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US: Recap of Economic Indicators

                             Sep-18   Aug-18   Jul-18   Jun-18   May-18   Apr-18
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UI Claims/4wk avg
wk 1                        204/208  214/214  215/223  222/226  211/216  233/230
wk 2                        202/206  212/216  208/221  221/225  223/214  233/232
wk 3                        214/206  210/214  217/218  218/221  234/220  209/229
wk 4                                 213/212  219/214  228/222  223/223  211/222
wk 5                                 205/210           232/225
Nonfarm Payrolls                       +201k    +147k    +208k    +244k    +175k
Private Payrolls                       +204k    +153k    +208k    +239k    +174k
Mfg Payroll                              -3k     +18k     +21k     +19k     +28k
Unemployment                            3.9%     3.9%     4.0%     3.8%     3.9%
Avg Wkly Hours                          34.5     34.5     34.6     34.5     34.5
Avg Hours - Mfg                         41.0     41.0     41.0     40.8     41.0
Aggr Hours Index                       +0.2%    -0.2%    +0.5%    +0.2%    +0.1%
Aggr Hrs Index - Mfg                    Flat    +0.1%    +0.4%    -0.1%    +0.5%
Avg Hourly Earnings                    +0.4%    +0.3%    +0.2%    +0.3%    +0.2%
Final Demand PPI                       -0.1%     Flat    +0.3%    +0.5%    +0.1%
excl food & energy                     -0.1%    +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.3%    +0.2%
excl food, energy, trade               +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.3%    +0.1%    +0.1%
CPI                                    +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.2%
excl food & energy                     +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.1%
Import Prices                          -0.6%    -0.1%    +0.1%    +0.9%    +0.5%
non-petro import prices                -0.1%    -0.3%    -0.3%    +0.2%    +0.1%
ISM Mfg Prices Pd Index        66.9     72.1     73.2     76.8     79.5     79.3
PCE Price Index M/M                    +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.2%
PCE Price Index Y/Y                    +2.2%    +2.3%    +2.3%    +2.3%    +2.0%
Core PCE Price Index M/M                Flat    +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.2%
Core PCE Price Index Y/Y               +2.0%    +2.0%    +2.0%    +2.0%    +1.9%
Treasury Budget (bn)                 -$214.1   -$76.9   -$74.9  -$146.8  +$214.3
Consumer Credit (bn)                           +$16.6    +$8.7   +$21.9    +$8.6
CB Consumer Confidence        138.4    134.7    127.9    126.4    128.8    125.6
Consumer Sentiment            100.8     96.2     97.6     98.2     98.0     98.8
Car Sales (Ex GM), saar
(mn)                            3.0      2.8      3.0      3.1      3.0      3.1
Truck Sales (Ex GM), Saar
(mn)                            7.2      7.1      6.9      7.2      6.9      6.9
Total (Ex GM), saar (mn)       10.2      9.9      9.9     10.3      9.9     10.0
Retail Sales                           +0.1%    +0.7%    +0.2%    +1.2%    +0.4%
excl motor vehicles                    +0.3%    +0.9%    +0.3%    +1.4%    +0.4%
Personal Income                        +0.3%    +0.3%    +0.4%    +0.4%    +0.3%
Personal Spending                      +0.3%    +0.4%    +0.4%    +0.5%    +0.5%
ISM Mfg Index                  59.8     61.3     58.1     60.2     58.7     57.3
ISM Nonmfg NMI                 61.6     58.5     55.7     59.1     58.6     56.8
MNI Chicago Report             60.4     63.6     65.5     64.1     62.7     57.6
Phila Fed Mfg Index            22.9     11.9     25.7     19.9     34.4     23.2
Phila Fed Nonmfg Index         37.4     41.7     44.3     39.1     45.3     27.6
Empire State Index             19.0     25.6     22.6     25.0     20.1     15.8
KC Fed Mfg Index                 13       14       23       28       29       26
Richmond Fed Mfg Index           29       24       20       21       16       -3
Dallas Fed Mfg Index           28.1     30.9     32.3     36.5     26.8     21.8
Markit Mfg Index               55.6     54.7     55.3     55.4     56.4     56.5
Markit Services Index          53.5     54.8     56.0     56.5     56.8     54.6
Ind Production                         +0.4%    +0.4%    +0.6%    -0.8%    +1.1%
Capacity Util                          78.1%    77.9%    77.8%    77.4%    78.2%
Factory Orders                         -0.8%    +0.6%    +0.6%    +0.4%    -0.4%
Factory Orders ex
transport                              +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.4%    +0.8%    +0.9%
Durables                               -1.7%    +0.9%    +0.9%    -0.3%    -1.0%
Durables ex transport                  +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.3%    +0.3%    +1.9%
Nondurables                            +0.2%    +0.4%    +0.4%    +1.1%    +0.3%
Mfg Shipments                                    Flat    +1.0%    +0.6%    +0.1%
Business Inventories                            +0.6%    +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.3%
Factory                                         +0.8%    +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.4%
Retail                                          +0.5%    -0.1%    +0.4%    +0.4%
Wholesale                                       +0.6%    +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.1%
Housing Starts (mn)                    1.282    1.174    1.177    1.329    1.276
Building Permits (mn)                  1.249    1.303    1.292    1.301    1.364
NAHB Index                                67       68       68       70       68
New Home Sales (k)                       629      608      618      653      633
Existing Homes (mn)                     5.34     5.34     5.38     5.41     5.45
Pending Home Sales Index                        106.2    106.9    105.9    106.4
Construct Spending                     +0.1%    +0.2%    -0.7%    +0.7%    +1.7%
Private Residential                    -0.5%    -0.2%    -0.7%    -0.3%     3.1%
Trade Balance (bn)                             -$50.1   -$45.7   -$42.6   -$45.5
Exports (bn)                                  +$211.1  +$213.2  +$214.7  +$210.5
Imports (bn)                                  +$261.2  +$258.9  +$257.2  +$256.0
Goods Only, BOP (bn)                           -$73.1   -$68.9   -$65.8   -$68.4
Leading Index                          +0.4%    +0.7%    +0.5%    +0.1%    +0.4%
                                                                  Q2-18    Q1-18
GDP (chain-wt)                                                    +4.2%    +2.2%
Final Sales                                                       +5.4%    +1.9%
Chain prices                                                      +3.0%    +2.0%
Current-dollar                                                    +7.6%    +4.3%
                                                                  Q2-18    Q1-18
Nonfarm Productivity                                              +2.9%    +0.3%
Nonfarm Unit Labor Costs                                          -1.0%    +3.4%
                                                                  Q2-18    Q1-18
ECI (q/q)                                                         +0.6%    +0.8%
(a) advance report
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 (973) 494-2611; email: harrison.clarke@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAUDT$,M$U$$$]

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