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Free AccessMNI US MARKETS ANALYSIS - NFP Followed by Ample Fedspeak
MNI US OPEN - Soft NFP Report Should Cement December Cut
MNI China Daily Summary: Friday, December 6
US TSY OPTION IMPLIED VOL/OTC SWAPTION VOL FOR FEB 18
EST IMPLIED VOLATILITY/AVG ATM OPTIONS VIA BLOOMBERG, (All Times ET)
USH USJ TYH TYJ FVH FVJ EDH EDJ
0915 9.24% 8.19% 5.10% 4.35% 3.11% 2.85% 17.85% 31.20%
TUE OPEN 9.26% 8.22% 5.03% 4.34% 3.15% 2.85% 17.20% 30.60%
FRI 1500 7.25% 7.64% 3.76% 4.02% 2.19% 2.59% 16.85% N/A
FRI OPEN 7.22% 7.55% 3.90% 4.00% 2.06% 2.60% 16.30% N/A
THU 1500 7.56% 7.90% 3.97% 4.18% 2.56% 2.66% 15.95% N/A
THU OPEN 8.29% 8.00% 4.12% 4.22% 2.64% 2.67% 17.40% N/A
WED 1500 7.69% 7.75% 4.04% 4.11% 2.44% 2.67% 16.40% N/A
WED OPEN 7.81% 7.81% 4.05% 4.10% 2.41% 2.65% 16.35% N/A
TUE 1500 8.28% 7.99% 4.25% 4.25% 2.69% 2.72% 18.10% N/A
TUE OPEN 8.54% 7.65% 4.38% 4.36% 2.69% 2.71% 17.15% N/A
LARGEST O/I: STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE
MAR20 10Y NOTE 131.50 C 131,530 -18,975 128.00 P 131,314 +150
APR20 10Y NOTE 132.00 C 87,850 +15,372 129.00 P 95,996 +1,122
MAR20 5Y NOTE 119.00 C 45,726 -12 111.00 P 252,174 UNCH
APR20 5Y NOTE 121.50 C 48,952 +65 119.50 P 59,345 -78
MAR20 2Y NOTE 108.00 C 10,141 +721 105.75 P 55,165 UNCH
APR20 2Y NOTE 108.50 C 3,402 UNCH 108.00 P 10,379 +6,585
MAR20 EURODLR 98.50 C 544,590 +500 98.12 P 409,726 UNCH
APR20 EURODLR 98.50 C 110,889 -18,616 98.25 P 251,708 -4,275
MAR21 1Y-MIDC 99.75 C 235,547 -2,500 98.37 P 174,162 -1,646
MAR22 2Y-MIDC 98.25 C 78,546 UNCH 98.25 P 100,183 UNCH
MAR23 3Y-MIDC 98.12 C 53,469 UNCH 98.12 P 38,842 UNCH
NEAREST ATM: STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE
MAR20 10Y NOTE 131.00 C 104,920 -8,903 131.00 P 43,401 -3,871
MAR20 10Y NOTE 131.50 C 131,530 -18,975 131.50 P 18,845 -469
APR20 10Y NOTE 131.00 C 77,817 +3,735 131.00 P 27,397 +535
APR20 10Y NOTE 131.50 C 65,095 +3,132 131.50 P 16,080 +118
MAR20 5Y NOTE 119.75 C 19,972 -548 119.75 P 21,741 +646
MAR20 5Y NOTE 120.00 C 35,913 +63 120.00 P 12,141 +20
APR20 5Y NOTE 120.00 C 14,676 UNCH 120.00 P 16,662 -29
APR20 5Y NOTE 120.25 C 7,861 -32 120.25 P 5,372 +190
MAR20 2Y NOTE 107.88 C 5,053 UNCH 107.88 P 10,163 +181
MAR20 2Y NOTE 108.00 C 10,141 +721 108.00 P 1,351 +4
APR20 2Y NOTE 108.00 C 196 UNCH 108.00 P 10,379 +6,585
APR20 2Y NOTE 108.12 C 647 UNCH 108.12 P 851 UNCH
MAR20 EURODLR 98.25 C 245,898 -500 98.25 P 332,770 UNCH
MAR20 EURODLR 98.37 C 418,767 -3,250 98.37 P 157,085 +500
APR20 EURODLR 98.25 C 78,176 UNCH 98.25 P 251,708 -4,275
APR20 EURODLR 98.37 C 77,044 +200 98.37 P 112,015 +2,515
MAR21 1Y-MIDC 98.37 C 113,716 UNCH 98.37 P 174,162 -1,646
MAR21 1Y-MIDC 98.50 C 146,156 +93 98.50 P 172,309 -1,600
MAR22 2Y-MIDC 98.37 C 31,398 UNCH 98.37 P 43,501 -434
MAR22 2Y-MIDC 98.50 C 34,628 UNCH 98.50 P 45,332 -500
MAR23 3Y-MIDC 98.37 C 10,870 UNCH 98.37 P 26,662 -20
MAR23 3Y-MIDC 98.50 C 44,709 -200 98.50 P 16,418 UNCH
PUT/CALL RATIO FOR VOLUME CLEARED:
MAR20 10Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.77 (142,794 PUTS VS. 184,638 CALLS)
APR20 10Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.71 (65,974 PUTS VS. 92,576 CALLS)
MAR20 5Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 1.09 (12,330 PUTS VS. 11,418 CALLS)
APR20 5Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.57 (2,307 PUTS VS. 4,067 CALLS)
MAP20 2Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.52 (496 PUTS VS. 946 CALLS)
APR20 2Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 196.5 (7,469 PUTS VS. 38 CALLS)
MAR20 EURODLRS PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.01 (500 PUTS VS. 14,750 CALLS)
APR20 EURODLRS PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.29 (19,550 PUTS VS. 64,472 CALLS)
MAR21 1Y-MIDCRVE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.18 (12,493 PUTS VS. 66,209 CALLS)
MAR22 2Y-MIDCRVE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.51 (2,785 PUTS VS. 5,385 CALLS)
MAR23 3Y-MIDCRVE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.54 (646 PUTS VS. 1,175 CALLS)
(VOLUME, OPEN INTEREST, RATIOS ALL REFLECT PRIOR SESSION'S DATA)
Swaption BP/Vol Via Bloomberg:
Time (ET) 3M/2Y 1M/10Y 3M/5Y 3M/10Y 2Y/10Y 5Y/5Y
0915 61.16 66.66 65.52 66.89 64.94 65.17
Tue Open 61.18 66.71 65.39 66.72 64.86 65.10
Fri 1500 60.25 65.77 65.13 66.26 64.82 65.00
Fri Open 59.75 65.31 64.73 65.88 64.68 65.05
Thu 1500 59.19 67.84 64.61 65.78 64.44 65.01
Thu Open 58.33 68.61 65.10 66.19 64.75 65.08
Wed 1500 57.88 68.43 64.94 66.20 64.97 65.42
Wed Open 58.90 68.98 65.09 66.54 64.86 65.27
Tue 1500 60.35 69.41 65.88 67.31 65.28 65.60
Tue Open 61.56 72.04 67.06 68.07 65.43 65.54
--MNI Chicago Bureau; tel: +1 312-431-0089; email: bill.sokolis@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$,M$$FI$,MN$FI$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.