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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessMNI ASIA MARKETS ANALYSIS: Treasuries Surge On Bessent And Oil
MNI ASIA OPEN: Israel-Hezbollah Ceasefire Cautiously Reached
US TSYS: US$ CONTINUES TO CLIMB NEAR YTD HIGHS
US TSY SUMMARY: Tsy trading moderately higher into the bell, in the middle of
the range with strong volume (TYZ 1.51M), curves mixed. Data today led by PPI
which came in stronger than expected at 0.6% vs 0.3% exp. U of Michigan
Sentiment followed coming in stronger than expected at 98.3 vs 98.0 exp.
-Headline out this morning, "*PBOC SAYS ECONOMY IS UNDER INCREASING DOWNWARD
PRESSURE"-bbg
-Pompeo spoke today on China saying, "*POMPEO SAYS HE WAS `FORTHRIGHT' ON
DIFFERENCES WITH CHINA"-bbg and "*POMPEO: U.S. NOT PURSUING COLD WAR,
CONTAINMENT POLICY ON CHINA"-bbg
-US$ near 1-year highs DXY +.181, 96.905 (96.623L/97.011H), -$/Eur lower -0.0028
at 1.1335, $/Yen down -.29 113.78; equities lower (emini -30.00, 27788.75 vs.
2811.25H); Gold fell (XAU -14.48, 1209.47); Oil down (WTI -0.39, 60.28).
-Tsy cash/ylds: 2Y 99-28.5 (2.930%), 5Y 99-7.25 (3.042%), 10Y 99-14.5 (3.187%),
30Y 99-21.5 (3.392%).
US TSY FUTURES CLOSE: Trading moderately higher near the top of the range;
strong volume (TYZ 1.52M); curves mixed; update:
* 2s10s -1.542, 25.283 (24.546L/26.913H);
* 2s30s -0.856, 45.605 (44.038L/47.237H);
* 5s30s +0.735, 34.774 (32.715L/35.631H);
Current futures levels:
* Dec Ultra bonds up 27/32 at 149-15 (148-13L/149-25H)
* Dec 30-yr Bond futures up 21/32 at 137-27 (137-00L/138-03H)
* Dec 10-yr futures up 10.5/32 at 118-3.5 (117-23.5L/118-6.5H)
* Dec 5-yr futures up 6.75/32 at 112-3.75 (111-28.75L/112-5.25H)
* Dec 2-yr futures up 02/32 at 105-07 (105-05L/105-7.75H)
US EURODOLLAR FUTURES CLOSE: Trading mildly higher with a parallel shift across
reds through golds; moderate volume. Current White pack (Dec'18-Sep'19):
* Dec'18 +0.010 at 97.235
* Jun'19 +0.015 at 97.085
* Jun'19 +0.020 at 96.925
* Sep'18 +0.030 at 96.825
* Red pack (Dec'19-Sep'20) +0.040
* Green pack (Dec'20-Sep'21) +0.045-0.040
* Blue pack (Dec'21-Sep'21) +0.045
* Gold pack (Dec'22-Sep'22) +0.045-0.040
US DOLLAR LIBOR: Latest settles,
* O/N -0.0049 to 2.1750% (+0.0004/wk)
* 1 Month -0.0040 to 2.3144% (-0.0034/wk)
* 3 Month +0.0035 to 2.6181% (+0.0258/wk)
* 6 Month +0.0004 to 2.8580% (+0.0292/wk)
* 1 Year +0.0033 to 3.1440% (+0.0393/wk)
US TSYS: *** /REPO REFERENCE RATES: (rate, volume)
* Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR): 2.21% vs. 2.18% prior, $819B
* Broad General Collateral Rate (BGCR): 2.20% vs. 2.16% prior, $439B
* Tri-Party General Collateral Rate (TGCR): 2.20% vs. 2.16% prior, $413B
US SWAPS: Latest spd levels:
* 2Y +1.14/19.26
* 5Y +0.88/13.08
* 10Y +0.43/5.85
* 30Y +0.00/-9.63
*** Data/speaker calendar (prior, estimate):
13-Nov 0600 ** Oct NFIB Small Business Index 107.9 --
13-Nov 0855 ** 10-Nov Redbook retail sales m/m 0.1 -- %
13-Nov 1100 ** Nov NY Fed expectations survey -- --
13-Nov 1400 ** Oct Treasury budget balance 119.1 -124.0 b
USD
Eurodollar/Treasury Option Summary
Eurodollar options, Pit/screen:
* +30,000 Short Dec 66/68 calls over risk reversal at 1 vs 9674.5/0.50%
* 16,000 Dec 71 puts at 0.5 BLOCK
* +6,000 Short Jun 62/63 put sprd at 2.5 BLOCK
* 10,000 Dec 71/72 put sprd at 3.5 vs 9723.5/0.50%
* 5,000 Red Mar 60/62/65 put tree at 5
* 4,000 Short Dec 67 Straddle at 13 vs 9672.5/0.10%
* 9,000 Short Dec 70 calls at 1.5 vs 9675/0.10%
* 5,000 Green Dec 63/65/66 put tree at 2 vs 9671.5/0.10%
* 5,000 Green Dec 66/70 Strangle at 5 vs 9673.5/0.14%
US TSY OPTIONS
US TSY OPTIONS: Latest trade,
* 5,000 TYF 119/120 call sprd at 6 vs 28.5/0.11%
* 3,000 TYZ 116.5/117/117.50 put fly at 4
* 11,000 FVZ 112.75 calls at 2 vs 03.5/0.10%
* -4,000 TYZ 117.25/117.5/118.5 2x3x1 put fly at 23
--MNI Chicago Bureau; +1 630-698-0154; email: ryan.martin@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: M$U$$$,M$$FI$,MN$FI$,MN$FX$]
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.