Free Trial

CNY Fixing Weaker Than Expected

CNH

The USD/CNY fixing printed at 6.7109, versus a market estimate of 6.7082.

  • In USD/CNY terms this represented a +27pip upside surprise. This is a departure from recent sessions, which have tended to see downside surprises.
  • Indeed, we have to go back to the 20th of April to see a larger upside surprise.
  • The 5-day sum of the cumulative error term sits back close to flat at -12 pips, we were -45pips on this metric yesterday.
  • USD/CNH has firmed a little post the fix, rising above 6.7030. Recent highs above 6.7200 have drawn selling interest in terms of upside levels to be mindful of.
  • CNH/JPY is off recent highs of 20.43, last at 20.32. The weaker yen trend may have be playing a role, in the sense the authorities are mindful of the yen slide and its impact on China export competitiveness, albeit at the margin.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.