-
Policy
Policy
Exclusive interviews with leading policymakers that convey the true policy message that impacts markets.
LATEST FROM POLICY: -
EM Policy
EM Policy
Exclusive interviews with leading policymakers that convey the true policy message that impacts markets.
LATEST FROM EM POLICY: -
G10 Markets
G10 Markets
Real-time insight on key fixed income and fx markets.
Launch MNI PodcastsFixed IncomeFI Markets AnalysisCentral Bank PreviewsFI PiFixed Income Technical AnalysisUS$ Credit Supply PipelineGilt Week AheadGlobal IssuanceEurozoneUKUSDeep DiveGlobal Issuance CalendarsEZ/UK Bond Auction CalendarEZ/UK T-bill Auction CalendarUS Treasury Auction CalendarPolitical RiskMNI Political Risk AnalysisMNI Political Risk - US Daily BriefMNI Political Risk - The week AheadElection Previews -
Emerging Markets
Emerging Markets
Real-time insight of emerging markets in CEMEA, Asia and LatAm region
-
Commodities
-
Credit
Credit
Real time insight of credit markets
-
Data
-
Global Macro
Global Macro
Actionable insight on monetary policy, balance sheet and inflation with focus on global issuance. Analysis on key political risk impacting the global markets.
Global MacroDM Central Bank PreviewsDM Central Bank ReviewsEM Central Bank PreviewsEM Central Bank ReviewsBalance Sheet AnalysisData AnalysisEurozone DataUK DataUS DataAPAC DataInflation InsightEmployment InsightGlobal IssuanceEurozoneUKUSDeep DiveGlobal Issuance Calendars EZ/UK Bond Auction Calendar EZ/UK T-bill Auction Calendar US Treasury Auction Calendar Global Macro Weekly -
About Us
To read the full story
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Real-time Actionable Insight
Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessMNI UST Issuance Deep Dive: Dec 2024
MNI US Employment Insight: Soft Enough To Keep Fed Cutting
MNI ASIA MARKETS ANALYSIS: Jobs Data Green Lights Rate Cuts
US TSYS: TSY OFF MIDDAY HIGHS, FOCUS ON NEXT WK'S FOMC MINUTES
US TSYS SUMMARY: Trading well off session highs, near opening levels by Friday's
closing bell, all-in-all a quiet day of trade heading into the extended
Presidents Day holiday weekend. Limited data react, focus on next wk's Jan FOMC
minutes on Wed.
- Substantial sell programs went equities after headline that "MUELLER INDICTS
13 RUSSIANS FOR HACKING DURING U.S. ELECTION" bbg made rounds. Equities trimmed
gains/traded lower into Tsy close (emini ), Tsys initially bounced after falling
back to near opening levels. VIX tapped 20.99 in late trade, bounced off 17.44
low on Russia headlines; US$ index heading higher (DXY +.519, 89.112). Large
Eurdlr steepener Block +40k EDZ8/9, +0.345.
- Swap spds ran mostly wider, long end off midday highs. Front end held tighter
w/accts fading the move via payers in 2s from 2.469%-2.4625%. Other flow
includes 4Y switch, $51.3k DV01 2s5s steepener and $147k DV01 5s10s steepener,
$225k 4s7s10s fly receiving the belly.
- Late ylds: 2Y 2.187%, 3Y 2.384%, 5Y 2.624%, 7Y 2.804%, 10Y 2.875%, 30Y 3.135%
US TSY FUTURES CLOSE: Mildly higher by the close, well off midday highs to near
bottom of session range, gradually paring gains in second half. Latest curve
update:
* 2s10s -3.787, 68.314 (71.279H/66.130L);
* 2s30s -3.151, 94.370 (96.616H/91.177L);
* 5s30s -0.132, 50.990 (51.127H/48.642L);
Current futures levels:
* Mar Ultra bonds up 6/32 at 156-14 (155-17L/157-13H)
* Mar 30-yr Bond futures up 6/32 at 144-06 (143-18L/144-27H)
* Mar 10-yr futures up 4/32 at 120-18.5 (120-09.5L/120-25H)
* Mar 5-yr futures up 2.5/32 at 114-09.5 (114-04.5L/114-12H)
* Mar 2-yr futures up .5/32 at 106-17.25 (106-15.75/106-17.75H)
US EURODOLLAR FUTURES CLOSE: Mostly higher by the close, short end weaker all
session despite large steepener Block (+40k EDZ8/EDZ9, .345). Current White pack
(Mar'18-Dec'18):
* Mar'18 -0.020 at 97.955
* Jun'18 -0.010 at 97.775
* Sep'18 +0.005 at 97.665
* Dec'18 +0.015 at 97.540
* Red pack (Mar'19-Dec'19) +0.020-0.015
* Green pack (Mar'20-Dec'20) +0.020-0.025
* Blue pack (Mar'21-Dec'21) +0.025
* Gold pack (Mar'22-Dec'22) +0.020-0.025
US SWAPS: Spds running mostly wider by the bell, long end off midday highs/pared
move in second half. Front end holding tighter with some accts fading the move
via payers in 2s from 2.469%-2.4625%. Other flow includes 4Y switch, $51.3k DV01
2s5s steepener and $147k DV01 5s10s steepener, $225k 4s7s10s fly receiving the
belly. Latest spread levels:
* 2Y -1.50/27.00
* 5Y +0.12/10.00
* 10Y +0.44/1.94
* 30Y +0.62/-15.50
PIPELINE: Quiet End To Wk After $7B IG Issuance
Date $MM Issuer/Rating/Desc/Maturity/Yld/Leads; Priced *; Launch #:
No new issuance reported Friday
Potential upcoming issuance in the near term:
Chatter, 3M (MMM) A1/AA-
Chatter, Bank of New Zealand (BZLNZ) A1/AA-
Chatter, KeyBank
Chatter, Fifth Third Bank (FITB) A3/A
Chatter, State Street Corp (STT) A1/A
OUTLOOK: Data/speaker calendar (prior, estimate):
- Feb 19 US Presidents Day Holiday market close
- Feb 20 Feb Philadelphia Fed Nonmfg Index (19.5, --) 0830ET
- Feb 20 $55B US Tsys 4Wk, $51B 3M and $45B 6M bill auctions 1130ET
- Feb 20 $28B US Tsys 2Y note auction 1300ET
Eurodollar/Treasury Option Summary
Eurodollar options, Pit/screen:
Block, 1237:34ET
* 10,000 Jun 80/81 1x2 call spds, 0.0 vs. 97.75/0.05%
* +40,000 Mar 81 calls, 0.5 vs. 97.95-955
* 5,000 Mar 77/78 put spds, 0.75 vs. 97.96/0.15%
* 5,000 Mar 78 puts, 1.25 vs. 97.45/0.10%
* Update, total +9,000 Green Jun 73/Gold Jun 72 call spds, 0.0/steepener
* +15,000 Apr/Jun 76 put strip, 2.0
* -15,000 short Apr 72/73/75 put flys, 2.5 vs. 97.335/0.16% vs.
* +7,500 short Apr 71/73/75 put flys, 3.0
* -7,000 Mar 78/80 put spds, 5.5
* +10,000 Blue Apr 75 calls,2.0
* Update, total 7,000 Sep 73/75/76 put flys, 3.0
* 10,000 short Jun 71/72/73 put flys, 2.0
* 10,000 Apr 76 puts, 0.75 vs. 97.77/0.06%
* 5,000 Sep 73/75/76 put flys, 3.0
* +25,000 Red Jun 67/68 put spds, 2.5 vs. 97.305/0.10%
* +10,000 Red Dec 60/65 2x1 put spds, 3.5
* -2,000 long Green Mar 71 straddles, 66.5
* -2,500 short Mar 75 straddles, 15.0
* 2,000 Green Apr 68/76 put over risk reversals, 1.5 vs. 97.155
* +4,000 short Apr 71/73 put spds, 10.0
* +3,500 Sep 73/75/76 put flys, 3.0
* -2,500 Sep 75/77 put spds, 12.5, adds to 45k on screen
* Update, total -45,000 Sep 75/77 put spds, 12.5
* 22,000 Mar 78 puts, 1.0
* 11,100 Mar 80/81 call spds, 1.25
* 7,5000 short Mar 73/75 put spds 4.0 over the short Mar 75 calls, 5k Blocked
* 6,000 short Jun 75/76 1x2 call spds
Block, 0746:45ET
* -22,986 Jun 76/77 put spds, 4.0
* -10,000 Sep 75/77 on screen couple minutes later, 25k total
Tsy options, Pit/screen:
* 2,000 USK 140 puts, 42/64 vs. 143-23/0.22%
* 2,100 TYH 119.25/119.75 2x1 put spds, 1/64
* 5,000 TUJ 106.6/106.8 call spds, 1.5/64
* -5,000 TYJ 121.5 calls, 11/64
* 1,000 TYM 120 straddles, 2-11/64
--MNI Chicago Bureau; tel: +1 312-431-0089; email: bill.sokolis@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$,M$$FI$,MN$FI$,MN$FX$]
To read the full story
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.