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Free AccessUS TSYS: CHINA TARGETS U.S. OIL PRODUCTS IN RETALIATION
US TSY SUMMARY: Tsys trading mixed into the bell, tight range with light volume
(TYU 880k), curves mixed; $26B 10Y Tsy auction finished with a yld of 2.960%
came in line with the WI of 2.960%at the deadline, Tsy saw a slight uptick but
retracted; -US$/CAD rose following rpts that Saudi Arabia are said to sell off
their Canadian assets, CAD weakened on the news
-West Texas Crude weaker (WTI -2.30, 66.87) following China's announcement it
will place a 25% tariff on imports of U.S. refined products beginning Aug 23;
incl. diesel, gasoline, & LPG's according to Bloomberg
-ITALY: BTP ylds climbed on comments by Deputy PM Di Maio, who vows to use
hardline tactics to win concessions from the EU on the upcoming budget. 2-Yr BTP
ylds faring worst, up 6bps at 0.969%, with spds over Germany widening 7.6bps at
156.5bps as Bunds rise
-US$/Yen (JPY -0.41, 110.97, 111.44H/110.84L); DXY weaker (-0.120, 95.066);
Equities higher (emini +2.00, 2,861.75); Gold climbing (XAU +2.73, 1213.69); Tsy
cash/ylds: 2Y 99-29 (2.672%), 5Y 99-19 (2.836%), 10Y 99-06 (2.969%), 30Y 100-04
(3.118%).
US TSY FUTURES CLOSE: Trading mixed with the long end slightly outperforming the
short end, tight range with light volume (TYU 840k), Curves steeper; update:
* 2s10s -0.375, 29.546 (28.801L/30.851H);
* 2s30s -0.166, 44.293 (43.491L/45.712H);
* 5s30s +0.344, 27.872 (27.043L/28.917H);
Current futures levels:
* Sep Ultra bonds futures up 01/32 at 155-31 (155-19L/156-11H)
* Sep 30-yr Bond futures up 01/32 at 142-20 (142-11L/142-29H)
* Sep 10-yr futures up 01/32 at 119-16 (119-12.5L/119-19H)
* Sep 5-yr futures up 0.5/32 at 113-05.75 (113-4.5L/113-07.75H)
* Sep 2-yr futures down 0.25/32 at 105-22.25 (105-22.25L/105-23.25H)
US EURODOLLAR FUTURES CLOSE: Trading slightly higher near the top of a tight
range, parallel shift across the strip. Current White pack (Sep'18-Jun'19):
* Sep'18 +0.015 at 97.600
* Dec'18 +0.015 at 97.345
* Jun'19 +0.015 at 97.190
* Jun'19 +0.015 at 97.075
* Red pack (Sep'19-Jun'20) +0.015-0.010
* Green pack (Sep'20-Jun'21) +0.015-0.010
* Blue pack (Sep'21-Jun'21) +0.020-0.010
* Gold pack (Sep'22-Jun'22) +0.020-0.01
TECHNICALS:
US DOLLAR LIBOR: Latest settles,
* O/N +0.0029 to 1.9163% (+0.0007/wk)
* 1 Month -0.0077 to 2.0634% (-0.0187/wk)
* 3 Month -0.0009 to 2.3405% (-0.0077/wk)
* 6 Month -0.0054 to 2.5170% (-0.0166/wk)
* 1 Year +0.0035 to 2.8278% (-0.0043/wk
US TSYS: *** /REPO REFERENCE RATES: (rate, volume)
* Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR): 1.87% vs. 1.86% prior, $732B
* Broad General Collateral Rate (BGCR): 1.86% vs. 1.84% prior, $387B
* Tri-Party General Collateral Rate (TGCR): 1.86% vs. 1.84% prior, $373B
US SWAPS: Latest spd levels:
* 2Y -0.94/19.64
* 5Y -0.55/12.95
* 10Y -0.61/5.34
* 30Y -0.98/-6.98
OUTLOOK: Data/speaker calendar (prior, estimate):
- Aug 09 04-Aug jobless claims (218k, 220k) 0830ET
- Aug 09 Jul Final Demand PPI (0.3%, 0.2%) 0830ET
- Aug 09 Jul PPI ex. food and energy (0.3%, 0.2%) 0830ET
- Aug 09 Jul PPI ex. food, energy, trade (0.3%,--) 0830ET
- Aug 09 05-Aug Bloomberg comfort index 0945ET
- Aug 09 Jun wholesale inventories (0.6%. --) 1000ET
- Aug 09 Jun wholesale sales (2.5%, --) 1000ET
- Aug 09 03-Aug natural gas stocks w/w (+35Bcf, +45Bcf) 1030ET
- Aug 09 US Tsy $18B 30Y Bond auction, 1300ET
- Aug 09 08-Aug Fed weekly securities holdings 1630ET
Eurodollar/Treasury Option Summary
Eurodollar options, Pit/screen:
* 30,000 Oct 72 puts at 1vs 9735.5/0.10%
* +4,000 Short Sep 68 puts at 2 vs 9698/0.10%
* 7,500 Green Dec 71/73 1x3 call sprd at 3
* 5,000 Blue Dec 67/70 2x1 put sprd at 2.5
* 12,000 Dec 75 calls at 2.25
* -60,000 Dec 73/75 call sprd at 3.5
* -10,000 Oct 72/73 put sprd at 5 to buy Oct 73/75 call sprd at 2.5, BLOCK
* -20,000 Short Sep 71 puts at 14.5 vs 9700.5/0.75%
* 5,000 Long Green Sep 55/58 5x2 put sprd at 0
* +6,000 Aug 76 calls at 0.5
* +4,000 Oct 71/72 put sprd at 0.75
* 5,000 Jun 71/72/75/76 Call Condor at 3
* 5,000 Sep 75/77 Risk Reversal at 0 vs 9759.5/0.16%
US TSY OPTIONS: Latest trade,
* +5,000 FVZ 105.75 puts at CAB
* +1,000 TYV 118 puts at 10
* +2,000 TYU 120 calls at 9 vs 119-16/0.25%
* 5,000 TYU 120/12.25 call sprd at 3
* +5,000 USU 139.5/140.5 put sprd at 6
* -2,500 FVV 112.25/113.5 Strangle at 15.5
--MNI Chicago Bureau; +1 630-698-0154; email: ryan.martin@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$,M$$FI$,MN$FI$,MN$FX$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.