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CNH Gains Post Forex Reserve Cut Almost Erased​​

CNH

USD/CNH is back to 6.9500 (touching closing to 6.9530 earlier) and within striking distance of levels that prevailed prior to yesterday's Forex reserve cut. We were around 6.9550 when that announcement crossed the wires. Onshore spot is above 6.9400, which is close to highs from yesterday as well. Fresh Covid related headwinds have emerged today, with cases detected in Beijing.

  • This won't be helping sentiment, while we continue see China bond yields press lower, against the broader trend of gains in key developed markets, reinforcing divergent monetary policy trends. The chart below shows USD/CNH against the US-CH 2yr spread.

Fig 1: USD/CNH & US-CH 2yr Government Bond Yield Spreads

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg


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