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Free AccessUS TSYS OPEN NY FIRMER AFTER OVERNIGHT 2-WAY RANGE TRADE
US TSYS SUMMARY: Treasuries open Tues higher, near overnight price high,
aided by recent Reuters ECB source story saying Gov Cncil differs whether shd
announce "firm end-buy" for ECB bond buy program. Tsys may be quiet as all await
Wed 2pm ET FOMC mtg outcome, 2:30pm Wed Fed Chr Yellen news conf.
- TOKYO: Tsys saw early buys, end-user buying across curve; real$ buying
intermeds; asset mgrs bought 5Y, 10Y. Jpn accts bought 5Y but sold lg end;
insurance portfls buying lg end. Jpn Nikkei stock index +2%: catchup on global
stk gain after Mon Jpn holiday.
- LONDON: Tsys carryover buying in 2-way trade: bk portfls bought 3Y, 5Y;
European accts bought 5Y, sold 7Ys. Real$ bought 10y, end-users and foreign
central banks sold 10Y, 30Y. Tsys gained more on ECB story. - EURODLR FUTURES:
Mildly higher rebound from Mon weakness, sale.
- O/N RP: Tsy 3Y, 5Y, 7Y, 10Y notes all tight in RP.
- US SWAPS: Steady/mild tightness; bk paying 10Y swaps, fast$ in belly.
- US HIGH-GRADE CORPS: Tues: KazTransGas 10Y, SP PowerAssts 10Y, South Africa
10Y, 30Y.
GILT SUMMARY: Gilts are trading mixed with the belly of the yield curve little
changed, however the wings (2-yr and 30-yr) are modestly higher despite a
disappointing 30-yr Gilt re-opening auction.
- 2-yr Gilt yield is -0.7bp at 0.415%, 5-yr unchanged at 0.732%, 10-yr +0.3bp at
1.305% and 30-yr -0.4bp at 1.902% according to Tradeweb.
- Gilts opened little changed from Monday's closing levels due to lack of
direction seen overnight in Asia. However, markets were waking up to a Times
article reporting that there will be a special cabinet meeting on Thursday ahead
of May's key Brexit speech on Friday in Florence. The move seen to get some sort
of government consensus on Brexit strategy.
- There was some receiving in 5y5y and 10y5y swaps earlier which helped push
Gilts higher, while 30-yr yield dropped 3bp before its re-opening auction. An
increase in the tail and drop in cover at the auction weighed on Gilts though
with the 30-yr paring gains by 2bps.
- 30-yr breakevens are 1.7bp wider while swap spreads are little changed
EGB SUMMARY: There is a small bid to the longer ends of core markets today but
the sub-10Y area is almost unchanged. To be precise, the 10Y Bund yield is lower
by around 0.5bp at 0.45%. - Peripheral markets are performing strongly although
early gains in Portugal, which saw the Bund-PGB spread decline 5bp, have been
surrendered. Instead, investors are buying Bonos & BTPs. In Italy, senior bank
credit spreads tightened upon news that a bond tranche that sits between Junior
and Senior tranches could be introduced to buffer senior debt holder in the
event of a bailout. However, Spanish debt is outperforming BTPs today.
- The Swiss franc fell sharply this morning as investors speculated that large
Swiss insurance companies would need dollars to pay for hurricane damage. This
has knock-on effects upon SNB purchases of EGBs but the impact was insignificant
today.
- Within the semi-core Belgian debt is strongest after completing 94% of
issuance needs this year.
- The only decent European data was from the ZEW, which came firmer than
expected.
--MNI New York Bureau; tel: +1 212-669-6432; email: sheila.mullan@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MNUEQ$,M$U$$$,MR$$$$,M$$FI$,MN$FI$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.