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Why MNI
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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessMNI Eurozone Inflation Insight – November 2024
MNI ASI OPEN: Fed Bostic Still Confident of Waning Inflation
MNI ASIA MARKETS ANALYSIS: Tsy Curves Twist Flatter
US TSYS: TSY LOWER AFTER NEW TRADE DEAL BETWEEN US/CANADA
US TSY SUMMARY: Tsy trading mildly lower into the bell, middle of the range with
strong volume (TYZ 1.19M), Curves steeper; Headline out last night, "Canada
Joins U.S., Mexico for Trade Deal to Replace NAFTA-BN", caused equities to climb
and bonds to fall; Light data today including U.S. ISM Manufacturing,
Construction Spending, and Markit U.S. Manufacturing PMI all having little
reaction on markets.
-West Texas crude up after headline, "*STANCHART SAID TO BRACE FOR POSSIBLE IRAN
FINE OF ABOUT $1.5B-bbg", (WTI +2.29, 75.54).
-US$ higher DXY +.149, 95.281 (95.003L/95.373H), $/Eur lower -0.0026 at 1.1578,
$/Yen up +.24 113.94; equities higher throughout the day after last nights
headline of a trade agreement with Canada, (emini +6.00, 2925.00 vs. 2942.00H);
Gold down (XAU -2.90, 1189.60);
-Tsy cash/ylds: 2Y 99-27.5 (2.819%), 5Y 99-18.75 (2.963%), 10Y 98-07 (3.084%),
30Y 95-15.5(3.236%).
US TSY FUTURES CLOSE: Trading mildly lower throughout the day Monday after
reports out last night, "Canada Joins U.S., Mexico for Trade Deal to Replace
NAFTA-BN". Stocks climbed as bonds fell off, strong volume (TYU 1.16M), curves
steeper; update:
* 2s10s +1.862, 25.693 (23.612L/25.879H);
* 2s30s +2.771, 41.053 (37.709L/41.138H);
* 5s30s +2.096, 27.210 (24.514L/27.550H);
Current futures levels:
* Dec Ultra bonds down 30/32 at 153-11 (153-07L/154-03H)
* Dec 30-yr Bond futures down 20/32 at 139-28 (139-24L/140-11H)
* Dec 10-yr futures down 04/32 at 118-21 (118-16.5L/118-24.5H)
* Dec 5-yr futures down 01/32 at 112-14.25 (112-10.75L/112-15.5H)
* Dec 2-yr futures down 0.25/32 at 105-11.5 (105-10.5L/105-11.75H)
US EURODOLLAR FUTURES CLOSE: Trading steady to slightly lower across the strip
in the middle of the range. Current White pack (Dec'18-Sep'19):
* Dec'18 0.000 at 97.340
* Mar'19 0.000 at 97.160
* Jun'19 -0.010 at 97.000
* Sep'19 -0.005 at 96.915
* Red pack (Dec'19-Sep'20) -0.005-EVEN
* Green pack (Dec'20-Sep'21) -0.010
* Blue pack (Dec'21-Sep'21) -0.015
* Gold pack (Dec'22-Sep'22) -0.020
US DOLLAR LIBOR: Latest settles,
* O/N -0.0006 to 2.1707% (+0.2504 last wk)
* 1 Month +0.0046 to 2.2651% (+0.0447 last wk)
* 3 Month -0.0002 to 2.3981% (+0.0257 last wk)
* 6 Month +0.0024 to 2.6062% (+0.0118 last wk)
* 1 Year +0.0069 to 2.9255% (+0.0103 last wk)
US TSYS: *** /REPO REFERENCE RATES: (rate, volume)
* Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR): 2.25% vs. 2.16% prior, $807B
* Broad General Collateral Rate (BGCR): 2.24% vs. 2.15% prior, $372B
* Tri-Party General Collateral Rate (TGCR): 2.24% vs. 2.15% prior, $354B
US SWAPS: Latest spd levels:
* 2Y +0.21/16.88
* 5Y +0.00/11.75
* 10Y -0.61/5.33
* 30Y -0.83/-8.03
Eurodollar/Treasury Option Summary
Eurodollar options, Pit/screen:
* Total 20,000 Red Dec 60/62/65 put fly for net 3, BLOCK
* +5,000 Dec 72/73/76 call fly at 5.5 vs 36/0.10%
* +32,000 Long Green Dec 55 puts at 3.5
* -12,500 Dec 73/75 call sprd at 2.25
* 5,000 Red Sep 60/62 1x2 put sprd at 1.7
* -5,000 Short Dec 68 Straddle at 18.5 vs 9685/0.06%
* +20,000 Red Jun 57/60 2x1 put sprd at 0.75
* +5,000 Short Mar 83/85/86 put fly at 1.5 vs 83/0.10%, +20k all day
* -10,000 Green Nov 67 puts at 5 vs 83/0.32%
* +25,000 Red Sep 56/60 2x1 put sprd at 1.75, net on legs
* +80,000 Short Mar 63/66 put sprd at 5 vs 9682.5/0.20%
* 4,500 Short Mar 67 puts at 11.5 vs 9683/0.40%
US TSY OPTIONS
US TSY OPTIONS: Latest trade,
* -10,000 USX 136 puts at 5
* -3,000 TYX 117.5/118.5 put sprd at 15
* +2,000 TYX 117 puts at 3 vs 17.5/0.06%
* -3,000 TYX 119 calls at 17
* +1,500 USZ 145 calls at 11 vs 07/0.10%
* +2,500 TYX 120 calls at 3 vs 19/0.11%
* Total -16,000 TYX 120/121/122 call fly at 2, all day
--MNI Chicago Bureau; +1 630-698-0154; email: ryan.martin@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$,M$$FI$,MN$FI$,MN$FX$]
To read the full story
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Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.