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USD/ZAR Hovers Above 14.50 as Terms of Trade Tick Higher

SOUTH AFRICA
  • USD/ZAR trades -0.10% lower this morning, broadly in line with selling pressure on the BBDXY.
  • The cross failed to breach Friday’s highs, pulling back towards 14.55 with SA’s terms of trade ticking higher in the past few days.
  • Lifting of the state of disaster was long overdue and should see limited impact, but the eventual full removal of all restrictions should be incrementally positive for economic activity.
  • S&P PMI figures are expected to soften slightly today, but remain above the 50 mark.
  • USD/ZAR is at a key tipping point with renewed risk-on capable of seeing downside momentum to 14.10 resume, while a shift to risk-off could see the cross correct higher towards 14.80-15.00.
  • 14.40 represents the bear trigger to a more consolidated move lower.
  • Price action remains just shy of oversold territory on the RSI at 38.36. Intraday Sup1: 14.5265, Sup2: 14.4848, Res1: 14.6128, Res2: 14.6466

MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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