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Free AccessMNI US MARKETS ANALYSIS - USD/JPY Erases Election Rally
MNI US OPEN - RBNZ Cuts 50bps, OCR Forecast Slightly Higher
MNI China Daily Summary: Wednesday, November 27
US TSY OPTION IMPLIED VOL/OTC SWAPTION VOL FOR JAN 15
EST IMPLIED VOLATILITY/AVG ATM OPTIONS VIA BLOOMBERG, (All Times ET)
USG USH TYG TYH FVG FVH EDG EDH
TUE 3:00 6.34% 6.72% 3.43% 3.63% 2.11% 2.34% 10.05% 7.80%
TUE OPEN 6.97% 6.80% 3.92% 3.72% 2.57% 2.45% 8.12% 8.90%
MON 3:00 6.77% 6.83% 3.96% 3.74% 2.58% 2.45% 2.78% 7.06%
MON OPEN 7.23% 6.96% 4.20% 3.84% 2.64% 2.52% 6.14% 8.09%
FRI 3:00 6.68% 6.70% 3.77% 3.70% 2.49% 2.40% N/A 7.80%
FRI OPEN 7.15% 7.08% 4.04% 3.87% 2.73% 2.55% N/A 6.83%
THU 3:00 7.13% 7.05% 3.88% 3.83% 2.52% 2.48% N/A 7.89%
THU OPEN 7.33% 7.18% 4.06% 3.92% 2.72% 2.57% N/A 7.48%
WED 3:00 7.34% 7.17% 3.92% 3.73% 2.72% 2.57% N/A 8.68%
WED OPEN 7.28% 7.27% 3.90% 3.85% 2.76% 2.62% N/A 9.40%
LARGEST O/I: STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE
FEB19 10Y NOTE 121.50 C 196,744 -251 121.00 P 96,772 -1,574
MAR19 10Y NOTE 127.00 C 89,955 -1 106.00 P 97,647 UNCH
FEB19 5Y NOTE 114.50 C 69,335 +313 113.25 P 95,440 +978
MAR19 5Y NOTE 114.25 C 23,841 UNCH 103.75 P 284,211 UNCH
FEB19 2Y NOTE 106.37 C 15,637 UNCH 105.37 P 9,908 UNCH
MAR19 2Y NOTE 106.12 C 7,020 UNCH 105.75 P 11,155 UNCH
FEB19 EURODLR 97.25 C 40,565 UNCH 97.00 P 84,387 UNCH
MAR19 EURODLR 97.37 C 401,094 +69 97.00 P 892,232 UNCH
MAR19 1Y-MIDC 97.37 C 143,388 -342 96.62 P 809,796 UNCH
MAR20 2Y-MIDC 97.50 C 130,071 -900 96.62 P 220,789 UNCH
MAR21 3Y-MIDC 97.00 C 60,658 UNCH 97.00 P 63,850 UNCH
NEAREST ATM: STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE
FEB19 10Y NOTE 122.00 C 119,087 +627 122.00 P 35,932 +1,593
FEB19 10Y NOTE 122.50 C 45,194 +1,094 122.50 P 10,477 +207
MAR19 10Y NOTE 122.00 C 50,621 -353 122.00 P 35,305 +2,845
MAR19 10Y NOTE 122.50 C 40,520 +2,274 122.50 P 10,735 +30
FEB19 5Y NOTE 113.75 C 17,681 UNCH 113.75 P 18,562 -389
FEB19 5Y NOTE 114.00 C 23,788 +4 114.00 P 22,347 +1,125
MAR19 5Y NOTE 113.75 C 9,718 UNCH 113.75 P 20,274 -651
MAR19 5Y NOTE 114.00 C 19,689 UNCH 114.00 P 25,670 +572
FEB19 2Y NOTE 105.87 C 2,227 UNCH 105.87 P 6,128 UNCH
FEB19 2Y NOTE 106.00 C 4,800 UNCH 106.00 P 3,955 UNCH
MAR19 2Y NOTE 105.87 C 2,780 UNCH 105.87 P 6,084 UNCH
MAR19 2Y NOTE 106.00 C 1,930 -4 106.00 P 5,968 +1
FEB19 EURODLR 97.25 C 40,565 UNCH 97.25 P 35,255 UNCH
FEB19 EURODLR 97.37 C 28,439 UNCH 97.37 P 2,720 UNCH
MAR19 EURODLR 97.25 C 342,519 UNCH 97.25 P 199,017 UNCH
MAR19 EURODLR 97.37 C 401,094 +69 97.37 P 119,336 UNCH
MAR20 1Y-MIDC 97.37 C 143,388 -342 97.37 P 122,908 -100
MAR20 1Y-MIDC 97.50 C 142,371 -230 97.50 P 34,407 -250
MAR21 2Y-MIDC 97.50 C 130,071 -900 97.50 P 50,636 UNCH
MAR21 2Y-MIDC 97.62 C 74,058 UNCH 97.62 P 17,338 UNCH
MAR22 3Y-MIDC 97.50 C 36,027 +2,450 97.50 P 19,200 +4,550
MAR22 3Y-MIDC 97.62 C 30,683 UNCH 97.62 P 600 UNCH
PUT/CALL RATIO FOR VOLUME CLEARED:
FEB19 10Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 2.04 (90,694 PUTS VS. 44,494 CALLS)
MAR19 10Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.52 (22,784 PUTS VS. 44,058 CALLS)
FEB19 5Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.94 (18,439 PUTS VS. 19,611 CALLS)
MAR19 5Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.88 (9,018 PUTS VS. 10,190 CALLS)
FEB19 2Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.00 (0 PUTS VS. 0 CALLS)
MAR19 2Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.98 (209 PUTS VS. 213 CALLS)
FEB19 EURODLRS PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.00 (0 PUTS VS. 0 CALLS)
MAR19 EURODLRS PUT/CALL RATIO -- 1.54 (4,002 PUTS VS. 2,600 CALLS)
MAR20 1Y-MIDCRVE PUT/CALL RATIO-- 0.72 (32,457 PUTS VS. 45,300 CALLS)
MAR21 2Y-MIDCRVE PUT/CALL RATIO-- 0.00 (0 PUTS VS. 0 CALLS)
MAR22 3Y-MIDCRVE PUT/CALL RATIO-- 1.00 (4,650 PUTS VS. 4,650 CALLS)
(VOLUME, OPEN INTEREST, RATIOS ALL REFLECT PRIOR SESSION'S DATA)
Swaption BP/Vol Via Bloomberg:
Time (ET) 3M/2Y 1M/10Y 3M/5Y 3M/10Y 2Y/10Y 5Y/5Y
TUE 3:00 55.92 56.68 61.16 58.25 68.21 75.91
TUE OPEN 55.93 57.25 61.68 58.77 68.46 76.00
MON 3:00 56.08 57.34 61.65 58.74 68.61 76.08
MON OPEN 55.86 56.80 61.69 58.85 68.47 75.64
FRI 3:00 56.00 56.61 61.81 58.76 68.57 75.80
FRI OPEN 56.27 57.25 62.08 59.00 68.84 76.14
THU 3:00 57.01 57.16 62.47 59.15 68.91 76.10
THU OPEN 57.38 57.39 62.80 59.46 69.07 76.16
WED 3:00 58.96 57.99 64.03 60.42 69.52 76.68
WED OPEN 59.32 60.11 64.43 60.77 69.98 77.08
--MNI Chicago Bureau; +1 630-698-0154; email: ryan.martin@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$,M$$FI$,MN$FI$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.