-
Policy
Policy
Exclusive interviews with leading policymakers that convey the true policy message that impacts markets.
LATEST FROM POLICY: -
EM Policy
EM Policy
Exclusive interviews with leading policymakers that convey the true policy message that impacts markets.
LATEST FROM EM POLICY: -
G10 Markets
G10 Markets
Real-time insight on key fixed income and fx markets.
Launch MNI PodcastsFixed IncomeFI Markets AnalysisCentral Bank PreviewsFI PiFixed Income Technical AnalysisUS$ Credit Supply PipelineGilt Week AheadGlobal IssuanceEurozoneUKUSDeep DiveGlobal Issuance CalendarsEZ/UK Bond Auction CalendarEZ/UK T-bill Auction CalendarUS Treasury Auction CalendarPolitical RiskMNI Political Risk AnalysisMNI Political Risk - US Daily BriefMNI Political Risk - The week AheadElection Previews -
Emerging Markets
Emerging Markets
Real-time insight of emerging markets in CEMEA, Asia and LatAm region
-
Commodities
-
Credit
Credit
Real time insight of credit markets
-
Data
-
Global Macro
Global Macro
Actionable insight on monetary policy, balance sheet and inflation with focus on global issuance. Analysis on key political risk impacting the global markets.
Global MacroDM Central Bank PreviewsDM Central Bank ReviewsEM Central Bank PreviewsEM Central Bank ReviewsBalance Sheet AnalysisData AnalysisEurozone DataUK DataUS DataAPAC DataInflation InsightEmployment InsightGlobal IssuanceEurozoneUKUSDeep DiveGlobal Issuance Calendars EZ/UK Bond Auction Calendar EZ/UK T-bill Auction Calendar US Treasury Auction Calendar Global Macro Weekly -
About Us
To read the full story
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Real-time Actionable Insight
Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessUS TSYS: FI SALE AHEAD WED FOMC, CURVE PRICING MORE HIKES
US TSY SUMMARY: Tsys ground lower early Tue, partially weighed by unexpectedly
high corp issuance hedging ($10B AB/INBEV 5-tranche) amid thin market conditions
(TYM<935k) w/accts sidelined ahead Wed FOMC, as well as bounce in US$.
- US$ index higher (DXY +.613, 90.378); equities near steady (emini 0.0 at
2722.75 while Facebook remains pressured on data sharing scandal); gold weaker
(XAU -6.55, 1310.30); West Texas crude higher (WTI +1.34, 63.40).
- Heavier Eurodollar put buying, covering mid-2019 sector as underlying
continues to adjust for higher rates.
- Late ylds: 2Y 2.334%, 3Y 2.481%, 5Y 2.686%, 7Y 2.817%, 10Y 2.885%, 30Y 3.118%
US TSY FUTURES: Lower across the curve, at/near session lows on light volume
(TYM<935k) with many sidelined ahead Wed's FOMC annc, focus more on SEP dot plot
than what is widely expected to be a .25bp hike. Curve update:
* 2s10s +0.032, 54.420 (55.802H/53.916L);
* 2s30s +0.279, 77.710 (79.120H/76.896L);
* 5s30s +0.204, 43.092 (44.119H/42.532L);
Current futures levels:
* Jun Ultra bonds down 1-4/32 at 156-10 (156-07L/157-10H)
* Jun 30-yr Bond futures down 27/32 at 143-22 (143-21L/144-14H)
* Jun 10-yr futures down 11.5/32 at 120-01 (120-01L/120-11H)
* Jun 5-yr futures down 6.5/32 at 113-26.5 (113-26L/113-31.75H)
* Jun 2-yr futures down 2.5/32 at 106-05 (106-05L/106-07.25H)
US EURODOLLAR FUTURES CLOSE: Lower across the strip, near late session lows on
heavier volume/sellers in short end as 3M LIBOR continues to notch higher.
Current White pack (Jun'18-Mar'19):
* Jun'18 -0.035 at 97.660
* Sep'18 -0.045 at 97.565
* Dec'18 -0.040 at 97.430
* Jun'19 -0.045 at 97.320
* Re0d pack (Jun'19-Mar'20) -0.040-0.050
* Green pack (Jun'20-Mar'21) -0.050-0.045
* Blue pack (Jun'21-Mar'21) -0.050-0.045
* Gold pack (Jun'22-Mar'22) -0.050
US DOLLAR LIBOR: Latest settles,
* O/N +0.0000 to 1.4475 (+0.0013/wk)
* 1 Month +0.0131 to 1.8538% (+0.0317/wk)
* 3 Month +0.0256 to 2.2481% (+0.0464/wk)
* 6 Month +0.0194 to 2.4099% (+0.0463/wk)
* 1 Year +0.0182 to 2.6514% (+0.0369/wk)
PIPELINE: Still waiting for AB/INBEV to price
Date $MM Issuer/Rating/Desc/Maturity/Yld/Leads; Priced *; Launch #:
03/20 $10B #Annheuser-Busch INBEV, details:
$1.5B 5Y fix +90, $500M 5Y FRN L+74,
$2.5B 10Y +125, $1.5B 20Y +135,
$2.5B 30Y +150 and $1.5B 40Y +165
03/20 $750M upsized #Entergy Louisiana LLC 15Y IPT +115
03/20 $700M *Virginia Electric & Power Co 10Y IPT +95
03/20 $500M *MetLife PerpNC10 Pref IPT 5.875%
03/20 $1B *Kommunalbanken (KBN) 2Y; IPT MS -1
03/20 $400M Ohio Power Co 30Y IPT +115a
03/20 $500M Nordic Investment Bank Min. 2Y IPT MS -6a
OUTLOOK: Data/speaker calendar (prior, estimate):
- Mar 21 FOMC policy meeting day 2
- Mar 21 16-Mar MBA Mortgage Applications (0.9%, --) 0700ET
- Mar 21 Q4 current account balance (-$100.6B, -$125.0B) 0830ET
- Mar 21 Feb existing home sales (5.38M , 5.4M) 1000ET
- Mar 21 16-Mar crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w (5.02M bbl, --) 1030ET
- Mar 21 FOMC policy announcement, 1400ET
- Mar 21 Fed Chair Powell press conf, 1430
Eurodollar/Treasury Option Summary
Eurodollar options, Pit/screen:
* +10,000 Blue Dec 66/73 put spds, 37.5
* -5,000 Dec 73 puts, 11.0
* -10,000 short Sep 68/71 put spds, 9.5
* -8,000 short Jun 72 straddles, 24.0
* -5,000 Green Jun 68/70/72
* +5,000 Blue Apr 72/73 call spds, 1.0
* +10,000 short Jun 68/70/71 put flys, 1.75 on legs
* 12,200 Green Jun 67/70 put spds, 8.5
* 18,300 Green Sep 62/67/70 1x3x2 put flys, 10.5
* 7,500 Mar'19 68/70 3x2 put spds, 1.5
* +8,000 short Dec 67/70 put spds 4.75 over the Dec 70/72 put spds
* +4,000 Dec/short Dec 71 put spd, 22.0, EOZ over
Block, 0920:17ET (bought on spd vs. 75 put earlier)
* 10,000 Jun 76 puts, 5.5 vs. 97.67/0.25%, mid-market
* +50,000 short Jun 70 puts, 4.0 (+20k Blocked at 0901ET)
* +5,000 Jun 73 puts, 0.5
* +5,000 short Dec 85 calls, 1.0
Screen and Block posts coming into session:
* +43,650 Apr 77/78 1x2 call spds, 1.25 to .75
* +20,000 May 78/80 1x2 call spds, cab
* -9,000 Blue Jun 68/70/72 put trees, 6.0
* total 10,500 Jun 75/76 put spds blocked overnight at 3.0 vs. 97.695/0.20
Tsy options, Pit/screen:
* 10,000 TYK 118/119.5 put spds, 17/64 vs. 120-03/0.25%
* 1,000 TYJ 119/119.25 put strip, 6/64
* total +20,000 FVK 116 calls, 1.5/64
* +20,000 FVK 116 calls, 1.5/64 looking for more
* -5,000 TUM 106.7/107.25 call spds, 1.5/64
--MNI Chicago Bureau; tel: +1 312-431-0089; email: bill.sokolis@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$,M$$FI$,MN$FI$,MN$FX$]
To read the full story
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.