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Free AccessUSD/CNH Sub 7.3000, But Weaker Equities, Lower Yields Headwinds For The Yuan
USD/CNH recorded a 0.13% dip for Thursday's session, around half the loss seen in terms of the USD indices (both BBDXY and DXY off 0.26%). The pair got to intra session lows from Wednesday, just under 7.2920 in Thursday trade, but we sit slightly higher in latest dealings (near 7.2940).
- USD/CNY onshore spot finished up at 7.2682, although the input into today's fixing (the 4:30pm onshore close) was higher near 7.2700.
- For USD/CNH, the 20-day EMA is not too far away at 7.2866, further south is the 50-day near 7.2680.
- Focus again is likely to rest on the CNY fixing, with market estimates potentially lower than yesterday's outcome given the downshift in USD indices and the downtick on the official 4:30pm close onshore.
- A steady outcome or only minor drop will reinforce recent trends around a steady depreciation in the yuan.
- The data calendar is quiet today. In the cross asset space, we continue to see local equity underperformance. The CSI 300 off a further 0.51% in Thursday trade. Local yields have retraced lower, the 2yr back in the 1.60/1.65% region, the 10yr steadier though, last around 2.25%, still holding a good chunk of the earlier bounce this week post PBoC headlines around bond borrowing from banks.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.