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USD/ZAR Eyes 15.00 Support on Risk-On, ANC Factional Infighting Finds a New Focal Point

SOUTH AFRICA
  • USD/ZAR trades -0.20% at the open, tracking price action in USD/CNH and broad-based selling pressure on the BBDXY as risk-on conditions maintain momentum into today's session.
  • The cross fell -1.28% in yesterday's session, pulling back from August's swing highs at 15.40 and subsequently out of overbought territory on the RSI.
  • Today's focus will be on unemployment data, with the labour market still under immense pressure as a result of the Covid-19 pandemic – keeping unemployment at historic highs.
  • Rumours of rioting were quelled yesterday as a strong police presence forced a postponement of the movement, which has now changed its tune to one of peaceful protest.
  • High unemployment remains the powder keg that ignited recent rioting in SA, and it seems the factional battles within the ANC are now shifting focus towards the broadly unaffordable Basic Income Grant as a means of putting Ramaphosa on the backfoot – and could become the next source of socio-political and fiscal contention.
  • Next focal point for the cross is the 15.10-14.90 support zone ahead of this week's Jackson Hole Symposium.
  • Intraday Sup1: 14.9957, Sup2: 14.9065, Res1: 15.1367, Res2: 15.2723
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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