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USD/ILS Meets Firm Resistance at 3.30, But Conflict Shows No Signs of Thawing

ISRAEL
  • USD/ILS closes an early breakout gap to 3.30 in early trading this morning amid a substantial escalation in tensions with Palestine this week, pulling back lower towards the 3.27-3.28 zone.
  • Yesterday's session saw price action close in line with the 50dma at 3.2898, and will need to retake the level to see more topside momentum.
  • Tensions show no signs of thawing at this juncture, with both Hamas and the IDF ramping up their military activities – pushing the situation closer to all-out war.
  • A number of key meetings are expected today, notable the UN Security council, but no resolutions are expected – limiting the likelihood of a deceleration in tensions.
  • ILS may continue to come under pressure as the situation deteriorates, with sellers emerging at newly-formed 3.27 support.
  • Topside Resistance levels to note are 3.2976 & 3.3112


  • TA-35 Index trades -0.35%, having found support at 1,600 in yesterday's session.
  • A break below 1,600 opens up support at the inverse head and shoulders pattern formed in Feb-March at 1,570, 1550 & 1525.
  • 1w Implied vols have jumped higher overnight, trading back near the 7.00 handle, but still well below YTD highs at 11.00.
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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