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USD/ZAR Probes Key Resistance at 14.7368 With Risk Sentiment Still Shaky

SOUTH AFRICA
  • USD/ZAR trades +0.10% higher this morning, mirroring price action in the BBDXY – which is starting to turn lower.
  • The cross held a choppy 1.14% range yesterday around the minutes as markets gauged the Fed’s willingness to start the balance sheet run-off as early as May and consider one or more +50bp hike in what is looking more and more like a front-loaded cycle to tame high inflation and expectations.
  • The focus for SA will be on whether this exerts pressure on the SARB to boost the size of its hikes in response, with the MPC split currently on a knife edge going into the next meetings.
  • USD/ZAR has pulled back from 14.70 this morning with key pivot resistance above at 14.7368.
  • SA’s terms of trade have risen off their March lows, but have moderated significantly from their highs – reducing support for ZAR in risk-off conditions. Price action should trade mostly in line with the BBDXY today and broad risk sentiment.
  • Intraday Sup1: 14.6166, Sup2: 14.6128, Sup3: 14.5794, Res1: 14.7368, Res2: 14.784

MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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