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Free AccessMNI Eurozone Inflation Insight – November 2024
MNI ASI OPEN: Fed Bostic Still Confident of Waning Inflation
MNI ASIA MARKETS ANALYSIS: Tsy Curves Twist Flatter
US TSY OPTION IMPLIED VOL/OTC SWAPTION VOL FOR NOV 4
EST IMPLIED VOLATILITY/AVG ATM OPTIONS VIA BLOOMBERG, (All Times ET)
USZ USF TYZ TYF FVZ FVF EDX EDZ
1330 7.74% 7.58% 3.97% 4.05% 2.57% 2.61% 15.10% 20.70%
1200 7.83% 7.63% 4.02% 4.07% 2.58% 2.61% 16.99% 20.94%
1030 7.66% 7.59% 3.96% 4.07% 2.59% 2.60% 16.97% 20.00%
MON OPEN 7.84% 7.67% 3.97% 4.06% 2.55% 2.61% 14.80% 19.65%
FRI 1500 7.67% 7.55% 3.90% 4.06% 2.54% 2.60% 15.15% 20.10%
FRI OPEN 7.94% 7.74% 4.19% 4.20% 2.76% 2.75% 19.25% 22.50%
THU 1500 7.85% 7.69% 4.21% 4.25% 2.85% 2.65% 18.20% 19.95%
THU OPEN 7.77% 7.67% 4.15% 4.27% 2.72% 2.75% 17.25% 22.20%
WED 1500 8.12% 7.93% 4.44% 4.34% 2.95% 2.83% 20.95% 23.35%
WED OPEN 8.05% 7.98% 4.40% 4.30% 2.90% 2.81% 20.40% 23.35%
TUE 1500 8.11% 8.04% 4.50% 4.46% 2.93% 2.90% 22.50% 23.90%
TUE OPEN 8.30% 8.05% 4.63% 4.48% 3.00% 2.90% 20.45% 25.43%
MON 1500 8.33% 8.10% 4.55% 4.53% 2.97% 2.91% 20.50% 24.70%
MON OPEN 8.05% 7.88% 4.47% 4.41% 2.95% 2.98% 22.00% 24.15%
LARGEST O/I: STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE
DEC19 10Y NOTE 132.00 C 143,003 -424 128.00 P 125,741 -2,266
JAN20 10Y NOTE 131.50 C 69,430 +3,541 128.50 P 33,779 +19,038
DEC19 5Y NOTE 119.50 C 92,203 +13,662 116.00 P 114,246 UNCH
JAN20 5Y NOTE 120.50 C 62,091 +40,020 118.75 P 41,782 +39,219
DEC19 2Y NOTE 108.00 C 26,926 -2,239 106.75 P 27,725 UNCH
JAN20 2Y NOTE 107.88 C 3,010 -1 107.62 P 4,425 UNCH
NOV19 EURODLR 98.25 C 193,527 -2,570 97.87 P 159,954 -7,631
DEC19 EURODLR 98.37 C 611,053 -32,420 97.25 P1,066,055 UNCH
DEC20 1Y-MIDC 98.75 C 206,718 -3,600 98.12 P 196,259 -1,500
DEC21 2Y-MIDC 98.50 C 91,635 -500 97.37 P 125,829 UNCH
DEC22 3Y-MIDC 97.37 C 52,101 UNCH 97.37 P 63,651 UNCH
NEAREST ATM: STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE
DEC19 10Y NOTE 130.00 C 72,062 -12,017 130.00 P 86,026 +982
DEC19 10Y NOTE 130.50 C 53,830 -2,557 130.50 P 40,693 -535
JAN20 10Y NOTE 130.00 C 25,824 +11,673 130.00 P 26,063 +19,038
JAN20 10Y NOTE 130.50 C 23,678 +547 130.50 P 5,673 -2
DEC19 5Y NOTE 119.00 C 48,498 -3,643 119.00 P 32,459 +1,859
DEC19 5Y NOTE 119.25 C 49,245 +211 119.25 P 14,796 +84
JAN20 5Y NOTE 119.25 C 5,219 UNCH 119.25 P 5,377 UNCH
JAN20 5Y NOTE 119.50 C 25,571 -411 119.50 P 1,181 +169
DEC19 2Y NOTE 107.50 C 1,262 +120 107.50 P 18,160 +477
DEC19 2Y NOTE 107.62 C 1,677 +1 107.62 P 2,301 +205
JAN20 2Y NOTE 107.75 C 78 UNCH 107.75 P 3,202 +1
JAN20 2Y NOTE 107.88 C 3,010 -1 107.88 P 130 -4
NOV19 EURODLR 98.00 C 71,237 -375 98.00 P 143,057 +261
NOV19 EURODLR 98.12 C 139,193 -250 98.12 P 35,951 -1,250
DEC19 EURODLR 98.00 C 312,230 -12,940 98.00 P 352,548 -12,500
DEC19 EURODLR 98.12 C 469,475 -6,714 98.12 P 211,055 +8,514
DEC20 1Y-MIDC 98.50 C 97,482 -900 98.50 P 101,777 +3,450
DEC20 1Y-MIDC 98.62 C 137,024 +5,251 98.62 P 54,218 -750
DEC21 2Y-MIDC 98.50 C 91,635 -500 98.50 P 58,659 +10,135
DEC21 2Y-MIDC 98.62 C 64,246 +5,416 98.62 P 22,118 UNCH
DEC22 3Y-MIDC 98.50 C 36,476 +775 98.50 P 15,226 +1,300
DEC22 3Y-MIDC 98.62 C 30,321 -250 98.62 P 18,440 UNCH
PUT/CALL RATIO FOR VOLUME CLEARED:
DEC19 10Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.87 (210,646 PUTS VS. 241,301 CALLS)
JAN20 10Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 1.32 (86,450 PUTS VS. 65,440 CALLS)
DEC19 5Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.47 (37,622 PUTS VS. 78,774 CALLS)
JAN20 5Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.98 (63,505 PUTS VS. 64,588 CALLS)
DEC19 2Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 1.10 (9,364 PUTS VS. 8,408 CALLS)
JAN20 2Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.02 (27 PUTS VS. 1,019 CALLS)
NOV19 EURODLRS PUT/CALL RATIO -- 1.13 (26,737 PUTS VS. 23,242 CALLS)
DEC19 EURODLRS PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.09 (37,173 PUTS VS. 409,715 CALLS)
DEC20 1Y-MIDCRVE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.77 (35,860 PUTS VS. 45,890 CALLS)
DEC21 2Y-MIDCRVE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 1.22 (38,799 PUTS VS. 31,599 CALLS)
DEC22 3Y-MIDCRVE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.11 (1,650 PUTS VS. 13,900 CALLS)
(VOLUME, OPEN INTEREST, RATIOS ALL REFLECT PRIOR SESSION'S DATA)
Swaption BP/Vol Via Bloomberg:
Time (ET) 3M/2Y 1M/10Y 3M/5Y 3M/10Y 2Y/10Y 5Y/5Y
1330 62.58 61.94 64.92 65.40 64.96 64.82
1200 62.62 61.70 64.98 65.29 64.78 64.77
1030 62.94 61.74 65.14 65.47 64.75 64.81
Mon Open 62.64 61.20 65.25 65.71 65.09 64.96
Fri 1500 64.48 60.22 64.92 65.75 65.30 64.97
Fri Open 66.55 67.12 68.17 68.16 65.91 65.26
Thu 1500 66.01 69.03 69.51 69.15 65.73 65.18
Thu Open 65.05 68.85 68.40 67.80 65.20 64.32
Wed 1500 66.34 69.65 68.46 67.93 65.31 64.43
Wed Open 65.85 69.20 68.10 67.35 65.15 64.09
Tue 1500 66.24 70.03 68.61 67.94 65.48 64.32
Tue Open 67.07 71.10 68.96 68.02 65.45 64.26
Mon 1500 67.09 70.77 68.92 68.17 65.53 65.02
Mon Open 67.85 69.45 68.55 67.55 65.90 64.94
--MNI Chicago Bureau; tel: +1 312-431-0089; email: bill.sokolis@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$,M$$FI$,MN$FI$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.