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                             May-19   Apr-19   Mar-19   Feb-19   Jan-19   Dec-18
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UI Claims/4wk avg
wk 1                        228/220  197/207  224/220  230/225  221/224  213/225
wk 2                        212/225  193/201  216/220  231/229  217/223  220/224
wk 3                        211/220  230/206  212/217  213/229  211/220  223/221
wk 4                                 230/212  204/214  224/225  244/223  231/222
wk 5                                                   218/221
Nonfarm Payrolls                       +263k    +189k     +56k    +312k    +227k
Private Payrolls                       +236k    +179k     +46k    +297k    +224k
Mfg Payroll                              +4k     Unch      +8k     +17k     +20k
Unemployment                            3.6%     3.8%     3.8%     4.0%     3.9%
Avg Wkly Hours                          34.4     34.5     34.4     34.5     34.5
Avg Hours - Mfg                         40.7     40.7     40.7     40.8     40.9
Aggr Hours Index                       -0.1%    +0.5%    -0.3%    +0.3%    +0.5%
Aggr Hrs Index - Mfg                    Flat     Flat    -0.2%    -0.1%    +0.3%
Avg Hourly Earnings                    +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.4%    +0.1%    +0.4%
Final Demand PPI                       +0.2%    +0.6%    +0.1%    -0.1%    -0.1%
excl food & energy                     +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.1%    +0.3%     Flat
excl food, energy, trade               +0.4%     Flat    +0.1%    +0.2%     Flat
CPI                                    +0.3%    +0.4%    +0.2%     Flat     Flat
excl food & energy                     +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.2%
Import Prices                          +0.2%    +0.6%    +1.0%    +0.2%    -1.4%
non-petro import prices                -0.6%    +0.2%    +0.2%    -0.3%    +0.2%
ISM Mfg Prices Pd Index                 50.0     54.3     49.4     49.6     54.9
PCE Price Index M/M                             +0.2%    +0.1%     Flat    +0.1%
PCE Price Index Y/Y                             +1.5%    +1.3%    +1.4%    +1.8%
Core PCE Price Index M/M                         Flat    +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.2%
Core PCE Price Index Y/Y                        +1.6%    +1.7%    +1.8%    +2.0%
Treasury Budget (bn)                          +$160.3  -$146.9    +$8.7   -$13.5
Consumer Credit (bn)                           +$10.3   +$15.5   +$17.7   +$15.4
CB Consumer Confidence        134.1    129.2    124.2    131.4    121.7    126.6
Consumer Sentiment            102.4     97.2     98.5     93.8     91.2     98.3
Car Sales Ex GM,Ford, saar
(mn)                                     2.3      2.6      2.4      2.5      2.6
Truck Sales Ex GM,Ford,
Saar (mn)                                4.8      5.0      4.7      4.6      5.0
Total Ex GM,Ford, saar
(mn)                                     7.1      7.6      7.1      7.1      7.5
Retail Sales                           -0.2%    +1.7%    -0.3%    +0.8%    -1.6%
excl motor vehicles                    +0.1%    +1.3%    -0.3%    +1.4%    -2.1%
Personal Income                                 +0.1%    +0.2%    -0.1%    +1.0%
Personal Spending                               +0.9%    +0.1%    +0.3%    -0.6%
ISM Mfg Index                           52.8     55.3     54.2     56.6     54.3
ISM Nonmfg NMI                          55.5     56.1     59.7     56.7     58.0
MNI Chicago Report                      52.6     58.7     64.7     56.7     63.8
Phila Fed Mfg Index            16.6      8.5     13.7     -4.1     17.0      9.1
Phila Fed Nonmfg Index                  21.0     21.7     10.0      1.0      7.7
Empire State Index             17.8     10.1      3.7      8.8      3.9     11.5
KC Fed Mfg Index                           5       10        1        5        6
Richmond Fed Mfg Index                     3       10       16       -2       -8
Dallas Fed Mfg Index                     2.0      6.9     11.6     -0.2     -6.9
Markit Mfg Index                        52.4     52.4     53.0     54.9     53.8
Markit Services Index                   53.0     55.3     56.0     54.2     54.4
Ind Production                         -0.5%    +0.2%     +0.1    -0.3%     Flat
Capacity Util                          77.9%    78.5%    79.0%    79.1%    79.5%
Factory Orders                                  +1.9%    -1.0%    +0.1%    +0.2%
Factory Orders ex
transport                                       +0.7%    +0.3%    -0.2%    -0.4%
Durables                               -2.1%    +1.7%    -2.6%    +0.5%    +1.1%
Durables ex transport                   Flat    -0.5%    -0.3%    +0.1%    +0.2%
Nondurables                                     +1.0%    +0.7%    -0.4%    -0.8%
Mfg Shipments                                   +0.5%    +0.3%    -0.2%    -0.2%
Business Inventories                             Flat    +0.3%    +0.9%    +0.8%
Factory                                         +0.3%    +0.3%    +0.5%     Flat
Retail                                          -0.3%    +0.3%    +0.8%    +1.1%
Wholesale                                       -0.1%    +0.4%    +1.2%    +1.1%
Housing Starts (mn)                    1.235    1.168    1.149    1.291    1.142
Building Permits (mn)                  1.290    1.288    1.291    1.317    1.326
NAHB Index                                63       62       62       58       56
New Home Sales (k)                       673      723      669      644      564
Existing Homes (mn)                     5.19     5.21     5.48     4.93     5.00
Pending Home Sales Index                        105.8    101.9    103.2     99.0
Construct Spending                              -0.9%    +0.7%    +0.7%    +0.2%
Private Residential                             -1.8%    -0.4%    -2.9%    +0.8%
Trade Balance (bn)                                      -$49.4   -$51.1   -$59.9
Exports (bn)                                           +$209.7  +$207.3  +$205.4
Imports (bn)                                           +$259.1  +$258.5  +$265.4
Goods Only, BOP (bn)                                    -$72.0   -$73.2   -$81.5
Leading Index                                   +0.4%    +0.1%     Flat    -0.1%
                                                Q1-19                      Q4-18
GDP (chain-wt)                                  +3.2%                      +2.2%
Final Sales                                     +2.5%                      +2.1%
Chain prices                                    +0.9%                      +1.7%
Current-dollar                                  +3.8%                      +4.1%
                                                Q1-19                      Q4-18
Nonfarm Productivity                            +3.6%                      +1.3%
Nonfarm Unit Labor Costs                        -0.9%                      +2.5%
                                                Q1-19                      Q4-18
ECI (q/q)                                       +0.7%                      +0.7%
(a) advance report
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 (973) 494-2611; email: harrison.clarke@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAUDT$,M$U$$$]

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