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USD/ZAR Flirts With 15.50 as Markets Brace For Close Call SARB Meeting

SOUTH AFRICA
  • USD/ZAR trades -0.27% lower this morning, tracking early selling pressure on the BBDXY.
  • The cross traded choppily throughout yesterday's session, flirting with the 15.50 handle throughout the day.
  • Today's focus will be on the SARB where expectations for a hold or hike remain split and may precipitate some post-decision volatility.
  • Markets will also be looking towards Kganyago's medium-term inflation projections for hawkish risks and his tone on forward guidance into 1Q22.
  • Our base case remains a hold at 3.50%, but acknowledge risks of a potential hike. A move above 15.60 opens up a more comprehensive move towards 16.00.
  • Interestingly, the RSI is showing tentative signs of bearish divergence, but have yet to confirm. Intraday Sup1: 15.3914, Sup2: 15.2963, Res1: 15.5762, Res2: 15.6267

MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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