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Free AccessMNI US MARKETS ANALYSIS - NFP Followed by Ample Fedspeak
MNI US OPEN - Soft NFP Report Should Cement December Cut
MNI China Daily Summary: Friday, December 6
US TSY OPTION IMPLIED VOL/OTC SWAPTION VOL FOR JAN 9
EST IMPLIED VOLATILITY/AVG ATM OPTIONS VIA BLOOMBERG, (All Times ET)
USG USH TYG TYH FVG FVH EDF EDH
0930 7.46% 7.49% 3.90% 3.91% 2.38% 2.42% N/A 10.50%
THU OPEN 7.60% 7.50% 3.94% 3.91% 2.39% 2.45% N/A 10.45%
WED 1500 7.82% 7.85% 4.02% 4.04% 2.51% 2.53% N/A 10.69%
WED OPEN 8.01% 7.92% 4.01% 4.07% 2.55% 2.55% N/A 12.65%
TUE 1500 7.85% 7.80% 4.00% 4.10% 2.47% 2.52% N/A 13.54%
TUE OPEN 8.02% 7.90% 4.09% 4.19% 2.55% 2.55% N/A 13.15%
MON 1500 8.00% 7.88% 4.10% 4.14% 2.50% 2.55% N/A 13.05%
MON OPEN 7.80% 7.86% 3.96% 4.04% 2.48% 2.50% N/A 12.70%
FRI 1500 7.80% 7.86% 3.96% 4.04% 2.48% 2.50% N/A 12.70%
FRI OPEN 8.08% 7.95% 4.04% 4.11% 2.52% 2.53% 17.35% 11.95%
THU 1500 7.59% 7.59% 3.84% 3.95% 2.34% 2.39% 14.60% 11.40%
THU OPEN 7.57% 7.60% 3.88% 3.98% 2.40% 2.42% 13.00% 11.05%
LARGEST O/I: STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE
FEB20 10Y NOTE 129.50 C 213,911 -849 127.00 P 120,471 -516
MAR20 10Y NOTE 131.00 C 105,202 +6,160 128.00 P 74,789 +25,548
FEB20 5Y NOTE 119.25 C 60,389 -1,001 118.00 P 33,727 -143
MAR20 5Y NOTE 119.00 C 32,160 +154 111.00 P 252,174 UNCH
FEB20 2Y NOTE 107.75 C 6,695 +1,013 107.12 P 24,223 UNCH
MAR20 2Y NOTE 108.00 C 13,500 +400 105.75 P 55,165 UNCH
JAN20 EURODLR 98.50 C 126,857 +1 98.12 P 105,555 UNCH
MAR20 EURODLR 98.50 C 487,729 +10,729 98.25 P 546,567 +28,116
MAR21 1Y-MIDC 99.75 C 247,313 UNCH 98.37 P 86,270 +9,230
MAR22 2Y-MIDC 98.25 C 79,246 UNCH 97.37 P 96,133 UNCH
MAR23 3Y-MIDC 98.12 C 53,469 UNCH 98.12 P 36,087 +2,400
NEAREST ATM: STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE
FEB20 10Y NOTE 129.00 C 124,329 -1,426 129.00 P 37,337 +1,640
FEB20 10Y NOTE 129.50 C 213,911 -849 129.50 P 25,785 +5,719
MAR20 10Y NOTE 129.00 C 36,162 +1,798 129.00 P 35,638 +3,692
MAR20 10Y NOTE 129.50 C 25,042 +172 129.50 P 11,471 +521
FEB20 5Y NOTE 119.00 C 52,162 +7,787 119.00 P 16,388 -1,827
FEB20 5Y NOTE 119.25 C 60,389 -1,001 119.25 P 2,311 +131
MAR20 5Y NOTE 119.00 C 32,160 +154 119.00 P 11,483 +794
MAR20 5Y NOTE 119.25 C 15,903 +59 119.25 P 6,186 +368
FEB20 2Y NOTE 107.75 C 6,695 +1,013 107.75 P 10,304 +33
FEB20 2Y NOTE 107.87 C 2,858 -1,945 107.87 P 3,190 -417
MAR20 2Y NOTE 107.75 C 1,132 UNCH 107.75 P 3,762 +1,018
MAR20 2Y NOTE 107.87 C 3,042 UNCH 107.87 P 4,507 UNCH
JAN20 EURODLR 98.25 C 65,450 UNCH 98.25 P 77,652 +1
JAN20 EURODLR 98.37 C 75,781 -1,548 98.37 P 25,285 -1
MAR20 EURODLR 98.25 C 281,704 -3,268 98.25 P 546,567 +28,116
MAR20 EURODLR 98.37 C 478,360 -4,690 98.37 P 249,484 +881
MAR21 1Y-MIDC 98.37 C 73,321 UNCH 98.37 P 86,270 +9,230
MAR21 1Y-MIDC 98.50 C 63,894 +1,694 98.50 P 57,669 +4,990
MAR22 2Y-MIDC 98.37 C 31,398 UNCH 98.37 P 33,504 +400
MAR22 2Y-MIDC 98.50 C 38,983 UNCH 98.50 P 32,086 +628
MAR23 3Y-MIDC 98.37 C 9,945 UNCH 98.37 P 14,302 UNCH
MAR23 3Y-MIDC 98.50 C 46,239 +510 98.50 P 7,792 UNCH
PUT/CALL RATIO FOR VOLUME CLEARED:
FEB20 10Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.62 (166,902 PUTS VS. 267,144 CALLS)
MAR20 10Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 1.14 (177,423 PUTS VS. 155,247 CALLS)
FEB20 5Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.70 (41,034 PUTS VS. 58,529 CALLS)
MAR20 5Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 1.23 (32,548 PUTS VS. 26,237 CALLS)
FEB20 2Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.24 (1,577 PUTS VS. 6,263 CALLS)
MAR20 2Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 10.1 (10,351 PUTS VS. 1,040 CALLS)
JAN20 EURODLRS PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.34 (2,253 PUTS VS. 6,308 CALLS)
MAR20 EURODLRS PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.21 (115,880 PUTS VS. 547,016 CALLS)
MAR21 1Y-MIDCRVE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.52 (37,269 PUTS VS. 70,607 CALLS)
MAR22 2Y-MIDCRVE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 5.41 (27,990 PUTS VS. 5,175 CALLS)
MAR23 3Y-MIDCRVE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.17 (4,000 PUTS VS. 23,001 CALLS)
(VOLUME, OPEN INTEREST, RATIOS ALL REFLECT PRIOR SESSION'S DATA)
Swaption BP/Vol Via Bloomberg:
Time (ET) 3M/2Y 1M/10Y 3M/5Y 3M/10Y 2Y/10Y 5Y/5Y
0930 51.11 64.81 62.94 65.27 64.70 64.66
Thu Open 52.41 66.64 64.16 66.21 65.43 65.23
Wed 1500 51.91 66.64 64.21 66.15 65.46 65.32
Wed Open 54.05 67.05 65.05 67.00 65.30 65.10
Tue 1500 53.90 68.70 64.96 66.58 65.31 65.11
Tue Open 54.08 68.19 65.24 66.97 65.13 64.90
Mon 1500 54.28 67.80 65.73 67.38 64.78 64.80
Mon Open 49.77 65.86 64.41 66.46 64.01 64.39
Fri 1500 49.77 65.86 64.41 66.46 64.01 64.39
Fri Open 47.70 66.41 63.95 66.40 63.80 64.23
Thu 1500 48.70 64.37 62.65 64.95 63.38 64.14
Thu Open 48.45 65.10 62.40 64.60 63.45 64.05
--MNI Chicago Bureau; tel: +1 312-431-0089; email: bill.sokolis@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$,M$$FI$,MN$FI$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.