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USD/JPY Opens Europe Firm, Focus on Y104.27-40 Resistance Area.
- Recovery off Wednesday's low of Y103.53 met resistance at Y104.20, the level corresponding to the 76.4% retracement of the recent move down from Y104.40 to that mentioned low.
- Recovery off the low on Wednesday touched a high of Y104.00, settling around Y103.90 through the NY session. Early Asia continued that consolidation until market reaction to a CNN report, suggesting US president elect Biden set to announce a COVID aid package of around $2tln boosted the USD (via a rise in UST yields reacting to expected inflation outlook).
- As mentioned USD/JPY met resistance at Y104.20, eased off to Y103.96 but has edged back to Y104.10 in early Europe.
- Support remains between Y104.00-103.95 ahead of Y103.80/75, Y103.53. Resistance Y104.20, technical resistance Y104.27(bear channel top) ahead of recent highs at Y104.33-40. A break of Y104.50 to expose Y104.75/80.
- MNI Techs: USDJPY maintains a firmer tone despite the recent pullback. Attention is on 104.27, the top of a bear channel drawn off the Mar 24 high. The channel has contained recent gains however a break would signal a stronger reversal. This would open 104.76, the Nov 24 high. On the downside, support to watch lies at 103.53, Jan 13 low. A move through this low would highlight a possible reversal from the channel top and allow for a deeper pullback.
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Why MNI
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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.