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Free AccessUS: Recap of Economic Indicators
Nov-17 Oct-17 Sep-17 Aug-17 Jul-17 Jun-17
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UI Claims/4wk avg
wk 1 239/231 244/258 298/250 244/241 250/244 245/242
wk 2 223/249 281/263 232/241 248/246 238/243
wk 3 234/240 260/269 235/238 234/244 242/245
wk 4 229/233 269/277 236/237 245/244 244/242
wk 5 258/267 241/242
Nonfarm Payrolls +261 +18k +208k +138k +210k
Private Payrolls +252k +15k +184k +133k +207k
Mfg Payroll +24k +6k +44k -11k +21k
Unemployment 4.1% 4.2% 4.4% 4.3% 4.4%
Avg Wkly Hours 34.4 34.4 34.4 34.4 34.5
Avg Hours - Mfg 41.0 40.8 40.8 40.9 40.8
Aggr Hours Index +0.2% Flat +0.2% -0.2% +0.5%
Aggr Hrs Index - Mfg +0.8% Flat +0.1% +0.2% +0.3%
Avg Hourly Earnings Flat +0.5% +0.2% +0.5% +0.2%
Final Demand PPI +0.4% +0.2% -0.1% +0.1%
excl food & energy +0.4% +0.1% -0.1% +0.1%
excl food, energy, trade +0.2% +0.2% Flat +0.2%
CPI +0.5% +0.4% +0.1% Flat
excl food & energy +0.1% +0.2% +0.1% +0.1%
Import Prices +0.7% +0.6% -0.1% -0.2%
non-petro import prices +0.3% +0.3% -0.1% +0.1%
ISM Mfg Prices Pd Index 68.5 71.5 62.0 62.0 55.0
Core PCE Price Index +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1%
Treasury Budget (bn) +$8.00 -$107.7 -$42.9 -$90.2
Consumer Credit (bn) +$20.8 +$13.1 +$17.8 +$11.5
CB Consumer Confidence 125.9 120.6 120.4 120.0 117.3
Consumer Sentiment 97.8 100.7 95.1 96.8 93.4 95.1
Car Sales, saar (mn) 4.4 4.6 4.0 4.2 4.0
Truck Sales, saar (mn) 9.4 9.6 8.3 8.7 8.8
Total, saar (mn) 13.8 14.2 12.3 12.9 12.8
Retail Sales +1.6% -0.1% +0.5% -0.1%
excl motor vehicles +1.0% +0.5% +0.5% -0.2%
Personal Income +0.4% +0.2% +0.3% Flat
Personal Spending +1.0% +0.1% +0.4% +0.1%
ISM Mfg Index 58.7 60.8 58.8 56.3 57.8
ISM Nonmfg NMI 60.1 59.8 55.3 53.9 57.4
MNI Chicago Report 66.2 65.2 58.9 58.9 65.7
Phila Fed Mfg Index 27.9 23.8 18.9 19.5 27.6
Phila Fed Nonmfg Index 32.2 33.2 31.8 23.4 33.6
Empire State Index 30.2 24.4 25.2 9.8 19.8
Markit Mfg Index 54.6 53.1 52.8 53.3 52.0
Markit Services Index 55.3 55.3 56.0 54.6 54.2
Ind Production +0.3% -0.7% +0.1% +0.2%
Capacity Util 76.0% 75.8% 76.5% 76.6%
Factory Orders +1.4% +1.2% -3.3% +3.2%
Factory Orders ex
transport +0.7% +0.6% +0.5% +0.1%
Durables +2.0% +2.1% -6.8% +6.4%
Durables ex transport +0.7% +0.8% +0.8 Flat
Nondurables +0.8% +0.4% +0.3% +0.2%
Mfg Shipments +0.8% +0.6% +0.2% +0.1%
Business Inventories +0.7% +0.3% +0.5%
Factory +0.7% +0.6% +0.4% +0.3
Retail -1.0%(a) +0.7% Flat +0.6%
Wholesale +0.3% +0.8% +0.6 +0.6%
Housing Starts (mn) 1.127 1.183 1.185 1.217
Building Permits (mn) 1.225 1.272 1.230 1.275
NAHB Index 68 64 67 64 66
New Home Sales (k) 667 561 582 614
Existing Homes (mn) 5.39 5.35 5.44 5.51
Pending Home Sales Index 106.0 106.0 109.1 110.0
Construct Spending +0.3% +0.1% -0.9% -0.8%
Private Residential -0.4% -0.1% -0.4% +1.2%
Trade Balance (bn) -$43.5 -$42.8 -$43.6 -$43.5
Exports (bn) $196.8 $194.7 $194.5 $194.9
Imports (bn) $240.3 $237.5 $238.1 $238.5
Goods Only, BOP (bn) -$65.4 -$64.8 -$65.3 -$65.4
Leading Index -0.2% +0.4% +0.3% +0.6%
Q3-17 Q2-17
GDP (chain-wt) +3.0% +3.1%
Final Sales +2.3% +2.9%
Chain prices +2.2% +1.0%
Current-dollar +5.2% +4.1%
Q3-17 Q2-17
Nonfarm Productivity +3.0% +1.5%
Nonfarm Unit Labor Costs +0.5% +0.3%
Q3-17 Q2-17
ECI (q/q) +0.7% +0.5%
(a) advance report
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 212-800-8517; email: sara.haire@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAUDT$,M$U$$$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.