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Free AccessUSD Mixed-to-Lower Despite Solid Buy Signal Into Month-End
- The dollar trades mixed-to-lower early Monday, running against the bulk of sell-side models for month-end, which continue to signal a strong USD buying need into the January close. This suggests that markets will be on watch for USD rallies through the NY crossover - or alternatively, much of that month-end flow has already worked its way through markets across last week's volatile trade.
- AUD is comfortably the outperformer Monday, with AUD/USD recovering close to 100 pips off the Friday lows. The moves come ahead of Tuesday's rate decision at which the RBA are seen weighing a conclusion to bond purchases, The internal debate at the bank is seen switching to rate hikes, as markets price four full rate hikes by year-end.
- Haven currencies are offered, with JPY and CHF among the poorest performers so far today. Equities sit somewhat stronger, with US futures holding the bulk of the late Friday rally, but indicating a more mixed cash open.
- German national CPI readings for January take focus going forward, with regional turnouts suggesting we may see a higher-than-expected nationwide release later today. The MNI Chicago Business Barometer is also due, with markets expecting activity to decelerate to 61.8 from 63.1 previously.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.