec-18   Nov-18   Oct-18   Sep-18
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UI Claims/4wk avg
wk 1                        235/225  216/222  206/225  221/217  215/210  204/208
wk 2                        239/232  212/221  217/223  224/219  210/212  202/206
wk 3                        217/236  200/215  221/220  234/223  216/212  215/206
wk 4                        226/229  253/220  233/219  231/228  215/214  207/207
wk 5                        223/226                             214/214
Nonfarm Payrolls               +20k    +311k    +227k    +196k    +277k    +108k
Private Payrolls               +25k    +308k    +224k    +200k    +285k    +108k
Mfg Payroll                     +4k     +21k     +20k     +27k     +29k     +18k
Unemployment                   3.8%     4.0%     3.9%     3.7%     3.8%     3.7%
Avg Wkly Hours                 34.4     34.5     34.5     34.4     34.5     34.4
Avg Hours - Mfg                40.7     40.8     40.9     40.8     40.8     40.9
Aggr Hours Index              -0.3%    +0.3%    +0.5%    -0.2%    +0.3%     Flat
Aggr Hrs Index - Mfg          -0.2%     Flat    +0.3%    +0.2%     Flat    -0.1%
Avg Hourly Earnings           +0.4%    +0.1%    +0.4%    +0.3%    +0.2%    +0.3%
Final Demand PPI                       -0.1%    -0.1%    +0.1%    +0.5%    +0.1%
excl food & energy                     +0.3%    +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.3%    +0.2%
excl food, energy, trade               +0.2%     Flat    +0.3%    +0.1%    +0.3%
CPI                                     Flat     Flat     Flat    +0.3%    +0.1%
excl food & energy                     +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.2%
Import Prices                          -0.5%    -1.0%    -1.7%    +0.5%    +0.1%
non-petro import prices                -0.7%    +0.3%     Flat    +0.2%    +0.1%
ISM Mfg Prices Pd Index                 49.6     54.9     60.7     71.6     66.9
PCE Price Index M/M                             +0.1%     Flat    +0.2%    +0.1%
PCE Price Index Y/Y                             +1.7%    +1.8%    +2.0%    +2.0%
Core PCE Price Index M/M                        +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.2%
Core PCE Price Index Y/Y                        +1.7%    +1.8%    +2.0%    +2.0%
Treasury Budget (bn)                           -$13.5  -$204.9  -$100.5  +$119.1
Consumer Credit (bn)                           +$16.6   +$22.1   +$25.4   +$10.9
CB Consumer Confidence        131.4    121.7    126.6    136.4    137.9    135.3
Consumer Sentiment             93.8     91.2     98.3     97.5     98.6    100.1
Car Sales Ex GM,Ford, saar
(mn)                                     2.5      2.6      2.5      2.7      2.5
Truck Sales Ex GM,Ford,
Saar (mn)                                4.6      5.0      4.9      4.9      5.3
Total Ex GM,Ford, saar
(mn)                                     7.1      7.5      7.4      7.6      7.8
Retail Sales                                    -1.2%    +0.1%    +1.0%    -0.2%
excl motor vehicles                             -1.8%     Flat    +0.8%    -0.3%
Personal Income                        -0.1%    +1.0%    +0.3%    +0.5%     +0.2
Personal Spending                               -0.5%    +0.6%    +0.7%    +0.1%
ISM Mfg Index                  54.2     56.6     54.3     58.8     57.5     59.5
ISM Nonmfg NMI                 59.7     56.7     58.0     60.4     60.0     60.8
MNI Chicago Report             64.7     56.7     63.8     63.5     59.4     61.5
Phila Fed Mfg Index            -4.1     17.0      9.1     11.9     19.7     21.4
Phila Fed Nonmfg Index         10.0      1.0      7.7     35.5     34.7     35.8
Empire State Index                       3.9     11.5     21.4     20.0     18.8
KC Fed Mfg Index                  1        5        6       17       10       13
Richmond Fed Mfg Index                    -2       -8       14       15       29
Dallas Fed Mfg Index           13.1      1.0     -5.1     17.6     29.4     28.1
Markit Mfg Index               53.0     54.9     53.8     55.4     55.7     55.6
Markit Services Index          56.2     54.2     54.4     54.7     54.8     53.5
Ind Production                         -0.6%    +0.1%    +0.6%    +0.3%    +0.1%
Capacity Util                          78.2%    78.8%    78.9%    78.4%    78.4%
Factory Orders                                  +0.1%    -0.5%    -2.1%    +0.2%
Factory Orders ex
transport                                       -0.6%    -1.3%    +0.2%    +0.1%
Durables                                        +1.2%    +0.9%    -4.3%     Flat
Durables ex transport                           +0.1%    -0.2%    +0.4%    -0.5%
Nondurables                                     -1.0%    -2.0%    +0.1%    +0.5%
Mfg Shipments                                   +0.8%    +1.0%    -0.3%    +0.7%
Business Inventories                                     -0.1%    +0.6%    +0.5%
Factory                                                  -0.1%    +0.2%    +0.6%
Retail                                                   -0.4%    +0.8%    +0.1%
Wholesale                                                +0.3%    +0.9%    +0.7%
Housing Starts (mn)                    1.230    1.037    1.206    1.209    1.237
Building Permits (mn)                  1.345    1.326    1.322    1.265    1.270
NAHB Index                                58       56       60       60       68
New Home Sales (k)                                621      599      549      597
Existing Homes (mn)                     4.94     5.00     5.21     5.22     5.18
Pending Home Sales Index                         99.0    101.2    102.1    104.8
Construct Spending                              -0.6%    +0.8%    +0.2%    -1.8%
Private Residential                             -1.4%    +3.4%    -0.7%    -2.0%
Trade Balance (bn)                             -$59.8   -$50.3   -$56.3   -$55.4
Exports (bn)                                  +$205.1  +$209.1  +$210.4  +$210.6
Imports (bn)                                  +$264.8  +$259.4  +$266.7  +$266.0
Goods Only, BOP (bn)                           -$81.5   -$72.6   -$78.9   -$78.0
Leading Index                                   -0.1%    +0.2%    -0.3%    +0.5%
                                                Q4-18                      Q3-18
GDP (chain-wt)                                  +2.6%                      +3.4%
Final Sales                                     +2.5%                      +1.0%
Chain prices                                    +1.8%                      +1.8%
Current-dollar                                  +4.6%                      +4.9%
                                                Q4-18                      Q3-18
Nonfarm Productivity                            +1.9%                      +1.8%
Nonfarm Unit Labor Costs                        +2.0%                      +1.6%
                                                Q4-18                      Q3-18
ECI (q/q)                                       +0.7%                      +0.8%
(a) advance report
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 (973) 494-2611; email: harrison.clarke@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAUDT$,M$U$$$]