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USD/JPY hovers around Y111.00 in early...>

DOLLAR-YEN
DOLLAR-YEN: USD/JPY hovers around Y111.00 in early Asia-Pacific dealing with the
BOJ MonPol decision front and centre today. Participants will also look to the
BOJ's Rinban operation outline for the month of August, due in early EU hours.
- A raft of source reports have suggested that the BOJ could adjust its MonPol
settings, through an ETF purchase tweak, the removal of pre-announcements re:
Rinban or even an alteration to Yield Curve Control (YCC). The MNI policy team
has highlighted that the Bank's inflation expectations are likely to be lowered,
with a focus on structural issues.
- USD/JPY is confined by its DMAs. The 50-DMA is currently providing support at
110.58 and the 21-DMA represents resistance at 111.45. Major up trendline
support has been breached and with little in the way of positive momentum being
generated, the technical outlook favours the 110.58 support remaining under
pressure
- USD/JPY 1-week risk reversals have fallen to levels not seen since February,
with the pair's 1-week ATM vol ticking higher as the metrics now capture the BOJ
MonPol decision, FOMC decision & U.S. NFP.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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