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Free AccessMNI US MARKETS ANALYSIS - NFP Followed by Ample Fedspeak
MNI US OPEN - Soft NFP Report Should Cement December Cut
MNI China Daily Summary: Friday, December 6
US TSY OPTION IMPLIED VOL/OTC SWAPTION VOL FOR MAR 6
EST IMPLIED VOLATILITY/AVG ATM OPTIONS VIA BLOOMBERG, (All Times ET)
USJ USM TYJ TYM FVH FVJ EDH EDJ
FRI 1500 23.25% 16.24% 10.24% 7.47% 5.58% 3.98% 147.75% 165.25%
THU 1500 12.07% 10.48% 6.44% 5.48% 4.24% 3.29% 82.50% 137.50%
WED OPEN 11.45% 10.19% 6.19% 5.39% 4.18% 3.57% 50.85% 95.90%
TUE 1500 12.45% 10.24% 6.50% 5.44% 4.31% 3.54% 61.80% 96.00%
TUE OPEN 13.00% 10.38% 6.49% 5.35% 4.28% 3.52% 66.50% 91.34%
MON 1500 14.04% 11.08% 7.23% 5.77% 4.82% 3.79% 84.50% 104.35%
MON OPEN 15.80% 12.21% 8.15% 6.45% 5.55% 4.31% 81.00% 110.67%
FRI 1500 14.55% 11.64% 7.40% 6.20% 5.03% 4.11% 72.55% 101.17%
FRI OPEN 13.77% 11.05% 7.10% 6.05% 4.55% 3.90% 55.80% 80.05%
LARGEST O/I: STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE
APR20 10Y NOTE 132.00 C 84,719 +106 131.00 P 93,986 -63
JUN20 10Y NOTE 136.00 C 53,420 +247 129.00 P 74,066 -274
APR20 5Y NOTE 121.25 C 37,709 UNCH 119.50 P 90,864 -13
JUN20 5Y NOTE 125.00 C 200,905 +70,600 113.00 P 199,474 UNCH
APR20 2Y NOTE 109.50 C 9,686 +592 107.50 P 23,000 UNCH
JUN20 2Y NOTE 110.00 C 21,119 +1,119 106.50 P 41,091 UNCH
MAR20 EURODLR 98.50 C 414,180 -14 98.00 P 396,944 UNCH
APR20 EURODLR 99.50 C 23,201 +73,077 98.25 P 238,096 UNCH
MAR21 1Y-MIDC 99.75 C 235,734 +250 98.38 P 162,009 UNCH
MAR22 2Y-MIDC 98.25 C 63,219 UNCH 98.25 P 98,983 UNCH
MAR23 3Y-MIDC 98.12 C 52,969 UNCH 98.12 P 38,842 UNCH
NEAREST ATM: STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE
APR20 10Y NOTE 137.00 C 31,649 -2,639 137.00 P 28 UNCH
APR20 10Y NOTE 137.50 C 22,959 -1,616 137.50 P 361 +9
JUN20 10Y NOTE 137.00 C 26,585 +8,664 137.00 P 323 +68
JUN20 10Y NOTE 137.50 C 12,976 +1,996 137.50 P 49 +22
APR20 5Y NOTE 124.00 C 6,175 +4,716 124.00 P 154 +144
APR20 5Y NOTE 124.25 C 2,030 -299 124.25 P 431 +417
JUN20 5Y NOTE 124.00 C 42,528 +43 124.00 P 583 +578
JUN20 5Y NOTE 124.25 C 4,695 +3,343 124.25 P 4 UNCH
APR20 2Y NOTE 109.50 C 9,686 +592 109.50 P 906 +68
APR20 2Y NOTE 109.75 C 555 UNCH 109.75 P 130 UNCH
JUN20 2Y NOTE 109.50 C 10,002 -24 109.50 P 1,881 +20
JUN20 2Y NOTE 109.75 C 181 +86 109.75 P 1,615 +1,551
MAR20 EURODLR 99.00 C 220,188 -20,729 99.00 P 70,891 +40,136
MAR20 EURODLR 99.12 C 150,136 +26,660 99.12 P 2,001 UNCH
APR20 EURODLR 99.25 C 153,304 +17,741 99.00 P 51,730 +16,001
APR20 EURODLR 99.38 C 89,042 -63,464 99.12 P 24,153 +15,517
MAR21 1Y-MIDC 99.38 C 63,714 -2,860 99.38 P 162,009 UNCH
MAR21 1Y-MIDC 99.50 C 44,653 -1,088 99.50 P 161,397 UNCH
MAR22 2Y-MIDC 99.25 C 6,013 UNCH 99.25 P 2,455 +1,600
MAR22 2Y-MIDC 99.38 C 11,123 +500 99.38 P 0 UNCH
MAR23 3Y-MIDC 99.12 C 5,104 UNCH 99.12 P 454 UNCH
MAR23 3Y-MIDC 99.25 C 2,317 UNCH 99.25 P 0 UNCH
PUT/CALL RATIO FOR VOLUME CLEARED:
APR20 10Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.27 (102,299 PUTS VS. 366,564 CALLS)
JUN20 10Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.35 (116,674 PUTS VS. 323,148 CALLS)
APR20 5Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.21 (40,746 PUTS VS. 191,408 CALLS)
JUN20 5Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.05 (33,515 PUTS VS. 606,822 CALLS)
APR20 2Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 4.50 (11,712 PUTS VS. 2,695 CALLS)
JUN20 2Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.29 (10,188 PUTS VS. 34,259 CALLS)
MAR20 EURODLRS PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.23 (172,789 PUTS VS. 752,123 CALLS)
APR20 EURODLRS PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.30 (150,259 PUTS VS. 495,185 CALLS)
MAR21 1Y-MIDCRVE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 1.57 (24,591 PUTS VS. 15,601 CALLS)
MAR22 2Y-MIDCRVE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 8.56 (13,700 PUTS VS. 1,600 CALLS)
MAR23 3Y-MIDCRVE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.01 (25 PUTS VS. 630 CALLS)
(VOLUME, OPEN INTEREST, RATIOS ALL REFLECT PRIOR SESSION'S DATA)
Swaption BP/Vol Via Bloomberg:
Time (ET) 3M/2Y 1M/10Y 3M/5Y 3M/10Y 2Y/10Y 5Y/5Y
Fri 1500 76.64 117.62 96.54 99.22 68.18 62.89
Thu 1500 79.66 99.03 84.82 85.77 66.60 62.51
Wed Open 77.64 91.99 80.57 80.77 66.03 62.51
Tue 1500 81.61 99.67 83.43 80.97 66.11 63.89
Tue Open 80.85 100.66 85.23 83.03 66.04 64.59
Mon 1500 82.99 110.43 87.38 84.65 65.97 64.66
Mon Open 88.31 113.46 92.49 90.02 66.41 65.02
Fri 1500 90.71 107.22 93.49 88.79 66.09 64.90
Fri Open 89.55 101.77 88.37 84.34 65.63 64.65
--MNI Chicago Bureau; tel: +1 312-431-0089; email: bill.sokolis@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$,M$$FI$,MN$FI$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.