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US TSYS: /STIR: Tsys Off Highs Following Data, 75bp Of Fed Cuts Priced For '25

US TSYS

A strong unrounded supercore PCE print (+0.36% M/M) and firmer-than-expected pending home sales applies some light pressure to Tsys.

  • Yields last 2.5-4.5bp lower on the day, intermediates outperform.
  • TY futures consolidate the bulk of their rally, H5 last 110-23+ vs. post-data lows of 110-22.
  • Fed funds show a slightly shallower easing cycle through ’25 vs. post-08:30 NY data levels, although still fully discounts 75bp of cuts over that horizon.
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A strong unrounded supercore PCE print (+0.36% M/M) and firmer-than-expected pending home sales applies some light pressure to Tsys.

  • Yields last 2.5-4.5bp lower on the day, intermediates outperform.
  • TY futures consolidate the bulk of their rally, H5 last 110-23+ vs. post-data lows of 110-22.
  • Fed funds show a slightly shallower easing cycle through ’25 vs. post-08:30 NY data levels, although still fully discounts 75bp of cuts over that horizon.