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USD/ZAR Fluctuates Around 16.00 as Bull Channel Pattern Holds, 3Q GDP Eyed

SOUTH AFRICA
  • USD/ZAR trades -0.28% lower this morning, retracing a portion of Friday afternoon’s move high post-NFP data that pushed the cross up to 16.148.
  • The cross fell -1.23% w/w, with price action getting choppy within the 15.80-16.20 range as risk sentiment fluctuated around Fed policy expectations.
  • Focus remains on the development of the Omicron variant, which appears to be highly transmissible, but less persistent and deadly at the source of the discovery in Tshwane.
  • This week, Ramaphosa is expected to discuss new restrictions (potentially only for unvaccinated) and mandatory vaccination to boost SA’s immunity with unions mostly in support.
  • On the data front, we have 3Q GDP – expected to show the effects of July looting, retail sales, current account and mining data due this week.
  • Meanwhile, US trade balance and particularly inflation numbers will be keenly watched of USD-side drivers.
  • USD/ZAR price action remained within the Bull channel pattern established back in June.
  • The cross is currently caught in a range between the prior highs (16.3668) and the lower trendline of the bull channel (15.90), awaiting a breakout in either direction to confirm a more decisive near-term direction.
  • Intraday Sup1: 15.9721, Sup2: 15.8821, Res1: 16.1480, Res2: 16.2383

MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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