October 03, 2024 10:50 GMT
US TSYS: TYZ4 Just Shy Of Joint Support Ahead of Important Data
US TSYS
- Treasuries have pushed lower on the day, mostly confined to yesterday’s range but with 2s pushing to levels just off Monday’s post-Powell lows.
- They lag EGBs where supply is seen weighing but underperform Gilts after a dovish Bailey.
- Cash yields are 1.9-2.8bps higher with increases led by 7s. 2Y yields at 3.6600% are of note, close to Monday’s 3.6677% after Powell’s push for patience for otherwise highs since Sep 12 (US PPI).
- 2s10s has lifted slightly to 15bps (+0.5bp) but remains within recent ranges and below ytd highs of 24.1bps.
- TYZ4 has sat on and off session lows of 114-07+ (- 06) for over 90 minutes now, eyeing support at 114-07 (Sep 26 and Oct 2 lows) after which lies 114-00+ (Sep 4 low). Volumes at 330k are slightly above recent averages.
- Data: Challenger job cuts Sep (0730ET), Weekly jobless claims (0830ET), S&P Global US serv/comp PMI Sep final (0945ET), Factory orders Sep (1000ET), Factory orders Aug (1000ET),
- Fedspeak: Schmid welcome remarks (1000ET, no text), Kashkari moderates a discussion with Bostic (1040ET, no text) - see STIR bullet.
- Bill issuance: US Tsy $95B 4W, $90B 8W bill auctions
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