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Free AccessMNI US Macro Weekly: Politics To The Fore
MNI Credit Weekly: Le Vendredi Noir
US: Recap of Economic Indicators
Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 21:06 GMT Jun 15/17:06 EST Jun 15
Jun-18 May-18 Apr-18 Mar-18 Feb-18 Jan-18
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UI Claims/4wk avg
wk 1 222/226 211/216 233/230 230/225 223/228 247/245
wk 2 218/224 223/214 233/232 226/223 234/230 226/241
wk 3 234/220 209/229 227/225 218/227 229/238
wk 4 223/223 211/222 218/225 217/223 234/234
wk 5 242/228
Nonfarm Payrolls +223k +159k +155k +324k +176k
Private Payrolls +218k +162k +153k +321k +188k
Mfg Payroll +18k +25k +21k +32k +20k
Unemployment 3.8% 3.9% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1%
Avg Wkly Hours 34.5 34.5 34.5 34.5 34.4
Avg Hours - Mfg 40.8 41.0 40.9 41.0 40.7
Aggr Hours Index +0.2% +0.1% +0.2% +0.6% -0.2%
Aggr Hrs Index - Mfg -0.3% +0.4% -0.1% +1.0% -0.1%
Avg Hourly Earnings +0.3% +0.1% +0.2% +0.1% +0.3%
Final Demand PPI +0.5% +0.1% +0.3% +0.2% +0.4%
excl food & energy +0.3% +0.2% +0.3% +0.2% +0.4%
excl food, energy, trade +0.1% +0.1% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4%
CPI +0.2% +0.2% -0.1% +0.2% +0.5%
excl food & energy +0.2% +0.1% +0.2% +0.2% +0.3%
Import Prices +0.6% +0.6% -0.2% +0.2% +0.8%
non-petro import prices +0.1% +0.1% Flat +0.4% +0.6%
ISM Mfg Prices Pd Index 79.5 79.3 78.1 74.2 72.7
PCE Price Index M/M +0.2% Flat +0.1% +0.4%
PCE Price Index Y/Y +2.0% +2.0% +1.7% +1.7%
Core PCE Price Index M/M +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.3%
Core PCE Price Index Y/Y +1.8% +1.8% +1.5% +1.5%
Treasury Budget (bn) -$146.8 +$214.3 -$208.7 -$215.2 +$49.2
Consumer Credit (bn) +$9.3 +$12.3 +$13.8 +$14.5
CB Consumer Confidence 128.0 125.6 127.0 130.0 124.3
Consumer Sentiment 99.3(a) 98.0 98.8 101.4 99.7 95.7
Car Sales (Ex GM), saar
(mn) 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.2
Truck Sales (Ex GM), Saar
(mn) 6.9 6.9 7.0 6.7 6.6
Total (Ex GM), saar (mn) 9.9 10.0 10.2 10.0 9.9
Retail Sales +0.8% +0.4% +0.7% +0.1% -0.1%
excl motor vehicles +0.9% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.1%
Personal Income +0.3% +0.2% +0.3% +0.4%
Personal Spending +0.6% +0.5% Flat +0.1%
ISM Mfg Index 58.7 57.3 59.3 60.8 59.1
ISM Nonmfg NMI 58.6 56.8 58.8 59.5 59.9
MNI Chicago Report 62.7 57.6 57.4 61.9 65.7
Phila Fed Mfg Index 34.4 23.2 22.3 25.8 22.2
Phila Fed Nonmfg Index 45.3 27.6 30.1 31.0 19.5
Empire State Index 25.0 20.1 15.8 22.5 13.1 17.7
KC Fed Mfg Index 29 26 17 17 16
Richmond Fed Mfg Index 16 -3 15 28 14
Dallas Fed Mfg Index 26.8 21.8 22.8 38.4 34.3
Markit Mfg Index 56.4 56.5 55.6 55.3 55.5
Markit Services Index 56.8 54.6 54.0 55.9 53.3
Ind Production -0.1% +0.9% +0.5% +0.4% -0.4%
Capacity Util 77.9% 78.1% 77.5% 77.2% 76.9%
Factory Orders -0.8% +1.7% +2.0% -1.6%
Factory Orders ex
transport +0.4% +0.5% +0.3% +0.3%
Durables -1.6% +2.7% +4.5% -4.2%
Durables ex transport +0.9% +0.5% +1.3% -0.9%
Nondurables +0.1% +0.6% -0.3% +1.0%
Mfg Shipments Flat +0.7% +0.3% +0.7%
Business Inventories +0.3% -0.1% +0.6% +0.6%
Factory +0.3% +0.2% +0.3% +0.3%
Retail +0.5% -0.7% +.6 .6
Wholesale +0.1% +0.2% +0.8% +0.8%
Housing Starts (mn) 1.287 1.336 1.29 1.334
Building Permits (mn) 1.364 1.377 1.323 1.366
NAHB Index 70 68 70 71 72
New Home Sales (k) 662 672 659 633
Existing Homes (mn) 5.46 5.60 5.54 5.38
Pending Home Sales Index 106.4 107.6 107.2 104.3
Construct Spending +1.8% -1.7% +1.2% +1.7%
Private Residential +4.5% -4.1% +1.0% +3.2%
Trade Balance (bn) -$46.2 -$47.2 -$55.5 -$56.7
Exports (bn) +$211.2 +$210.7 +$206.1 $200.9
Imports (bn) +$257.4 +$257.9 +$261.6 $257.6
Goods Only, BOP (bn) -$68.3 -$69.3 -$76.7 -$76.7
Leading Index +0.4% +0.4% +0.7% +0.7%
Q1-18 Q4-17 Q3-17 Q2-17
GDP (chain-wt) +2.2% +2.9% +3.2% +3.1%
Final Sales +2.0% +3.4% +2.4% +2.9%
Chain prices +1.9% +2.3% +2.1% +1.0%
Current-dollar +4.2% +5.3% +5.3% +4.1%
Q1-18 Q4-17 Q3-17 Q2-17
Nonfarm Productivity +0.4% +0.3% +2.6% +1.7%
Nonfarm Unit Labor Costs +2.9% +2.1% +1.0% -1.2%
Q1-18 Q4-17 Q3-17 Q2-17
ECI (q/q) +0.8% +0.6% +0.7% +0.5%
(a) advance report
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 212-800-8517; email: sara.haire@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.