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USD Index Back To Early Feb Lows Post China PMI Beats

FOREX

China PMIs have come in firmer than expectations, particularly on the services side. This index printed at 58.2 (55.0 was expected and 56.3 prior). The manufacturing PMI came in at 51.9, (51.6 forecast, 52.6 prior). The composite PMI is now at 57.0, fresh highs for the series.

  • The USD is weaker post the prints, as the outcomes will add to the China re-opening growth story. The market may have wanted to see a firmer manufacturing picture, which is likely better for external demand (as opposed to services), but this is only likely to be a concern at the margins.
  • The BBDXY is now near 1226, fresh lows back to early Feb. NZD and AUD are still outperforming. NZD to 0.6295, AUD above 0.6730. Yen weakness persists, as cross yen demand remains firm amid the equity bounce post the data. USD/JPY is around 133.10/15 (earlier highs were above 133.50).
  • In Asia FX, USD/CNH is back sub 6.8500 (-0.40%), which is sub the 50-day MA (near 6.8590). 1 month USD/KRW is back down to 1287/88, +0.55% firmer in won terms.

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