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Free AccessUS: Recap of Economic Indicators
Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 21:06 GMT May 6/17:06 EST May 6
Apr-19 Mar-19 Feb-19 Jan-19 Dec-18 Nov-18
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UI Claims/4wk avg
wk 1 197/207 224/220 230/225 221/224 213/225 223/219
wk 2 193/201 216/220 231/229 217/223 220/224 224/221
wk 3 230/206 212/217 213/229 211/220 223/221 234/224
wk 4 230/212 204/214 224/225 244/223 231/222 229/227
wk 5 218/221
Nonfarm Payrolls +263k +189k +56k +312k +227k +196k
Private Payrolls +236k +179k +46k +297k +224k +200k
Mfg Payroll +4k Unch +8k +17k +20k +27k
Unemployment 3.6% 3.8% 3.8% 4.0% 3.9% 3.7%
Avg Wkly Hours 34.4 34.5 34.4 34.5 34.5 34.4
Avg Hours - Mfg 40.7 40.7 40.7 40.8 40.9 40.8
Aggr Hours Index -0.1% +0.5% -0.3% +0.3% +0.5% -0.2%
Aggr Hrs Index - Mfg Flat Flat -0.2% -0.1% +0.3% +0.2%
Avg Hourly Earnings +0.2% +0.2% +0.4% +0.1% +0.4% +0.3%
Final Demand PPI +0.6% +0.1% -0.1% -0.1% +0.1%
excl food & energy +0.3% +0.1% +0.3% Flat +0.3%
excl food, energy, trade Flat +0.1% +0.2% Flat +0.3%
CPI +0.4% +0.2% Flat Flat Flat
excl food & energy +0.1% +0.1% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2%
Import Prices +0.6% +0.6 +0.1% -1.4% -1.6%
non-petro import prices +0.2% +0.1% -0.6% +0.2% +0.1%
ISM Mfg Prices Pd Index 54.3 49.4 49.6 54.9 60.7
PCE Price Index M/M +0.2% +0.1% Flat +0.1% +0.1
PCE Price Index Y/Y +1.5% +1.3% +1.4% +1.8% +1.8%
Core PCE Price Index M/M Flat +0.1% +0.1% +0.2% +0.2%
Core PCE Price Index Y/Y +1.6% +1.7% +1.8% +2.0% +1.9%
Treasury Budget (bn) -$146.9 +$8.7 -$13.5 -$204.9
Consumer Credit (bn) +$15.2 +$17.7 +$15.4 +$22.1
CB Consumer Confidence 129.2 124.2 131.4 121.7 126.6 136.4
Consumer Sentiment 96.9 98.5 93.8 91.2 98.3 97.5
Car Sales Ex GM,Ford, saar
(mn) 2.3 2.6 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.5
Truck Sales Ex GM,Ford,
Saar (mn) 4.8 5.0 4.7 4.6 5.0 4.9
Total Ex GM,Ford, saar
(mn) 7.1 7.6 7.1 7.1 7.5 7.4
Retail Sales +1.6% -0.2% +0.8% -1.6% Flat
excl motor vehicles +1.2% -0.2% +1.4% -2.1% -0.1%
Personal Income +0.1% +0.2% -0.1% +1.0% +0.3%
Personal Spending +0.9% +0.1% +0.3% -0.6% +0.5%
ISM Mfg Index 52.8 55.3 54.2 56.6 54.3 58.8
ISM Nonmfg NMI 55.5 56.1 59.7 56.7 58.0 60.4
MNI Chicago Report 52.6 58.7 64.7 56.7 63.8 63.5
Phila Fed Mfg Index 8.5 13.7 -4.1 17.0 9.1 11.9
Phila Fed Nonmfg Index 21.0 21.7 10.0 1.0 7.7 35.5
Empire State Index 10.1 3.7 8.8 3.9 11.5 21.4
KC Fed Mfg Index 5 10 1 5 6 17
Richmond Fed Mfg Index 3 10 16 -2 -8 14
Dallas Fed Mfg Index 2.0 6.9 11.6 -0.2 -6.9 16.1
Markit Mfg Index 52.4 52.4 53.0 54.9 53.8 55.4
Markit Services Index 53.0 55.3 56.0 54.2 54.4 54.7
Ind Production -0.1% +0.1 -0.3% Flat +0.7%
Capacity Util 78.8% 79.0% 79.1% 79.5% 79.6%
Factory Orders +1.9% -0.3% Flat +0.1% -0.5%
Factory Orders ex
transport +0.8% +0.3% -0.1% -0.5% -1.3%
Durables +2.6% -1.3% +0.1% +1.3% +0.9%
Durables ex transport +0.3% -0.4% -0.1% +0.3% -0.2%
Nondurables +1.1% +0.8% -0.1% -1.1% -2.0%
Mfg Shipments +0.7% +0.5% -0.3% +0.1% +1.0%
Business Inventories +0.3% +0.9% +0.8% Flat
Factory +0.3% +0.5% +0.1% -0.1%
Retail +0.3% +0.8% +1.1% -0.4%
Wholesale +0.2% +1.2% +1.1% +0.4%
Housing Starts (mn) 1.139 1.142 1.298 1.140 1.206
Building Permits (mn) 1.288 1.291 1.317 1.326 1.322
NAHB Index 63 62 62 58 56 60
New Home Sales (k) 692 662 625 588 628
Existing Homes (mn) 5.21 5.48 4.93 5.00 5.21
Pending Home Sales Index 101.9 103.2 99.0 101.2
Construct Spending -0.9% +0.7% +0.7% +0.2% -1.3%
Private Residential -1.8% -0.4% -2.9% +0.8% -0.6%
Trade Balance (bn) -$49.4 -$51.1 -$59.9 -$50.5
Exports (bn) +$209.7 +$207.3 +$205.4 +$209.3
Imports (bn) +$259.1 +$258.5 +$265.4 +$259.9
Goods Only, BOP (bn) -$72.0 -$73.2 -$81.5 -$72.6
Leading Index +0.4% +0.1% Flat -0.1% +0.2%
Q1-19 Q4-18
GDP (chain-wt) +3.2% +2.2%
Final Sales +2.5% +2.1%
Chain prices +0.9% +1.7%
Current-dollar +3.8% +4.1%
Q1-19 Q4-18
Nonfarm Productivity +3.6% +1.3%
Nonfarm Unit Labor Costs -0.9% +2.5%
Q1-19 Q4-18
ECI (q/q) +0.7% +0.7%
(a) advance report
--MNI Washington Bureau; tel: +1 202-371-2121; email: kevin.kastner@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.