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Free AccessUS TSYS: TSY REBOUND ON SOUR APPLE EQUITY DRAG
US TSY SUMMARY: Tsys trading mildly higher after the bell, off highs after long
end caught up with intermediates earlier. Yield curves steeper but off highs
(2s10s +11 since Nov 9 lows (44.0L, 55.30H); 5s30s +13 since Nov 9 lows (32.7L,
46.40H)).
- Quiet rebound after a weaker open, initially triggered after US$/Yen dropped
to new session lows (112.43). Also underpinning rates, equities extended an
early sell-off (SPX down to 2681.5L), partially due to weak tech shares, with
index paring losses on late profit taking.
- Limited data to react to (NAHB housing mkt index dropped 8 points to 60), many
liquidity providers plying sidelines ahead Thu's Thanksgiving holiday closure,
early close Fri.
- Mild deal- and option tied hedging. FVZ Block buy-through (112-26, buy-through
-25.75 post-time offer) helped get rebound rolling in first half, +7.2k TUU
105-16.7 lifted offer. 2s10s steepeners/flattener unwinds, prop and real$ buying
5s and 10s in second half. Tsy cash/ylds: 2Y 100-05.5 (2.781%), 5Y 100-01.5
(2.863%), 10Y 100-18.5 (3.056%), 30Y 101-03.5 (3.315%).
US TSY FUTURES CLOSE: Trading slightly higher near the top of the range; strong
volume (TYZ 1.43M); curves steeper; update:
* 2s10s +1.149, 27.037 (25.135L/28.571H);
* 2s30s +2.044, 53.116 (50.292L/55.300H);
* 5s30s +1.535, 45.176 (42.863L/46.426H);
Current futures levels:
* Dec Ultra bonds up 08/32 at 151-16 (150-12L/151-22H)
* Dec 30-yr Bond futures up 06/32 at 139-24 (139-00L/139-30H)
* Dec 10-yr futures up 05/32 at 119-10 (119-0.5L/119-12H)
* Dec 5-yr futures up 04/32 at 112-30.25 (112-24.25L/113-00H)
* Dec 2-yr futures up 02/32 at 105-17 (105-14.25L/105-17.5H)
US TSY FUTURES: Roll volume update. December future's staggered expiration on
December 19 for 10s, 30s and Ultras, and December 31 for 2s and 5s. Latest
volume and % complete as of Thu's close:
* TUZ/TUH appr 110.8k, 0.5 last; 8.0% complete
* FVZ/FVH appr 94.7k, 1.75 last; 7.0% complete
* TYZ/TYH appr 14.8k, 5.50 last; 4.0% complete
* USZ/USH only 200, 20.0 last; 2.0% complete
* WNZ/WNH appr 19.2, 24.75 last; 4% complete
US EURODOLLAR FUTURES CLOSE: Trading mildly higher, near top of the range;
strong volume. Current White pack (Dec'18-Sep'19):
* Dec'18 +0.0050 at 97.2700
* Jun'19 +0.015 at 97.175
* Jun'19 +0.030 at 97.075
* Sep'18 +0.040 at 97.010
* Red pack (Dec'19-Sep'20) +0.040
* Green pack (Dec'20-Sep'21) +0.035-0.030
* Blue pack (Dec'21-Sep'21) +0.025
* Gold pack (Dec'22-Sep'22) +0.020-0.015
US DOLLAR LIBOR: Latest settles,
* O/N +0.0054 to 2.1807% (-0.0001 last wk)
* 1 Month -0.0006 to 2.3002% (-0.0136 last wk)
* 3 Month +0.0013 to 2.6458% (+0.0264 last wk)
* 6 Month +0.0031 to 2.8657% (+0.0046 last wk)
* 1 Year -0.0163 to 3.1073% (-0.0204 last wk)
US TSYS: *** /REPO REFERENCE RATES: (rate, volume)
* Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR): 2.26% vs. 2.20% prior, $828B
* Broad General Collateral Rate (BGCR): 2.25% vs. 2.17% prior, $442B
* Tri-Party General Collateral Rate (TGCR): 2.25% vs. 2.17% prior, $422B
PIPELINE: LAUNCH $5.5b Takeda Debt Offering in 4-parts
Date $MM Issuer/Rating/Desc/Maturity/Yld/Leads; Priced *; Launch #:
11/19 $5.5b #Takeda Debt Offering in 4-parts; $1b 2Y +105, $1.25b 3Y +120,
$1.5b 5Y +155, $1.75b 10Y +200
11/19 $1.25b *DBS 3Y Covered Bond MS +31
11/19 $1b ADB 2Y, IPT MS -5a
11/19 $1b *Kexim $500m 3Y +67.5, $500m 5Y +87.5
11/19 $400m *Wisconsin Public Service 3Y +55
OUTLOOK: Data/speaker calendar (prior, estimate):
- Nov 20 Oct housing starts (1.201m, 1.230m) 0830ET
- Nov 20 Oct building permits (1.270m, 1.260m) 0830ET
- Nov 20 Nov Philadelphia Fed Nonmfg Index (37.6, --) 0830ET
- Nov 20 17-Nov Redbook retail sales m/m (0.2%, --) 0855ET
Eurodollar/Treasury Option Summary
Eurodollar options, Pit/screen:
* 10,000 Short Dec 68 puts at 4-4.5 vs 9695/0.34%
* 4,000 Short Sep 67 puts at 17.5 vs 9696/0.36%
* 6,000 Short Dec 67/68 1x2 call sprd at 3 vs 9696/0.50%
* 5,000 Green Jun 77 calls with Blue Sep 80 calls at 1
* 30,000 Short Dec 72/76 call sprd at 1.5
* 10,000 Short Sep 65/66 put sprd at 3.5 vs 9696/0.12%
* 10,000 Short Sep 73/75 call sprd at 2.5 vs 9696/0.12%
* 3,000 Red Mar 71 calls at 21 vs 9695/0.40%
block, 11:24:54ET
* 10,500 Mar 73 calls at 2.5 vs 9718.5/0.20%
* +10,000 Mar 72/73 1x2 call sprd at CAB
* 4,000 Dec 72/73 5x2 put sprd at 11.5
* 5,000 Short Jun 67/71 1x2 call sprd at 1
* 10,000 Jun 68/70 put spds, 4.5
* 5,000 Dec 73 calls, 1.0 vs. 97.26
* 20,000 Green Jun 77/Blue Sep 80 call calendar diagonal, 1.0 net
* 6,000 Mar 68/70/71 put flys, 3.0
* 5,000 short Dec 67/68/72/73 all condors, 8.5 vs. 96.945/0.20%
* 3,000 Jun 70/72 Strangle at 15 vs 9707.5/0.16%
* +2,500 Red Sep 80/90 call sprd at 7
* -5,000 Red Jun 75/77 call sprd at 4 vs 9692/0.06%
* 5,000 Mar 65/67/70 put fly at 1
* 12,500 Green Dec 67 puts at 1.5 vs 9695/0.18%
* -4,000 Dec 72 Straddle at 6.25
* 4,000 Red Jun 75/77 call sprd at 4 vs 9692/0.06%
* -3,000 Mar 68/71 put sprd at 5.5 vs 9715/0.25%
* 8,000 Green Dec 65 puts at 0.5 vs 9690.5/0.10%
Tsy options, Pit/screen:
* +4,500 TYF 119.5 calls at 26 vs tyz9 8.5/0.40%
* over 5,000 TYF 121 calls, 7/64 vs. 119-10.5 to -11
* 2,300 FVZ 113/FVF 112.5 put spds, 1.5/64
* 1,000 TYG 120 calls, 29/64 vs. 119-02.5
* +4,000 TYG 118 Straddle at 140
* 3,000 FVH 112.25 puts, 21.5/64 vs. 112-28.2/0.32%
* -2,000 USZ 139 straddles vs. USG 135/142 strangles, 18- to 15/64 credit
* 1,000 TYF 117/117.5/118 put trees, 2/64
* 2,500 TYZ 118.5/119 put spds, 6/64
* total 3,200 FVZ 112.75 calls, 11/64
Earlier screen flow
* 5,900 TYZ 118.75/119 2x1 put spds, 1/64
* 5,000 TYZ 118.75/119.25 call spds, 19/64
* 2,500 USF 136/137 put spds, 15/64
* 3,000 TYF 118/120 puts over risk reversal at 4 vs 118-25/0.45%
--MNI Chicago Bureau; tel: +1 312-431-0089; email: bill.sokolis@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$,M$$FI$,MN$FI$,MN$FX$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.